Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.4%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$699

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-21 04:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

57% 33% $-3

Politics

40% 50% $-2

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	5	$48	59	+59	open	—	02-02 00:02
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	4	$38	125	+125	open	—	02-02 00:14
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	3	$20	38	+38	open	—	02-13 10:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$19	28	+28	open	—	02-02 00:16
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	02-01 14:48
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	02-01 14:41
will russia enter zaliznychne by february 28	1	$10	26	+26	open	—	02-01 14:41
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$9	13	+13	open	—	05-11 02:24
will warsh say job 15 times during june press conference 20260608181156648	1	$8	15	+15	open	—	06-16 18:02
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	03-17 20:11
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	04-07 23:44
bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-04 18:10
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	03-17 11:49
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	04-20 16:27
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 65 89	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-13 09:07
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	03-05 18:50
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	03-07 03:37
msft up or down on april 10 2026	1	$8	16	+16	open	—	04-10 00:35
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	04-26 09:52
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-18 04:32
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-05 10:49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	04-26 01:50
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	03-19 15:54
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	04-14 15:41
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	03-16 10:48
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	03-19 07:24
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	02-28 07:33
will nvda reach 200 in february	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	02-15 02:02
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	03-01 23:44
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-01 07:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 04:37:25	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x62069a…
06-20 07:15:17	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x092e3a…
06-17 15:17:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x891795…
06-16 18:02:32	will warsh say job 15 times during june press conference 20260608181156648	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xce4938…
06-12 07:05:07	will warsh say groupthink or group think during june press conference 20260608181156670	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe53199…
05-28 00:37:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x10c66d…
05-27 08:36:09	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x00297b…
05-17 03:06:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xd9fb97…
05-16 19:04:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x736e8b…
05-16 11:03:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xae28cd…
05-15 10:55:35	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x9f8665…
05-15 02:47:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x2903a2…
05-13 10:31:33	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x3179d1…
05-13 02:29:31	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x41242a…
05-12 02:25:33	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xae7824…
05-11 02:24:10	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x53fe00…
04-27 02:00:04	Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x80a4fb…
04-26 17:53:22	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x633100…
04-26 09:52:42	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x986a90…
04-26 01:50:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x659bf4…
04-25 17:48:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xefe2a9…
04-25 01:31:22	Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x383dce…
04-24 01:27:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x5560aa…
04-23 01:25:38	Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3941ff…
04-22 17:18:30	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xe5e59b…
04-22 08:42:28	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xe83420…
04-22 00:42:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	9	48¢	$5	0xd44e36…
04-21 16:33:44	Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x52be1a…
04-21 00:28:28	xagusd up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x3f2fe2…
04-20 16:27:22	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xebae98…
04-15 08:34:08	will trump say paper tiger during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa7c0a1…
04-14 15:41:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x594504…
04-14 05:07:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x22e9f5…
04-13 20:38:55	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x67ae4a…
04-13 12:30:13	will madison airs market cap be between 12pt5b and 13pt0b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x9b483e…
04-13 04:04:45	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xbeb9c6…
04-12 19:15:19	trump approval up or down this week 715	Up	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x66792a…
04-12 04:17:13	will madison airs market cap be greater than 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6b86e8…
04-11 11:21:05	will nvda dip to 180 by april 13 2026	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b32de…
04-11 01:26:15	nflx up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x17e141…
04-10 17:18:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x911f5b…
04-10 09:04:29	nvda up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x0a7fb5…
04-10 00:35:25	msft up or down on april 10 2026	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x104409…
04-09 16:23:29	will bernard drainville be the next premier of quebec following the 2026 caq leadership elections	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x213272…
04-09 08:19:07	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xfa6aa6…
04-08 23:49:47	aapl up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xd88569…
04-08 15:46:19	will tisza win at least 120 seats	No	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xef333e…
04-08 07:44:23	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x3879bb…
04-07 23:44:15	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x1a3196…
04-07 15:41:05	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x66c0ca…
04-07 07:36:15	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 80 99	No	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x0745e5…
03-23 01:29:57	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 neg0pt51	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x1bd698…
03-22 06:13:01	fds quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 4pt37	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x403e5a…
03-21 20:36:23	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 2pt22	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x3b6cdd…
03-20 20:19:23	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xa2a96e…
03-19 23:54:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$4	0x98324f…
03-19 15:54:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x530ba5…
03-19 07:24:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x75e5af…
03-18 23:16:57	will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xadf50d…
03-18 14:33:01	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x94ef0a…
03-18 04:32:27	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x2aa1bb…
03-17 20:11:25	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xac3a98…
03-17 11:49:21	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc921d3…
03-17 02:54:49	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xff66d9…
03-16 10:48:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xf7b80c…
03-16 02:47:33	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x667e95…
03-15 18:04:13	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x8d3430…
03-15 09:48:21	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfcf30a…
03-15 01:41:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc911fe…
03-14 17:27:19	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x110695…
03-14 09:06:41	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xcdac84…
03-13 17:19:09	will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xb2811d…
03-13 09:07:27	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 65 89	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xec2164…
03-13 00:49:59	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xc5d59e…
03-12 16:49:15	will daniel biss be the democratic nominee for il 09	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x878acb…
03-12 08:34:11	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xd1f0d4…
03-12 00:31:47	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 65 89	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0xcfe540…
03-11 16:18:29	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x78de99…
03-11 08:15:25	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x4f7f44…
03-07 03:37:45	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x82b41f…
03-06 19:27:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xf0e77d…
03-06 10:57:13	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x62d001…
03-06 02:51:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x5d126b…
03-05 18:50:29	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x2f9dab…
03-05 10:49:41	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xd8d987…
03-04 18:10:57	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xadad60…
03-04 10:09:55	will trump say hottest during tech signing event on wednesday	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x776949…
03-04 01:51:53	will kate abughazaleh be the democratic nominee for il 09	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x7670d4…
03-03 17:51:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xacdc20…
03-03 09:48:15	donald trump of truth social posts february 27 march 6 120 139	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x391a91…
03-01 23:44:53	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	Yes	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x76d91b…
03-01 15:44:47	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x96557f…
03-01 07:35:59	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	Yes	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x76194a…
02-28 15:34:53	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xf5d085…
02-28 07:33:37	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x8e0f2a…
02-15 02:02:15	will nvda reach 200 in february	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x936594…
02-14 17:53:29	tsla above 440 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x1ef5ed…
02-14 07:14:05	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x0aa988…
02-13 10:49:27	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x995990…
02-12 07:42:07	will russia enter bilytske by february 28	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x5f3ff2…