Oily-Leather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

146

Trades

392

lifetime

Volume

$4.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-04 23:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 56% -$100

Other

13% 29% +$88

Politics

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	11	$213	183	183	+0	Down	-$27	11-03 00:44
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	2	$205	117	117	+0	Yes	+$25	06-30 22:32
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	13	$204	137	137	+0	Down	-$6	11-04 23:36
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	9	$176	107	107	+0	Up	+$26	11-03 00:39
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	7	$168	98	98	+0	Up	+$8	11-04 22:24
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	6	$151	88	88	+0	Up	+$21	11-03 00:49
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	7	$144	75	75	+0	Up	+$4	11-03 00:34
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	8	$143	102	102	+0	Down	+$3	11-04 23:08
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	7	$139	148	103	+45	Up	-$81	11-03 00:57
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	5	$137	72	72	+0	Down	+$7	11-04 23:16
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	4	$137	225	225	+0	Yes	+$97	07-15 20:53
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	8	$136	108	108	+0	Down	-$4	11-04 21:17
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	5	$129	78	78	+0	Up	+$19	11-03 00:31
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	7	$126	85	85	+0	Down	+$7	11-04 23:21
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	5	$126	68	68	+0	Up	+$6	11-04 22:20
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	8	$117	78	78	+0	Down	-$3	11-03 00:53
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$99	56	56	+0	Up	+$11	11-03 00:23
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	6	$91	95	95	+0	Up	-$29	11-04 22:05
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$91	51	51	+0	Up	+$11	11-04 22:10
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$84	49	49	+0	Down	+$4	11-04 21:23
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$73	43	43	+0	Up	+$13	11-04 21:13
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$70	40	40	+0	Up	+$10	11-01 20:40
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$70	41	41	+0	Up	+$10	11-04 22:34
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$65	36	36	+0	Up	+$5	11-01 20:31
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	2	$63	49	49	+0	Yes	+$23	07-01 17:48
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$61	44	22	+22	Up	+$3	11-04 23:37
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$61	44	44	+0	Down	+$1	11-01 20:44
bitcoin above 94k on january 6	2	$59	91	91	+0	No	-$19	01-06 15:59
will xrp reach 3 in january 2026	2	$59	270	270	+0	No	-$2	01-07 03:56
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$55	35	35	+0	Up	+$5	11-04 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 23:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xc2a637…
11-04 23:36:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x3aae5d…
11-04 23:36:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x6fa41b…
11-04 23:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x6be8fd…
11-04 23:34:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0x594074…
11-04 23:33:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5b1ae3…
11-04 23:33:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x7971f8…
11-04 23:33:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x8a6db9…
11-04 23:33:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x5d9119…
11-04 23:33:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x317c64…
11-04 23:32:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xcfc71d…
11-04 23:32:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	32	55¢	$18	0x7e09bc…
11-04 23:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x287f05…
11-04 23:31:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe7320e…
11-04 23:31:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0x50bd8a…
11-04 23:30:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1682b3…
11-04 23:23:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0x228297…
11-04 23:23:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x8b0d97…
11-04 23:21:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x755fee…
11-04 23:20:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	18	53¢	$9	0x7bbe0a…
11-04 23:20:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd0f930…
11-04 23:18:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x35a5ab…
11-04 23:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc7f803…
11-04 23:16:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0xe0eed2…
11-04 23:16:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf0d405…
11-04 23:16:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0x1a3058…
11-04 23:15:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	55¢	$14	0x9cb23c…
11-04 23:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x933818…
11-04 23:12:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x8fb682…
11-04 23:12:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xeeec77…
11-04 23:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x299abe…
11-04 23:10:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7cac53…
11-04 23:08:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x9f3730…
11-04 23:08:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc8eebe…
11-04 23:07:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x4ffa03…
11-04 23:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x65fa18…
11-04 23:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xbb58b6…
11-04 23:06:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x50fc70…
11-04 23:06:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc0117f…
11-04 23:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x853db5…
11-04 22:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xafe200…
11-04 22:32:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x9eef6c…
11-04 22:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x85e512…
11-04 22:24:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xdd46e5…
11-04 22:22:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc43b5d…
11-04 22:22:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xa6462c…
11-04 22:21:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	53	82¢	$44	0xdf13a8…
11-04 22:21:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x8c8dd9…
11-04 22:20:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa1d804…
11-04 22:20:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x087a4a…
11-04 22:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x97296d…
11-04 22:17:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x901c1f…
11-04 22:17:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x915534…
11-04 22:16:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x4ce85b…
11-04 22:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x624093…
11-04 22:10:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x67d914…
11-04 22:06:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x4f4115…
11-04 22:06:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x6adb23…
11-04 22:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xc274b3…
11-04 22:04:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x27844a…
11-04 22:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x7cba5e…
11-04 22:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xc1701b…
11-04 22:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	43	19¢	$8	0xc9883d…
11-04 22:03:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xa3bc32…
11-04 21:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x95a10e…
11-04 21:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1df819…
11-04 21:40:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3a33cf…
11-04 21:35:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xaa4c47…
11-04 21:28:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x52fe66…
11-04 21:27:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf3bfef…
11-04 21:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x116304…
11-04 21:23:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xaedffa…
11-04 21:22:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x0238f7…
11-04 21:22:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	24	85¢	$21	0xc564e6…
11-04 21:21:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x425099…
11-04 21:17:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xaf8535…
11-04 21:16:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x9fb582…
11-04 21:16:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x9de98a…
11-04 21:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x7a3812…
11-04 21:15:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	29	72¢	$21	0x63a2e6…
11-04 21:15:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xb2a10e…
11-04 21:15:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	31	64¢	$20	0x789b81…
11-04 21:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xa61778…
11-04 21:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x7d5ac2…
11-04 21:11:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x4b6066…
11-04 21:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf87936…
11-04 21:07:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0xe65d61…
11-04 21:05:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x362ef0…
11-04 21:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x22f60d…
11-03 00:57:28	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1a748c…
11-03 00:57:18	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd4a8d8…
11-03 00:57:16	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x8df023…
11-03 00:57:06	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	103	28¢	$29	0x792008…
11-03 00:56:30	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x54f6d4…
11-03 00:56:09	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xc374fb…
11-03 00:56:04	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x92c496…
11-03 00:53:28	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0xaaf331…
11-03 00:52:52	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x866d32…
11-03 00:52:42	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	29	73¢	$21	0xa4a6bd…
11-03 00:52:01	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x614df8…