Natural-Bid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

144

Trades

306

lifetime

Volume

$2.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-21 01:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

94% 54% -$10

Sports

5% 33% -$34

Politics

1% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
open up or down on february 17 2026	5	$98	70	70	+0	Down	+$11	02-17 21:02
open up or down on february 20 2026	2	$97	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	02-20 19:18
open up or down on february 18 2026	2	$75	40	40	+0	Up	+$5	02-18 23:06
lib liv dim 2026 02 17 total 1pt5	2	$74	50	50	+0	Over	+$26	02-18 02:28
lib nap bot 2026 02 18 total 1pt5	9	$60	50	50	+0	Under	+$1	02-19 01:49
mex caz tig 2026 02 15 total 1pt5	3	$51	50	50	+0	Over	+$16	02-15 23:49
mex mon1 leo 2026 02 14 mon1	2	$46	32	32	+0	Yes	+$6	02-15 02:36
mex pac atl 2026 02 14 btts	2	$45	50	50	+0	Yes	-$5	02-15 00:19
lal ray mad 2026 02 14 total 1pt5	6	$44	30	30	+0	Over	+$5	02-15 16:13
lal rea rso 2026 02 14 btts	2	$43	28	28	+0	Yes	+$13	02-14 20:40
uel pao1 cel4 2026 02 19 total 1pt5	3	$42	22	40	-18	Over	+$3	02-19 18:20
nba uta hou 2026 02 23 total 223pt5	6	$40	30	30	+0	Over	+$1	02-24 04:20
uel pao1 cel4 2026 02 19 cel4	2	$35	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	02-19 19:35
uel cel3 stu3 2026 02 19 stu3	2	$34	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	02-19 21:41
sea nap rom 2026 02 15 btts	2	$33	23	23	+0	Yes	+$13	02-15 20:32
lal bil elc 2026 02 20 bil	6	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	+$9	02-20 21:59
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 btts	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	02-16 23:41
nflx up or down on march 16 2026	5	$29	35	35	+0	Down	-$2	03-16 19:53
ucl ata1 bvb 2026 02 25 ata1	2	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	02-25 18:55
mex gua ame 2026 02 14 gua	4	$28	22	22	+0	Yes	+$8	02-15 04:58
lal lev val 2026 02 15 total 1pt5	2	$27	30	30	+0	Over	+$6	02-15 18:51
nflx up or down on march 2 2026	2	$24	70	0	+70	Up	-$24	03-02 15:57
lal bet cel 2026 03 15 bet	2	$22	40	40	+0	No	+$2	03-15 18:56
ucl gal1 juv 2026 02 17 gal1	5	$22	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	02-17 19:03
will open close between 4 and 5 week february 13 2026	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	02-13 21:07
mex tig pac 2026 02 20 pac	2	$21	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	02-21 02:49
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-16?	2	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$11	05-17 03:13
bun b04 mai 2026 02 28 total 1pt5	2	$20	12	12	+0	Over	+$4	02-28 16:24
es2 zar bur 2026 02 28 total 1pt5	2	$20	40	20	+20	Under	+$0	02-28 16:45
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	3	$20	32	32	+0	No	+$1	03-17 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 01:20:16	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x4a669f…
06-20 21:43:08	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x1034ba…
06-20 20:52:23	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x719a3c…
06-20 04:02:05	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xfa7cb8…
06-18 19:42:25	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xede648…
06-17 23:05:08	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0a1800…
06-17 20:08:01	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc875d5…
06-17 05:22:02	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x211438…
06-15 03:44:33	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xa32589…
06-13 14:54:52	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x0b569a…
06-12 03:38:22	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x101aa8…
06-12 01:49:51	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xec54cb…
05-31 02:05:44	Mexico vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x934534…
05-25 03:04:44	Will Pumas UNAM win Liga MX?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x410e11…
05-25 03:04:44	Will Pumas UNAM win Liga MX?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x1381db…
05-25 02:51:25	Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x376185…
05-25 01:09:14	Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x300586…
05-25 01:09:13	Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x89276a…
05-23 02:14:08	Mexico vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x308ed3…
05-23 02:14:06	Mexico vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe2b38e…
05-18 02:37:56	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0c909a…
05-17 03:13:11	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x85f283…
05-17 01:10:58	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x124de0…
05-14 02:43:28	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xeae2c0…
05-11 01:40:43	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x4cd5ed…
05-11 01:21:14	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x443415…
05-10 02:48:02	Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x77c5d7…
05-10 01:54:38	Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xb0fefc…
05-10 01:54:33	Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xfa4672…
05-04 01:22:24	Will CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x219b7c…
05-04 00:58:44	Will CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xfdef35…
05-03 18:33:14	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x5eb143…
05-02 05:15:30	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x5bcc5b…
04-19 03:53:56	mex ame tol 2026 04 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x77fe7e…
04-18 02:48:56	mex asl pum 2026 04 17 spread away 1pt5	Atlético San Luis	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x4b4b57…
04-18 02:30:42	mex asl pum 2026 04 17 spread away 1pt5	Atlético San Luis	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xee3064…
04-13 20:29:27	amzn up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x12e877…
04-13 20:25:17	amzn up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x0c205a…
04-13 15:37:41	amzn up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x49f079…
04-13 15:21:03	amzn up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4a5a29…
