Considerate-Steward — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$424

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 08-13 09:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

38% — —

Sports

32% 50% +$419

Politics

28% 100% +$6

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	2	$874	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	08-13 08:29
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$617	523	523	+0	Sean Strickland	+$429	05-10 05:03
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	2	$500	510	0	+510	open	—	05-10 05:04
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$496	500	0	+500	open	—	03-10 09:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$439	317	317	+0	open	—	04-13 02:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$374	451	451	+0	open	—	04-11 23:24
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$302	200	200	+0	open	—	03-15 23:04
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	1	$300	4,837	0	+4,837	open	—	04-13 02:27
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2	$201	115	115	+0	open	—	08-10 13:54
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	6	$128	188	0	+188	open	—	03-05 09:34
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	3	$118	474	0	+474	open	—	08-13 09:47
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	04-11 23:29
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	06-13 18:01
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$100	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	03-15 23:05
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	5,421	0	+5,421	open	—	04-05 20:55
ufc tat loo 2026 04 11	1	$100	167	0	+167	open	—	04-05 21:09
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$100	303	0	+303	open	—	06-21 15:04
ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	1	$100	192	0	+192	open	—	07-08 12:41
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	1	$100	455	0	+455	open	—	04-05 20:59
ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	1	$100	213	0	+213	open	—	04-05 20:28
lol nip blg 2026 04 23	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	04-22 17:41
will crude oil cl settle at 60 in march	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-07 02:57
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	03-05 09:20
will bitcoin dip to 65500 on march 8	4	$82	100	0	+100	open	—	03-09 02:09
will gold gc hit low 5000 by end of march	3	$78	200	0	+200	open	—	03-08 23:57
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$71	17,738	0	+17,738	open	—	03-15 23:05
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	1	$70	140	0	+140	open	—	05-02 13:34
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	1	$64	70	0	+70	open	—	03-10 08:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$64	100	0	+100	open	—	03-05 09:21
ufc cod1 xia 2026 03 07	1	$59	100	0	+100	open	—	03-05 08:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 09:47:19	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xffd383…
08-13 08:29:18	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1,400	55¢	$776	0x765857…
08-11 11:00:31	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	191	25¢	$48	0xb8aefb…
08-10 13:54:15	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	115	88¢	$101	0x5897da…
08-07 08:30:58	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x7a4056…
08-03 12:34:59	will nvda dip to 200 in august 2026	No	BUY	177	6¢	$11	0x2ccd6d…
08-02 20:17:38	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by august 31 2026 20260730161742264	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x87e13a…
08-02 20:16:18	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,400	7¢	$98	0xe564e5…
08-02 20:07:17	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xde1ee5…
08-02 19:59:39	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x987845…
08-02 06:06:59	will nvda dip to 200 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x62cae6…
08-02 02:43:21	will nvda dip to 200 in august 2026	No	BUY	500	6¢	$32	0x25a888…
08-01 13:32:15	will nvda dip to 200 in august 2026	No	BUY	23	6¢	$2	0x8c0275…
07-19 10:46:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0xfcfc56…
07-08 12:54:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x1dec64…
07-08 12:53:46	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x284149…
07-08 12:41:14	ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	Wang Cong	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x19b60e…
06-21 15:04:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xdaadaa…
06-13 18:01:33	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x866f6f…
06-13 18:00:40	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x53821a…
06-13 16:15:28	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xc5dddb…
05-10 05:06:24	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x95ca7e…
05-10 05:04:46	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	BUY	408	98¢	$400	0x792f38…
05-10 05:04:25	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x83a68e…
05-10 05:03:52	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	523	100¢	$523	0x47101a…
05-05 16:34:22	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	523	18¢	$94	0xc5d40e…
05-02 13:34:20	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jack Della Maddalena	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x1d5471…
04-22 17:41:40	lol nip blg 2026 04 23	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xa7fe75…
04-22 17:37:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0xa1cdbf…
04-22 17:35:52	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x5045dc…
04-22 17:35:16	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Magic	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xbb1f87…
04-22 17:35:04	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Suns	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0x859b7a…
