Serene-Guilty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

Trades

328

lifetime

Volume

$8.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-01 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 44% $-99

Other

20% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	8	$1.7K	1,472	1,462	+11	open	—	03-31 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$392	392	392	+0	open	—	05-20 13:15
btc updown 15m 1774443600	13	$382	0	564	-564	open	—	03-25 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$280	160	160	+0	open	—	05-22 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	10	$250	200	200	+0	open	—	05-14 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$237	168	168	+0	Up	+$69	05-11 13:04
btc updown 15m 1774011600	9	$194	160	167	-7	open	—	03-20 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	4	$162	100	100	+0	Up	+$8	05-08 23:51
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$152	100	100	+0	open	—	01-17 07:36
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	01-17 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	17	$149	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	5	$149	100	100	+0	Up	+$49	05-05 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	9	$142	100	100	+0	open	—	05-27 13:09
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	6	$134	98	98	+0	open	—	02-01 15:53
btc updown 15m 1776430800	4	$130	104	100	+4	open	—	04-17 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$120	100	100	+0	open	—	05-28 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$103	184	184	+0	open	—	05-18 22:48
btc updown 15m 1774357200	2	$101	80	79	+1	open	—	03-24 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	5	$100	200	0	+200	Down	$-100	05-08 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	10	$100	200	0	+200	Up	+$100	05-13 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$100	221	0	+221	open	—	06-01 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	05-24 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$100	112	0	+112	open	—	05-31 14:18
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$100	93	93	+0	open	—	01-31 09:31
btc updown 15m 1775048400	4	$90	60	60	+0	open	—	04-01 13:17
btc updown 15m 1774012500	4	$89	77	76	+1	open	—	03-20 13:16
btc updown 15m 1774529100	2	$88	49	49	+0	open	—	03-26 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	8	$75	149	0	+149	Down	$-75	05-12 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	7	$60	80	0	+80	open	—	05-21 15:52
btc updown 15m 1776258000	2	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	04-15 13:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 14:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	58	62¢	$36	0x0722b3…
06-01 13:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	221	45¢	$100	0x6ad511…
06-01 12:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xa39870…
06-01 12:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x28d6c5…
06-01 12:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xc2a4cc…
06-01 12:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdecf4a…
06-01 12:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x18fd09…
05-31 14:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xab56bc…
05-30 13:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	87	57¢	$50	0x7ea9d1…
05-29 14:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x8f0843…
05-29 13:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xaa65a4…
05-28 13:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xc05078…
05-28 12:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xf1b259…
05-28 12:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xe26ca3…
05-28 12:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xd6364b…
05-28 12:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x2c66ba…
05-27 18:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x810f26…
05-27 13:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x9b5a44…
05-27 12:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x409b8d…
05-27 12:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x13342f…
05-27 12:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x3cd92c…
05-27 12:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbd22c5…
05-27 12:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x67c00b…
05-27 12:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8e11f6…
05-27 12:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xab5918…
05-27 12:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd36635…
05-25 16:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5c4081…
05-25 16:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xdb47e7…
05-25 16:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xdf3472…
05-25 16:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xd2cd80…
05-25 16:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd166d7…
05-25 16:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x44c3f7…
05-25 16:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd624ee…
05-25 15:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xd34352…
05-24 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xe2b3ec…
05-24 14:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x371aa9…
05-22 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	160	99¢	$158	0xcae9e6…
05-22 13:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	160	76¢	$122	0xe3b5ab…
05-22 12:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x14b179…
05-21 16:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	54	76¢	$41	0x32a75a…
05-21 15:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x07b1f4…
05-21 15:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xdba79f…
05-21 15:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd93ace…
05-21 15:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xd877be…
05-21 15:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0xb9c30c…
05-21 15:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x87d4b0…
05-21 15:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x0d4445…
05-21 12:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x33f533…
05-20 13:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	392	49¢	$192	0x5032a0…
05-20 10:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x529280…
05-19 12:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc0ff99…
05-19 12:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7207dd…
05-19 12:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x591ba1…
05-19 12:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x235815…
05-19 12:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x3f03fd…
05-19 12:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x7ea5e0…
05-18 22:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	184	29¢	$53	0xb93d22…
05-18 22:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	184	27¢	$50	0xd551d2…
05-18 22:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x655c35…
05-18 07:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x77350f…
05-18 07:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xaf9f03…
05-18 07:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x148432…
05-15 15:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x013833…
05-15 13:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x2b008a…
05-14 19:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xf23708…
05-14 13:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0xce57c9…
05-14 12:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	50¢	$22	0xb2e0ee…
05-14 12:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xff7d29…
05-14 12:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xbd3191…
05-14 12:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x8f8602…
05-14 12:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x2ca819…
05-14 12:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x097b62…
05-14 12:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xb09174…
05-14 12:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x6a2eb1…
05-14 06:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xbce770…
05-13 13:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	55	50¢	$27	0x9a8b48…
05-13 11:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	73	50¢	$37	0xe77f55…
05-13 10:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe59d14…
05-13 10:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x08ac2e…
05-13 10:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x777ec2…
05-13 10:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x173e9e…
05-13 08:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2a8b05…
05-13 07:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb1f819…
05-13 06:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd94e82…
05-13 05:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf03695…
05-12 12:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	50¢	$26	0xffdd00…
05-12 12:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbad49f…
05-12 12:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xa4e226…
05-12 12:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf79a24…
05-12 12:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9bae55…
05-12 12:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe2d00b…
05-12 12:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x61085f…
05-11 20:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x472e9c…
05-11 13:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	168	91¢	$153	0x633978…
05-11 11:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x3bdbee…
05-11 11:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	78	50¢	$39	0xaaddc6…
05-11 11:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x836e51…
05-08 23:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x76c9ae…
05-08 23:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0xb3fed9…
05-08 23:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$14	0x0b518d…