Popular-Commercial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.34K

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

43.9%

Resolved

1,412

Trades

6,088

lifetime

Volume

$128.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$68

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-29 03:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Other

65% 36% -$609

Sports

26% 39% -$891

Crypto

6% 45% -$659

Politics

3% 11% -$134

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$18

Tech

0% 0% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+361	$44	12¢	$44	$0	10-29 04:05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+54	$22	32¢	$17	-$5	10-27 02:12
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+21	$8	32¢	$7	-$1	10-28 19:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	75	$4.0K	7,827	7,317	+510	No	-$54	07-14 19:46
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	77	$3.9K	15,921	14,864	+1,057	No	-$284	07-15 20:52
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$1.7K	5,747	6,314	-567	No	+$39	07-16 20:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	51	$1.7K	3,421	3,421	+0	Yes	+$150	05-05 19:24
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	49	$1.7K	5,433	5,433	+0	Yes	+$89	05-12 18:10
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$1.5K	34,083	32,995	+1,088	No	-$53	07-06 03:47
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	25	$1.3K	1,055	1,055	+0	Sean Strickland	+$77	05-10 06:34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	15	$1.2K	3,467	3,467	+0	Yes	-$22	05-07 17:40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	67	$1.2K	4,872	4,872	+0	No	+$48	05-26 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	40	$1.1K	2,239	2,137	+102	No	-$128	05-15 10:56
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	24	$1.1K	4,042	4,042	+0	No	+$15	05-01 18:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	41	$1.1K	2,493	2,399	+93	No	+$80	06-02 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	34	$1.1K	4,008	4,008	+0	No	+$7	05-07 20:12
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	47	$1.0K	2,471	2,471	+0	No	-$73	05-12 05:33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	24	$1.0K	2,449	2,449	+0	No	+$130	07-31 00:08
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	24	$971	1,724	1,657	+67	Yes	+$270	04-24 14:55
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	18	$904	1,470	1,470	+0	Justin Gaethje	+$371	06-15 04:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	35	$860	2,789	2,173	+616	No	-$152	05-21 02:59
Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?	27	$847	823	823	+0	No	+$133	08-23 03:40
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	10	$825	1,617	1,617	+0	Islam Makhachev	-$29	08-09 23:41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	23	$795	4,276	4,276	+0	No	+$271	05-01 01:31
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?	27	$793	2,989	2,989	+0	No	-$36	05-29 19:23
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	18	$773	1,326	1,326	+0	No	+$181	04-30 04:23
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	28	$773	981	981	+0	Yes	+$89	05-13 08:54
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?	5	$743	8,042	8,042	+0	open	—	08-17 22:45
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	23	$713	3,033	3,033	+0	No	-$93	05-04 01:07
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	17	$690	909	909	+0	Yes	+$34	06-05 16:32
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	26	$683	2,371	2,264	+107	Yes	+$324	04-20 01:27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	29	$668	1,507	1,483	+24	No	+$239	05-29 08:09
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	13	$662	1,087	1,087	+0	No	+$30	05-10 02:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:05:56	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	12¢	$6	0xcd4fd9…
10-29 04:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x0e5476…
10-29 03:32:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xbcbab2…
10-29 03:31:50	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0xd7734e…
10-28 22:28:40	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x4650e5…
10-28 21:39:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1d4abe…
10-28 21:38:53	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	8¢	$2	0x276cf7…
10-28 21:35:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x79f6de…
10-28 19:57:17	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x40543b…
10-28 19:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x9a3017…
10-28 19:53:13	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb12c36…
10-28 17:07:50	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x093be6…
10-28 17:03:04	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	13¢	$21	0x5a80a1…
10-28 17:02:53	Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,707	1¢	$10	0xe38760…
10-28 06:08:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x26fc48…
10-28 03:22:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x03cf49…
10-28 03:22:21	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	185	15¢	$28	0x5f73c6…
10-28 00:26:45	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	16¢	$30	0xe75e9d…
10-28 00:20:14	Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,707	1¢	$15	0x9c5003…
10-28 00:18:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	9¢	$17	0x73e525…
10-28 00:10:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x788b21…
10-27 08:25:44	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0xc4a75f…
10-27 08:25:23	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xbd2c93…
10-27 08:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0x3caccb…
10-27 06:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfa1e89…
10-27 06:24:21	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0886de…
10-27 06:23:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xbee058…
