Rectangular-Tower — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.3%

Resolved

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 08-11 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

62% 20% $-25

Crypto

20% 63% +$2

Politics

15% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 13:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 10:12
James Comey arrested by April 30?	4	$188	175	175	+0	open	—	04-29 16:15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 8?	4	$174	200	200	+0	No	$-20	05-08 10:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$166	380	380	+0	open	—	05-12 21:03
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	7	$150	149	149	+0	open	—	05-26 06:07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	6	$148	150	150	+0	open	—	05-24 14:58
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	6	$139	150	150	+0	open	—	05-15 13:44
Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	05-16 22:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 14 2026	3	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	07-13 21:34
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$86	50	50	+0	No	$-0	05-08 08:03
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?	2	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	05-18 11:44
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 19?	2	$79	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 07:09
will nvda dip to 208 by july 13 2026	4	$74	40	40	+0	open	—	07-13 13:37
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	2	$63	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 13:44
will trump say miami during ufc 250 20260610182827984	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	06-16 11:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	3	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	05-20 06:42
will rklb dip to 76 by august 10 2026	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	08-11 13:43
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 21:10
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-26 14:09
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$28	100	0	+100	open	—	07-11 21:11
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 06:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$26	27	27	+0	open	—	04-30 06:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$26	50	8	+42	open	—	05-23 20:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	4	$26	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 08:09
francisco conceicao 20260609175357538	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	06-14 02:22
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	2	$23	50	50	+0	open	—	04-28 09:32
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$20	11	11	+0	The Huns Esports	+$0	05-11 14:36
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$17	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 13:43:21	will rklb dip to 76 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x0fa353…
08-11 13:31:34	will rklb dip to 76 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7f7f55…
07-13 21:34:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 14 2026	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xe77653…
07-13 20:52:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 14 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x877759…
07-13 20:51:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 14 2026	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x24ef6d…
07-13 13:37:17	will nvda dip to 208 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x48fdf2…
07-13 13:35:44	will nvda dip to 208 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xd640d0…
07-13 13:35:38	will nvda dip to 208 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xd8e3bc…
07-13 13:31:59	will nvda dip to 208 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x3654e9…
07-13 07:39:44	will elon post never on x this week 20260703150058736	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xbcdd40…
07-11 21:11:59	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xe000db…
06-24 10:17:56	btc updown 5m 1782296100	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x37443e…
06-24 10:15:08	btc updown 5m 1782296100	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfaa809…
06-16 11:14:16	will trump say miami during ufc 250 20260610182827984	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa6cf63…
06-16 11:09:15	will trump say miami during ufc 250 20260610182827984	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7692b0…
06-14 02:22:45	francisco conceicao 20260609175357538	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x399833…
06-13 16:02:00	francisco conceicao 20260609175357538	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x489a28…
06-13 05:18:24	kevin castano 20260609175657507	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0x63ea57…
06-12 19:40:36	kevin castano 20260609175657507	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xc30c98…
06-12 11:17:09	btc updown 5m 1781262900	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9f6246…
06-08 10:59:40	btc updown 5m 1780916100	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x913947…
06-08 10:55:18	btc updown 5m 1780916100	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9474ac…
06-08 09:21:58	btc updown 5m 1780910400	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x8995c8…
06-08 09:20:43	btc updown 5m 1780910400	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbf4d2e…
06-08 06:32:31	btc updown 5m 1780900200	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xab5305…
06-08 06:30:15	btc updown 5m 1780900200	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfb867b…
06-08 06:25:28	btc updown 5m 1780899900	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xccc972…
06-08 06:22:52	btc updown 5m 1780899600	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x55424b…
06-08 06:20:22	btc updown 5m 1780899600	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4f60a9…
06-02 11:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1c9a71…
06-02 11:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xc73c18…
06-02 11:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xcf5e0a…
06-02 09:40:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x56fef0…
06-01 10:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd83461…
06-01 10:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x857ad1…
06-01 10:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xde4fae…
06-01 10:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf0c90a…
06-01 10:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3fab86…
06-01 10:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6407f6…
06-01 09:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdc5bcb…
06-01 08:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdc9d75…
06-01 08:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9d4438…
06-01 08:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x39a0a9…
05-28 11:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x76a116…
05-28 11:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2f12b5…
05-28 11:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x14bf14…
05-28 11:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2ca2e5…
05-28 11:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb55ba8…
05-28 08:51:46	JD Vance out as VP by June 15?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x2322ed…
05-27 07:00:03	Will Donald Trump dance on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x1e4414…
05-26 14:09:47	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x79640b…
05-26 13:37:05	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x5d71bd…
05-26 06:07:19	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x1980a7…
05-26 06:06:10	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xbe96ed…
05-26 05:14:21	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x2cb446…
05-26 05:14:07	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xdb6484…
05-26 05:10:17	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xbd783e…
05-25 10:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x54e25c…
05-25 10:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x262ab6…
05-25 10:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x673d86…
05-25 09:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x595c09…
05-25 09:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8355d2…
05-25 08:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x737f08…
05-24 14:58:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x4feef2…
05-24 14:57:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x595a77…
05-24 14:52:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x83ec25…
05-24 14:50:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xa4974b…
05-23 20:30:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xa6eaf1…
05-23 20:07:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xe74add…
05-23 19:49:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x46372b…
05-23 19:47:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x1dc7b6…
05-23 11:04:56	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	49	50¢	$24	0x8ccf7b…
05-23 10:45:38	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	49	48¢	$23	0x284f14…
05-22 10:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x4c2ed0…
05-22 10:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd3158d…
05-22 10:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf76695…
05-22 05:31:33	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x516031…
05-22 05:30:03	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xcfd579…
05-21 20:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3d07a7…
05-21 20:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x485e2e…
05-21 20:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1e2105…
05-21 20:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbed2aa…
05-21 20:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe5cf75…
05-21 20:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8fa45d…
05-21 17:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf37cbf…
05-21 17:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x36bc4f…
05-20 06:42:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xd5da05…
05-20 06:41:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x051de6…
05-20 06:40:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0xe419b4…
05-19 08:31:36	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x46e608…
05-19 08:30:50	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xafe401…
05-19 07:09:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 19?	No	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x55baee…
05-19 06:15:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 19?	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x061200…
05-18 11:44:59	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x383371…
05-18 11:44:43	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xa1388a…
05-16 22:16:30	Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x04a90a…
05-16 21:10:07	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xdb469c…
05-16 21:09:34	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x6b56d9…
05-16 21:08:45	Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7285c4…
05-16 20:51:29	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xbe84d3…