Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.34K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

22.2%

Resolved

238

Trades

727

lifetime

Volume

$5.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-20

last 10-09 23:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

51% 5% -$1,037

Crypto

25% 37% -$124

Other

24% 25% -$182

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 580 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+109	$12	6¢	$6	-$6	09-24 11:25
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes		+6	$2	4¢	$0	-$2	09-24 19:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	8	$580	2,266	473	+1,794	No	-$315	09-20 22:09
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	5	$540	5,107	327	+4,780	No	-$354	09-21 08:45
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$362	899	899	+0	Yes	-$38	09-21 08:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$302	261	261	+0	open	—	09-23 18:40
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	7	$229	202	202	+0	open	—	09-27 08:15
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	2	$224	506	506	+0	No	+$4	09-24 07:46
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	3	$223	321	321	+0	No	-$10	09-26 02:40
trump renames ai by september 30	3	$221	168	168	+0	Yes	+$21	09-23 21:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$197	278	278	+0	open	—	09-22 17:56
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	2	$192	3,046	3,046	+0	Yes	-$174	09-21 09:35
will trump say economy during his evening remarks with xi jinping	4	$189	209	209	+0	No	-$21	09-24 20:11
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	2	$145	103	103	+0	open	—	09-26 02:43
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	2	$140	411	411	+0	Yes	$0	09-20 23:36
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	3	$135	871	871	+0	Yes	-$115	09-21 09:34
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?	2	$129	538	538	+0	Yes	-$11	09-20 23:31
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	2	$118	1,669	1,669	+0	Yes	-$22	09-20 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 09:50 UTC	3	$100	70	70	-0	Down	-$10	09-25 09:54
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$99	114	114	+0	Yes	-$1	09-24 18:00
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	4	$73	139	139	+0	No	-$13	09-24 17:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 12:45 UTC	15	$63	172	72	+100	Down	+$1	09-25 12:49
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$59	34	34	+0	open	—	10-09 23:11
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	2	$58	1,319	0	+1,319	No	-$58	09-21 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:05 UTC	8	$56	46	46	+0	Up	+$4	09-25 10:09
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$55	1,007	0	+1,007	Up	-$55	09-21 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:10 UTC	4	$40	128	28	+100	Up	-$2	09-25 11:14
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$39	551	0	+551	No	-$39	09-22 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$30	105	0	+105	Down	-$30	09-21 00:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:40 UTC	6	$25	28	28	+0	Down	-$1	09-25 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:30 UTC	2	$24	18	18	+0	Down	+$4	09-25 11:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 08:30 UTC	3	$24	49	11	+38	Down	-$4	09-25 08:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 23:11:25	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	85¢	$29	0xfcc6ed…
09-27 08:15:24	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	59¢	$58	0xec6003…
09-26 02:43:06	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	103	61¢	$63	0x5119ad…
09-26 02:41:12	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x155729…
09-26 02:41:03	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x1e044a…
09-26 02:40:54	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	83	4¢	$3	0xfb7ceb…
09-26 00:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb8a7b0…
09-26 00:16:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x201e8a…
09-26 00:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xbe7ac8…
09-26 00:11:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3017f7…
09-26 00:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x973dc1…
09-26 00:01:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x41009c…
09-25 23:56:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcece5a…
09-25 23:47:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6c1a90…
09-25 23:46:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x10b0ea…
09-25 23:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1f7664…
09-25 23:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7760c2…
09-25 23:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0595c5…
09-25 23:32:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6c3752…
09-25 23:21:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9f1f2f…
09-25 23:20:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x24a5b5…
09-25 23:18:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa025e4…
09-25 23:12:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xacf3a7…
09-25 23:10:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x18c48e…
09-25 23:10:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc8a5d6…
09-25 23:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe22e2c…
09-25 23:07:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6594d8…
09-25 23:06:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x847a41…
09-25 23:03:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa093eb…
09-25 23:01:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x825a35…
09-25 22:57:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5f9048…
09-25 22:55:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x55972c…
09-25 22:53:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x58bfad…
09-25 22:51:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x15ef74…
09-25 22:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc43373…
09-25 22:47:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0fd414…
09-25 22:47:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe55506…
09-25 22:43:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x05c32e…
09-25 22:43:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x78ef74…
09-25 22:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xa725a8…
09-25 22:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbd0fd1…
09-25 22:41:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa40286…
09-25 22:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf99d01…
09-25 22:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xef8a00…
09-25 22:28:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbee32b…
09-25 22:23:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4acc2a…
09-25 22:16:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x466a31…
09-25 22:11:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf29495…
09-25 22:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe5505e…
09-25 22:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6e8433…
09-25 22:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xfc4daa…
09-25 21:57:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x73bfe2…
09-25 21:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6cf944…
09-25 21:53:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf7d9b0…
09-25 21:52:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9c03b6…
09-25 21:46:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd6777a…
09-25 21:42:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd8d6ca…
09-25 21:36:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x043e6b…
09-25 21:35:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x723461…
09-25 21:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf2b768…
09-25 21:31:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x790b28…
09-25 21:27:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x15e1f6…
09-25 21:26:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x017979…
09-25 21:26:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb8bd8b…
09-25 21:21:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc61af0…
09-25 21:16:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa7fb8e…
09-25 21:14:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x15386b…
09-25 21:13:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb85690…
09-25 21:13:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8c5073…
09-25 21:12:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe22242…
09-25 21:06:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1a9cc7…
09-25 21:04:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc72277…
09-25 21:03:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x24d11f…
09-25 21:01:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbe7b0f…
09-25 21:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x35084f…
09-25 20:55:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd2670a…
09-25 20:50:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x242370…
09-25 20:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7438a9…
09-25 20:40:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2ab0ff…
09-25 20:26:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4ae092…
09-25 20:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc118e6…
09-25 20:22:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0a4876…
09-25 20:21:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc2cb71…
09-25 20:15:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe6fcf1…
09-25 20:15:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x50d09d…
09-25 20:12:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb8c385…
09-25 20:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x078b95…
09-25 20:11:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x15f9e5…
09-25 20:11:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdeec2c…
09-25 20:10:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xeade14…
09-25 20:10:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2d98bb…
09-25 20:09:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf1cb13…
09-25 20:08:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xfd3516…
09-25 20:07:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x344713…
09-25 20:07:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf16b0f…
09-25 20:06:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc596aa…
09-25 20:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8a4700…
09-25 20:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa1aaaf…
09-25 19:56:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x751d94…
09-25 19:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xde2c06…