04-13 02:27:15	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	4,837	6¢	$300	0x5a02dd…
04-13 02:25:21	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xda51d0…
04-13 02:23:01	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	317	69¢	$219	0x676b54…
04-11 23:29:13	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x86650e…
04-11 23:24:11	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	451	51¢	$230	0x567d83…
04-06 16:57:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	128	34¢	$44	0x685f06…
04-06 16:56:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	140	17¢	$24	0x3e08b0…
04-05 21:09:15	ufc tat loo 2026 04 11	Tatiana Suarez	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x79cbeb…
04-05 20:59:33	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xf30264…
04-05 20:57:53	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	317	69¢	$220	0x6f6c46…
04-05 20:56:19	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x8183f1…
04-05 20:55:43	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,421	2¢	$100	0x9a6cec…
04-05 20:49:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x322e92…
04-05 20:31:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x5eda2e…
04-05 20:28:33	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Johnny Walker	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x93453f…
03-15 23:05:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	17,738	0¢	$71	0x23fa6a…
03-15 23:05:15	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x99ad3d…
03-15 23:04:25	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xcbf9e5…
03-11 18:09:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x861aa9…
03-10 09:21:15	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Movsar Evloev	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xc2e5b8…
03-10 09:03:55	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x54ba14…
03-10 09:00:51	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8ee2ad…
03-10 08:23:51	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0xa31d7e…
03-09 12:03:33	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xc7cf4e…
03-09 02:24:03	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x6ca829…
03-09 02:24:01	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x19d7ce…
03-09 02:09:23	will bitcoin dip to 65500 on march 8	No	BUY	79	82¢	$65	0xe0d558…
03-09 02:09:23	will bitcoin dip to 65500 on march 8	No	BUY	1	82¢	$0	0x6c3bf4…
03-09 02:09:19	will bitcoin dip to 65500 on march 8	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x9015fd…
03-09 02:09:11	will bitcoin dip to 65500 on march 8	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x65d4a6…
03-09 02:07:57	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	16	78¢	$13	0xda0277…
03-09 02:07:15	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x429bfe…
03-08 23:57:21	will gold gc hit low 5000 by end of march	No	BUY	182	39¢	$71	0x50fe8a…
03-08 09:09:07	will trump say sleepy joe this week march 15	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xb985a3…
03-08 08:22:17	will trump say sleepy joe this week march 15	No	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xb8defb…
03-08 08:21:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa2c708…
03-07 02:57:15	will crude oil cl settle at 60 in march	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0xa7b7db…
03-07 01:44:29	will gold gc hit low 5000 by end of march	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xb99c22…
03-07 00:56:43	peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	Yes	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0x38bbbe…
03-07 00:07:37	peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x637065…
03-06 23:58:07	peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x8fd931…
03-06 23:48:07	peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x56911f…
03-06 19:28:55	bitcoin above 70k on march 7	Yes	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0xb9e095…
03-06 19:26:47	will crude oil cl settle at 60 in march	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x53c264…
03-06 19:21:55	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb730e9…
03-06 19:19:41	will the uk join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x46d51a…
03-06 19:17:35	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xcef45f…
03-06 19:16:07	will gold gc hit low 5000 by end of march	No	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xa1957e…
03-05 09:34:21	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0xaa3d2d…
03-05 09:26:31	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xb5597e…
03-05 09:25:23	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x26e7e8…
03-05 09:21:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	60	64¢	$39	0x6adda0…
03-05 09:21:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xd03824…
03-05 09:21:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x60d6eb…
03-05 09:20:01	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd78c69…
03-05 09:16:53	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x35ebd9…
03-05 08:48:59	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x09b63c…
03-05 08:48:57	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xfaa27d…
03-05 08:23:01	ufc cod1 xia 2026 03 07	Xiao Long	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x009da4…
03-05 08:02:15	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	161	69¢	$111	0xaf2718…
02-09 13:54:53	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xc743b6…
02-09 13:52:07	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Hernandez	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xdff19a…
02-09 13:50:11	us tariff revenue up in q4 2025	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x432d3f…
02-09 13:46:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x76b3ce…
02-09 13:33:27	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x4eaf18…