10-27 06:20:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	63¢	$29	0x00880d…
10-27 02:17:30	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x7abf13…
10-27 02:13:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0x9a52fc…
10-27 02:12:50	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	57	35¢	$20	0x2364b7…
10-26 23:57:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0xbda695…
10-26 23:17:02	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0x9a5598…
10-26 22:56:23	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x3f055b…
10-26 22:55:54	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	13¢	$16	0x561893…
10-26 22:54:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xc7549d…
10-26 21:39:54	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x9655a1…
10-26 21:06:26	Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	464	3¢	$15	0x27da0c…
10-26 20:55:29	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x9b7f8f…
10-26 17:23:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	13¢	$3	0xad7198…
10-26 16:02:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x8ac898…
10-26 15:48:44	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd3d2aa…
10-26 15:45:11	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x32e96c…
10-26 15:44:44	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	63	35¢	$22	0x26d1b7…
10-26 14:24:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	63	35¢	$22	0x8104dd…
10-26 09:12:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xca37dd…
10-26 09:08:21	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	11¢	$14	0x11f8a8…
10-26 06:36:42	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x8a9bdb…
10-26 06:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xdc7906…
10-26 02:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xde95e7…
10-26 02:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0xdae7e9…
10-26 02:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x0f46d7…
10-25 23:55:15	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	11¢	$14	0xf31148…
10-25 20:29:20	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xa0454b…
10-25 19:08:27	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x4994a1…
10-25 18:03:56	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf59bb2…
10-25 08:43:12	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x6a0d87…
10-25 08:42:26	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	36¢	$21	0x521cbd…
10-25 05:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb28a01…
10-25 04:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x35eb9f…
10-25 04:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x788162…
10-25 03:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x42625d…
10-25 02:26:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	28¢	$41	0x90eb14…
10-25 01:20:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	37¢	$22	0x79e566…
10-24 22:53:05	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x13ad96…
10-24 21:44:45	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xeb4818…
10-24 21:18:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xfb9297…
10-24 21:18:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x32b0e9…
10-24 20:42:35	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x4f0e35…
10-24 20:21:57	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xeb9ffc…
10-24 20:20:32	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x9a85ae…
10-24 20:01:14	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xb1c341…
10-24 19:32:02	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x957f62…
10-24 19:30:08	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbd64dc…
10-24 18:57:32	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	37	58¢	$22	0x45ff52…
10-24 17:13:47	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	79	32¢	$25	0x9071ab…
10-24 04:44:27	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	SELL	70	49¢	$34	0x0307c8…
10-24 04:44:08	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x3abfd1…
10-24 04:43:57	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x9eef79…
10-24 04:43:47	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	10¢	$9	0xb1a735…
10-24 04:43:41	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	14	66¢	$10	0xdba5c8…
10-24 04:09:42	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0x551feb…
10-24 03:10:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdd659c…
10-24 03:08:29	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x09bdc2…
10-24 00:41:47	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	79	33¢	$26	0x7d8bcc…
10-24 00:38:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	264	12¢	$32	0xcbb0ae…
10-23 23:01:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0x786079…
10-23 22:20:47	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa1beae…
10-23 21:16:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xeb79f6…
10-23 19:17:21	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x67d2b0…
10-23 17:20:45	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xdb931d…
10-23 17:20:26	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0x136849…
10-23 16:24:23	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Dominick Reyes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x25b2d9…
10-23 16:23:36	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x712fa5…
10-23 15:15:54	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$34	0x1701f0…
10-23 12:58:47	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$35	0x26afff…
10-23 08:00:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	32¢	$16	0xfb02e6…
10-23 04:30:29	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xf0a6a3…
10-23 04:25:23	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x551aad…
10-23 03:17:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x447b5a…