Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

113

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 08-15 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

88% 45% +$64

Politics

7% 75% -$37

Crypto

5% 40% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
uaa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt02	2	$608	408	408	+0	Yes	+$208	08-07 11:32
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$398	211	211	+0	No	+$8	07-22 20:13
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	2	$383	197	197	+0	Yes	+$9	07-21 19:58
situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	2	$347	586	586	+0	No	-$53	08-08 18:33
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$337	380	380	+0	Yes	-$117	07-10 20:45
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 7?	2	$332	233	233	+0	No	+$132	08-07 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5?	2	$317	217	217	+0	No	+$117	08-05 11:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?	2	$313	213	213	+0	No	+$113	08-01 19:49
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5?	2	$300	204	204	+0	No	+$100	08-05 11:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3?	2	$296	196	196	+0	No	+$96	08-03 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 3?	2	$293	193	193	+0	No	+$93	08-03 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	2	$287	188	188	+0	No	+$87	08-06 09:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 15?	2	$285	185	185	+0	No	+$85	08-15 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 4?	2	$282	182	182	+0	No	+$82	08-04 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	2	$275	176	176	+0	No	+$75	08-07 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1?	2	$275	176	176	+0	No	+$75	08-01 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 6?	2	$275	175	175	+0	No	+$75	08-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 6?	2	$274	176	176	+0	No	+$74	08-06 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?	2	$272	172	172	+0	No	+$72	08-01 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	2	$269	170	170	+0	No	+$69	08-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4?	2	$267	167	167	+0	No	+$67	08-04 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 15?	2	$267	167	167	+0	No	+$67	08-15 09:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 8?	2	$264	164	164	+0	No	+$64	08-08 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?	2	$264	164	164	+0	No	+$64	08-04 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6?	2	$263	163	163	+0	No	+$63	08-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 3?	2	$261	161	161	+0	No	+$61	08-03 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6?	2	$259	159	159	+0	No	+$59	08-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 7?	2	$259	159	159	+0	No	+$59	08-07 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	2	$259	159	159	+0	No	+$59	08-03 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4?	2	$258	158	158	+0	No	+$58	08-04 10:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 09:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?	No	SELL	159	0¢	$0	0x60e599…
08-15 09:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 15?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x3b5207…
08-15 09:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 15?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x21adc4…
08-14 18:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x7b0eb6…
08-14 18:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x5f2ba5…
08-14 18:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x3c5899…
08-08 18:33:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	189	15¢	$28	0x8747d5…
08-08 18:33:55	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	Yes	SELL	586	25¢	$147	0x9ef16c…
08-08 18:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	166	81¢	$134	0x9824b6…
08-08 15:01:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 8?	No	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0x52b9a0…
08-07 20:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xe64145…
08-07 20:24:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 8?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xcaace2…
08-07 20:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?	No	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x3195e0…
08-07 20:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xc3417c…
08-07 20:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xe5d766…
08-07 11:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 7?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x2cd49b…
08-07 11:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$175	0xca3f32…
08-07 11:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 7?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$232	0xa88af4…
08-07 11:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x2b587c…
08-07 11:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xdb475f…
08-07 11:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8?	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x025193…
08-07 11:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0xa88690…
08-07 11:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x9e7857…
08-07 11:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xe4275d…
08-07 11:40:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xffefb1…
08-07 11:32:10	uaa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt02	Yes	SELL	408	100¢	$408	0x80b533…
08-06 19:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 7?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x466422…
08-06 19:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x5b8810…
08-06 19:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xf439f7…
08-06 16:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7?	No	BUY	236	42¢	$100	0x512ada…
08-06 12:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	127	78¢	$100	0xeda4aa…
08-06 12:46:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x3d470f…
08-06 12:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 6?	No	SELL	185	18¢	$33	0x898038…
08-06 10:11:51	uaa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt02	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x2752e2…
08-06 09:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x0d208c…
08-06 09:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x2867db…
08-06 09:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 7?	No	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x8d9d90…
08-06 09:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xb0e927…
08-06 09:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x1a3be3…
08-06 09:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 6?	No	SELL	176	99¢	$174	0x92e5d2…
08-06 09:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x8e4878…
08-06 09:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0xeb0c04…
08-06 09:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$169	0x4313f4…
08-06 09:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 6?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0xa84fb9…
08-06 09:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$187	0xc4b3e1…
08-05 20:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x4ae30f…
08-05 19:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x5a76ce…
08-05 19:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0x83d53f…
08-05 11:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x8be3f7…
08-05 11:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 6?	No	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xf546ab…
08-05 11:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5?	No	SELL	204	98¢	$200	0x259fab…
08-05 11:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0x70936b…
08-05 11:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x9155ff…
08-05 11:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6?	No	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x00f012…
08-05 11:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x932723…
08-04 14:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5?	No	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xa4b90e…
08-04 14:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?	No	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0xa64788…
08-04 12:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5?	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xff9048…
08-04 12:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?	No	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0xf7ea95…
08-04 11:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x17a07b…
08-04 11:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?	No	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x132a5d…
08-04 11:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5?	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xfb5bb7…
08-04 11:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	No	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xbf3ea4…
08-04 10:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x92d75c…
08-04 10:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x29df97…
08-04 10:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 4?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0xfeef09…
08-04 10:01:09	fig quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt31	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xd22df3…
08-04 10:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0x14efd6…
08-03 12:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x09d8c2…
08-03 12:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x230b89…
08-03 12:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3?	No	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0x87a526…
08-03 12:49:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 3?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0xc2d4c3…
08-03 12:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 3?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x85b43d…
08-03 12:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xee06f7…
08-03 12:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 4?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x7b586c…
08-03 12:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x2a92aa…
08-03 12:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4?	No	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x7f8c92…
08-02 19:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xf55c05…
08-02 15:03:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	No	SELL	127	93¢	$118	0xde23d0…
08-02 14:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 3?	No	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0xb6b869…
08-02 14:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x468778…
08-02 14:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xcf1ce9…
08-02 14:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3?	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x45577b…
08-02 13:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xda9e4d…
08-02 13:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$157	0x4e0f49…
08-01 19:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0x8c64d6…
08-01 16:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xe6cbe0…
08-01 16:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x9999eb…
08-01 16:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2?	No	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0xe6b995…
08-01 13:03:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x2764b5…
08-01 13:00:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:55 UTC	Down	SELL	85	99¢	$85	0x48e3fc…
08-01 12:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0x2aabb9…
08-01 12:52:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	137	18¢	$25	0x9837d9…
08-01 12:50:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x59695c…
08-01 12:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x515f3d…
08-01 12:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x2abb63…
08-01 12:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x85ada4…
08-01 08:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$175	0x8a7ec6…
08-01 08:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0xa3496a…
07-31 23:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0x66975c…