Ornery-Secretariat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

125

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$746

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-12 21:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 78% +$19

Other

1% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	6	$66	45	45	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$38	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$34	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$29	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	15	$26	38	38	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	7	$23	35	10	+25	Up	$-4	05-11 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	8	$19	21	21	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$19	15	15	+0	Down	$-0	05-08 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	8	$19	21	21	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 18:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	8	$17	16	16	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$16	15	10	+5	Up	+$2	05-08 17:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	6	$16	23	23	+0	No	+$3	05-10 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	6	$14	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 18:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	6	$11	16	16	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$11	11	11	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 19:46
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Down	$-4	05-08 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	4	$8	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 19:59
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	4	$7	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$7	10	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 17:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 07:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 21:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd22277…
05-11 11:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x430ab7…
05-11 11:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xaa7e13…
05-11 11:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x21d274…
05-11 11:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb3349c…
05-11 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6d45c2…
05-11 11:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xea8e70…
05-11 11:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdc0d8c…
05-11 11:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x26542a…
05-11 11:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa942cd…
05-11 11:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x0b3e7d…
05-11 11:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7d1eff…
05-11 11:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x9779d1…
05-11 11:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xd0f469…
05-11 11:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x94f65e…
05-11 11:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xb41840…
05-11 11:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1332b5…
05-11 11:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfcfb82…
05-11 11:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xab27b3…
05-11 11:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x681c18…
05-11 11:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x27793c…
05-11 11:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x226743…
05-11 11:23:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7e2f64…
05-11 11:22:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2bfbae…
05-11 11:21:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x87b20e…
05-11 11:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0d6de6…
05-11 11:16:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd6f6c3…
05-11 11:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x4e01e6…
05-11 11:13:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd43cb3…
05-11 11:12:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x5908c5…
05-11 11:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x377400…
05-11 11:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x89fa9c…
05-11 11:05:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xec1399…
05-11 11:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x356341…
05-11 11:01:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x1330da…
05-11 07:30:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x08c21e…
05-10 22:12:36	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xc986cf…
05-10 22:12:36	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xb646ac…
05-10 22:12:36	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x5ea0d9…
05-10 21:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd70d8e…
05-10 21:26:44	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x810952…
05-10 21:26:38	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xf3b695…
05-10 21:21:57	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x5cc403…
05-10 21:21:20	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x4de087…
05-10 21:17:36	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x709230…
05-10 21:16:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xd49a3f…
05-10 21:09:52	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf3cd1e…
05-10 21:08:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x996f59…
05-10 21:07:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x6d6bee…
05-10 21:05:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x93c353…
05-10 21:05:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x455641…
05-10 20:15:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xdd7b07…
05-10 20:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x30091f…
05-10 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x222086…
05-10 20:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x4aa2d9…
05-10 20:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x91790c…
05-10 20:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x745cc6…
05-10 20:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd05319…
05-10 20:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x98397c…
05-10 20:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xc64ebc…
05-10 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x19a884…
05-10 20:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x74fbd2…
05-10 20:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x41eb80…
05-10 20:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xd59656…
05-10 20:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xbb0a4b…
05-10 20:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x78bc0c…
05-10 20:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x902975…
05-10 19:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x0f99c4…
05-10 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x63a8d8…
05-10 19:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x1922f3…
05-10 19:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0e307c…
05-10 19:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x78e658…
05-10 19:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x46ad62…
05-10 19:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$1	0xc16e4b…
05-10 19:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x2d7e13…
05-10 19:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x2e1403…
05-10 19:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x018ba2…
05-10 19:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x15669e…
05-10 19:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x8d4582…
05-10 19:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	62¢	$3	0x923513…
05-10 19:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xdad94a…
05-10 19:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xbd4760…
05-10 19:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x4b1b6f…
05-10 19:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xce4f18…
05-10 19:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x7b5163…
05-10 19:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xb7b62b…
05-10 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb3a4a9…
05-09 14:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4d8b7a…
05-09 14:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x58f3eb…
05-09 14:28:26	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	BBL Esports	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x00f42b…
05-09 14:07:38	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	BBL Esports	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4c076d…
05-09 13:57:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x7c04bd…
05-09 13:53:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0912a7…
05-09 13:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x6ddf7a…
05-09 13:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd6d5b4…
05-09 13:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x10bc0b…
05-09 13:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x7503e4…
05-09 13:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x1c4f58…
05-08 20:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8ed160…
05-08 20:49:57	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1a8494…