Upbeat-Elbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

646

lifetime

Volume

$66.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-31 14:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Politics

38% 0% $-146

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+0	$24	10¢	$0	$-24	05-31 12:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	20	$2.4K	2,448	2,448	+0	open	—	05-14 17:02
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	25	$2.2K	2,020	1,320	+700	open	—	05-22 21:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$2.1K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	05-25 12:15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	19	$2.0K	3,743	3,743	+0	open	—	04-28 08:27
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	17	$2.0K	2,151	2,151	+0	open	—	05-01 11:21
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	10	$1.9K	1,411	611	+800	open	—	04-27 02:48
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	13	$1.9K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	04-15 15:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	8	$1.7K	700	1,100	-400	No	$-22	05-04 13:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-23 16:38
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	11	$1.6K	921	921	+0	open	—	05-04 12:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	15	$1.5K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	05-25 14:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	27	$1.4K	900	900	+0	No	$-72	05-04 10:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	14	$1.4K	863	860	+3	open	—	04-14 15:37
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	8	$1.4K	733	733	+0	open	—	03-27 03:34
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	7	$1.3K	690	690	+0	open	—	04-13 16:32
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	11	$1.3K	749	749	+0	open	—	03-20 16:00
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	8	$1.3K	876	875	+0	open	—	04-01 15:23
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	2	$1.3K	635	635	+0	open	—	04-14 15:20
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 40 64	6	$1.2K	805	805	+0	open	—	03-27 16:31
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$1.2K	607	607	+0	open	—	02-01 07:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$1.1K	774	774	+0	open	—	05-10 17:18
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	20	$1.1K	1,038	1,035	+3	open	—	04-09 00:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$1.1K	639	639	+0	open	—	04-13 15:18
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	8	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	04-22 14:57
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	13	$1.0K	1,168	1,168	+0	open	—	03-30 05:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	34	$1.0K	525	525	+0	open	—	04-14 10:24
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	3	$1.0K	512	512	+0	open	—	03-25 14:11
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$925	500	500	+0	open	—	05-09 13:41
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	5	$915	651	293	+358	open	—	03-21 12:12
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	6	$855	600	600	+0	open	—	05-25 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 14:31:12	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	650	77¢	$500	0xa4d2f8…
05-31 14:30:51	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	77¢	$192	0xd6adf6…
05-31 12:24:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	662	29¢	$192	0x9973f0…
05-31 12:07:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0x26579b…
05-31 12:00:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x5fa9d5…
05-31 12:00:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xd27eca…
05-31 12:00:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xc141b6…
05-31 12:00:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x637893…
05-31 12:00:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x83d5a9…
05-31 11:59:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xa031ba…
05-31 11:59:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x6517c6…
05-31 11:59:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xe36941…
05-31 11:58:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x0d627f…
05-31 11:58:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x18f3b2…
05-31 11:58:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xb3e1c1…
05-31 11:58:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xc4c64a…
05-31 11:58:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x2e385c…
05-31 11:58:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x4d057d…
05-31 11:58:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x95672f…
05-31 11:57:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x024d55…
05-31 11:57:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x7727ed…
05-31 11:57:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xf1e99a…
05-31 11:57:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xb905ff…
05-31 11:57:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xa04811…
05-31 11:57:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xc9194a…
05-31 11:56:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x0a0096…
05-31 11:56:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x202d14…
05-31 11:56:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x4758c6…
05-31 11:56:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x596a32…
05-31 11:56:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x336841…
05-31 11:56:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xcf9c40…
05-31 11:56:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x1261bd…
05-31 11:56:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x73eaf8…
05-31 11:56:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x3b6df7…
05-31 11:56:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x46cc93…
05-30 19:19:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	800	32¢	$256	0x99bafa…
05-29 16:46:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	485	6¢	$30	0xcfe556…
05-29 16:41:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xc56a23…
05-29 16:30:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	400	79¢	$316	0x478063…
05-29 16:27:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	214	77¢	$165	0xb468da…
05-29 16:26:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x14b4bb…
05-29 16:26:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	380	77¢	$293	0x95e0d5…
05-29 00:53:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	700	57¢	$399	0x38226d…
05-28 23:43:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$298	0xd3d245…
05-28 16:48:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0x42f59c…
05-25 17:15:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	166	56¢	$93	0xdf9f32…
05-25 17:15:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xc3d0c5…
05-25 17:13:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	134	56¢	$75	0x79141a…
05-25 16:35:31	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	290	69¢	$200	0xe8ff38…
05-25 16:33:32	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	9	69¢	$7	0x79b0c1…
05-25 15:22:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x37dedb…
05-25 14:57:55	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	144	72¢	$104	0x7f6f72…
05-25 14:57:47	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	156	72¢	$112	0x8ae376…
05-25 14:51:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	36¢	$47	0xe7c360…
05-25 14:08:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x84577f…
05-25 14:08:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xc410ca…
05-25 14:08:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x26f99f…
05-25 14:07:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x0db09b…
05-25 13:02:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x806297…
05-25 13:02:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2c97fb…
05-25 13:01:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x90b4d3…
05-25 13:01:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	36¢	$45	0x2cc975…
05-25 12:59:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x18a5db…
05-25 12:52:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	37¢	$22	0x59f779…
05-25 12:51:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	300	72¢	$216	0x0f694b…
05-25 12:31:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0xb77d75…
05-25 12:30:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xa89cea…
05-25 12:28:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	60	56¢	$33	0xa2658f…
05-25 12:15:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	67¢	$201	0x9fcb94…
05-25 12:06:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	69¢	$207	0x3348de…
05-25 11:46:30	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x2b8752…
05-25 08:57:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	400	33¢	$132	0xafa5cf…
05-24 14:01:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	700	29¢	$203	0x2b8756…
05-24 14:00:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	77¢	$308	0xa2d801…
05-24 13:12:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	300	46¢	$138	0x1de68c…
05-24 09:55:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	300	49¢	$147	0xff7d76…
05-24 09:00:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x970086…
05-24 08:24:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0xfbf993…
05-23 16:38:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1,000	85¢	$850	0x7c7f96…
05-23 14:51:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x285312…
05-22 21:31:46	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	645	77¢	$497	0xb7881d…
05-22 21:28:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xbcb3aa…
05-22 21:27:34	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x9a6bfd…
05-22 21:27:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	110	77¢	$85	0x5fea29…
05-22 17:54:53	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x15317b…
05-22 17:11:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x5587f2…
05-22 16:33:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	588	83¢	$488	0x500a26…
05-22 16:11:14	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	56	84¢	$47	0x6b859f…
05-22 16:08:06	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x93d3fd…
05-22 16:03:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x7cf961…
05-22 15:28:40	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x38bd4d…
05-22 15:28:32	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	159	79¢	$125	0xff0983…
05-22 15:13:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0xdfe7f4…
05-22 15:13:30	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x122bdf…
05-22 15:13:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0x7a0410…
05-22 15:12:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	15	75¢	$12	0x96e72c…
05-22 15:03:34	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x9c3b7e…
05-22 15:03:23	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	47	75¢	$36	0xfa11cd…
05-22 15:02:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	41	25¢	$10	0xd9c396…
05-22 15:02:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	259	25¢	$65	0x04ef58…