Upbeat-Elbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

686

lifetime

Volume

$72.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-27 11:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Politics

38% 0% $-146

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?	Yes		-200	$-20	8¢	$-16	+$4	06-12 13:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+0	$24	0¢	$0	$-24	05-31 12:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	20	$2.4K	2,448	2,448	+0	open	—	05-14 17:02
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	25	$2.2K	2,020	1,320	+700	open	—	05-22 21:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$2.1K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	05-25 12:15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	19	$2.0K	3,743	3,743	+0	open	—	04-28 08:27
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	17	$2.0K	2,151	2,151	+0	open	—	05-01 11:21
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	10	$1.9K	1,411	611	+800	open	—	04-27 02:48
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	13	$1.9K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	04-15 15:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	8	$1.7K	700	1,100	-400	No	$-22	05-04 13:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-23 16:38
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	11	$1.6K	921	921	+0	open	—	05-04 12:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	15	$1.5K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	05-25 14:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	27	$1.4K	900	900	+0	No	$-72	05-04 10:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	14	$1.4K	863	860	+3	open	—	04-14 15:37
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	8	$1.4K	733	733	+0	open	—	03-27 03:34
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	6	$1.4K	900	837	+63	open	—	06-15 04:43
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	7	$1.3K	690	690	+0	open	—	04-13 16:32
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	11	$1.3K	749	749	+0	open	—	03-20 16:00
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	8	$1.3K	876	875	+0	open	—	04-01 15:23
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	2	$1.3K	635	635	+0	open	—	04-14 15:20
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 40 64	6	$1.2K	805	805	+0	open	—	03-27 16:31
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$1.2K	607	607	+0	open	—	02-01 07:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$1.1K	774	774	+0	open	—	05-10 17:18
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	20	$1.1K	1,038	1,035	+3	open	—	04-09 00:46
wti up or down on june 15 2026	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	06-15 15:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$1.1K	639	639	+0	open	—	04-13 15:18
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	8	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	04-22 14:57
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	13	$1.0K	1,168	1,168	+0	open	—	03-30 05:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	34	$1.0K	525	525	+0	open	—	04-14 10:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$1.0K	1,000	1,200	-200	open	—	06-15 15:05
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	3	$1.0K	512	512	+0	open	—	03-25 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 11:37:31	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xca2eab…
06-27 05:59:14	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$1	0xd13057…
06-26 23:29:52	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x7394ff…
06-26 21:17:05	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x3e6e10…
06-18 16:06:22	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	SELL	500	16¢	$81	0xa4add1…
06-17 06:15:26	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0xe68080…
06-16 18:46:56	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	500	87¢	$433	0xd4a66e…
06-16 16:57:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	127	57¢	$73	0x323332…
06-16 16:56:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	35	57¢	$20	0x25e63e…
06-16 16:54:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x5bc023…
06-16 16:49:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x0a821f…
06-16 16:46:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0x907b1b…
06-16 16:16:55	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	119	93¢	$111	0x475a38…
06-16 16:15:26	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb4644d…
06-16 16:13:49	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x79e2df…
06-16 16:11:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x2ba268…
06-16 16:10:49	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x51bf3d…
06-16 16:04:17	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	500	85¢	$426	0xea00ee…
06-16 16:01:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x8aa4eb…
06-16 15:58:34	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0xc75043…
06-16 15:58:22	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb8032e…
06-16 14:05:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	193	57¢	$110	0x87e35d…
06-15 15:14:03	wti up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	180	98¢	$176	0x09bd9d…
06-15 15:14:01	wti up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	920	98¢	$902	0xff9989…
06-15 15:05:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	1,000	48¢	$480	0xeb869d…
06-15 14:59:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	475	46¢	$219	0xccf11b…
06-15 14:59:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	525	46¢	$241	0x464996…
06-15 04:43:10	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	487	80¢	$390	0xc474f9…
06-14 14:48:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0xb5313b…
06-14 10:09:34	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	285	77¢	$219	0x73a1a8…
06-12 17:15:40	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0xb2bdfc…
06-12 17:15:10	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd37cc1…
06-12 17:13:24	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xa52c1f…
06-12 16:27:45	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x14939b…
06-12 16:27:43	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	305	5¢	$15	0xd30208…
06-12 16:14:36	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	854	4¢	$34	0x7454d7…
06-12 16:13:54	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	146	4¢	$6	0x972e4f…
06-12 13:50:30	Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0xa29bde…
06-12 12:08:36	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0x669e04…
06-11 07:54:09	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x57e9d5…
05-31 14:31:12	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	650	77¢	$500	0xa4d2f8…
05-31 14:30:51	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	77¢	$192	0xd6adf6…
05-31 12:24:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	662	29¢	$192	0x9973f0…
05-31 12:07:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0x26579b…
05-31 12:00:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x5fa9d5…
05-31 12:00:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xd27eca…
05-31 12:00:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xc141b6…
05-31 12:00:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x637893…
05-31 12:00:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x83d5a9…
05-31 11:59:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xa031ba…
05-31 11:59:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x6517c6…
05-31 11:59:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xe36941…
05-31 11:58:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x0d627f…
05-31 11:58:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x18f3b2…
05-31 11:58:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xb3e1c1…
05-31 11:58:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xc4c64a…
05-31 11:58:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x2e385c…
05-31 11:58:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x4d057d…
05-31 11:58:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x95672f…
05-31 11:57:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x024d55…
05-31 11:57:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x7727ed…
05-31 11:57:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xf1e99a…
05-31 11:57:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xb905ff…
05-31 11:57:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xa04811…
05-31 11:57:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xc9194a…
05-31 11:56:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x0a0096…
05-31 11:56:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x202d14…
05-31 11:56:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x4758c6…
05-31 11:56:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x596a32…
05-31 11:56:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x336841…
05-31 11:56:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xcf9c40…
05-31 11:56:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x1261bd…
05-31 11:56:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x73eaf8…
05-31 11:56:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x3b6df7…
05-31 11:56:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x46cc93…
05-30 19:19:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	800	32¢	$256	0x99bafa…
05-29 16:46:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	485	6¢	$30	0xcfe556…
05-29 16:41:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xc56a23…
05-29 16:30:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	400	79¢	$316	0x478063…
05-29 16:27:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	214	77¢	$165	0xb468da…
05-29 16:26:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x14b4bb…
05-29 16:26:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	380	77¢	$293	0x95e0d5…
05-29 00:53:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	700	57¢	$399	0x38226d…
05-28 23:43:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$298	0xd3d245…
05-28 16:48:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0x42f59c…
05-25 17:15:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	166	56¢	$93	0xdf9f32…
05-25 17:15:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xc3d0c5…
05-25 17:13:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	134	56¢	$75	0x79141a…
05-25 16:35:31	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	290	69¢	$200	0xe8ff38…
05-25 16:33:32	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	9	69¢	$7	0x79b0c1…
05-25 15:22:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x37dedb…
05-25 14:57:55	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	144	72¢	$104	0x7f6f72…
05-25 14:57:47	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	156	72¢	$112	0x8ae376…
05-25 14:51:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	36¢	$47	0xe7c360…
05-25 14:08:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x84577f…
05-25 14:08:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xc410ca…
05-25 14:08:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x26f99f…
05-25 14:07:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x0db09b…
05-25 13:02:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x806297…
05-25 13:02:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2c97fb…