04-13 15:21:03	amzn up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x331396…
04-11 02:04:07	mex pue leo 2026 04 10 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x4da509…
04-08 18:59:15	uel scb bet1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe322f2…
04-08 17:59:43	uel scb bet1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf8c48e…
04-07 22:28:53	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	Real Madrid CF	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd80f17…
04-07 20:04:19	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	Real Madrid CF	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa67954…
04-07 19:44:57	amzn up or down on april 7 2026	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x8e4902…
04-07 19:43:45	amzn up or down on april 7 2026	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcf27a9…
04-07 16:03:49	amzn up or down on april 7 2026	Up	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0xb404a3…
04-07 15:32:37	amzn up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x01882a…
04-06 05:07:39	mex gua pum 2026 04 05 btts	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa039fe…
04-06 02:21:59	mex gua pum 2026 04 05 btts	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb9af8a…
04-06 01:44:15	nba lal dal 2026 04 05	Lakers	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x29f047…
03-17 21:26:31	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	Yes	SELL	32	32¢	$10	0xd34e8c…
03-17 20:21:45	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xfee26d…
03-17 20:19:53	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa0038f…
03-16 20:12:59	lal ray lev 2026 03 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6f89dc…
03-16 20:03:33	open up or down on march 16 2026	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf07239…
03-16 19:53:19	nflx up or down on march 16 2026	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x2660e0…
03-16 19:31:05	nflx up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf0c365…
03-16 19:00:51	nflx up or down on march 16 2026	Up	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x378c27…
03-16 18:53:49	nflx up or down on march 16 2026	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x7d7b2e…
03-16 17:25:33	nflx up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb1c199…
03-16 16:29:05	open up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x34f71b…
03-15 18:56:11	lal bet cel 2026 03 15 bet	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x3ecafb…
03-15 17:48:01	lal bet cel 2026 03 15 bet	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x04e267…
03-15 00:22:09	mls clt mia 2026 03 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xde2c41…
03-13 19:36:27	open up or down on march 13 2026	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x912b63…
03-13 17:02:29	open up or down on march 13 2026	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xf985d5…
03-11 21:21:31	ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 btts	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcff716…
03-11 19:07:47	open up or down on march 11 2026	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x059c65…
03-11 15:14:51	open up or down on march 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x364824…
03-08 03:26:11	mex tig mon1 2026 03 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x405fcc…
03-08 03:25:47	mex tig mon1 2026 03 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4a628b…
03-08 03:24:49	mex tig mon1 2026 03 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc21f79…
03-08 02:45:53	mex pac pue 2026 03 07 pac	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x1100bd…
03-08 01:26:01	mex pac pue 2026 03 07 pac	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x42fc19…
03-08 00:34:31	mex caz asl 2026 03 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xda7470…
03-08 00:32:03	mex caz asl 2026 03 07 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x656d5c…
03-08 00:24:05	mex caz asl 2026 03 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe59b1f…
03-08 00:17:03	mex caz asl 2026 03 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4510b0…
03-07 20:22:17	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 btts	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4db723…
03-07 17:10:33	lal lev gir 2026 03 07 gir	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x5c2916…
03-07 16:39:25	lal lev gir 2026 03 07 gir	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x65e349…
03-07 16:39:09	lal lev gir 2026 03 07 gir	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x502966…
03-07 16:32:05	lal lev gir 2026 03 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x105294…
03-07 15:46:57	lal lev gir 2026 03 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x20cc0c…
03-07 06:26:41	lal get bet 2026 03 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3b01b0…
03-07 05:02:03	mex nec pum 2026 03 06 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x2fb015…
03-07 03:43:59	mex nec pum 2026 03 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5872dc…
03-07 03:33:57	mex nec pum 2026 03 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x26c27c…
03-07 03:15:41	mex nec pum 2026 03 06 btts	Yes	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xbd2502…
03-07 03:15:37	mex nec pum 2026 03 06 btts	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x9dda7e…
03-07 03:15:01	mex nec pum 2026 03 06 btts	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x5845b8…
03-07 01:58:39	mex maz leo 2026 03 06 btts	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9b56b1…
03-07 01:38:37	mex maz leo 2026 03 06 leo	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xabd1b2…
03-07 01:12:01	mex maz leo 2026 03 06 btts	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x884d1e…
03-07 01:12:01	mex maz leo 2026 03 06 btts	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4452c6…
03-06 21:12:27	nflx up or down on march 6 2026	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbbded1…
03-06 14:50:15	nflx up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xfeae51…