Scrawny-Bridge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$994

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

545

Trades

779

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$50

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-28 19:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Other

70% 34% -$777

Politics

22% 29% -$551

Sports

5% 45% +$176

Crypto

3% 40% +$170

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$16

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	+111	$30	22¢	$25	-$5	10-22 06:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-57	-$20	40¢	$-23	-$3	05-24 13:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+125	$20	2¢	$2	-$18	06-30 07:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20	1	$494	602	0	+602	G2 Esports	-$494	03-20 12:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$328	337	337	+0	No	-$32	09-15 06:47
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	3	$262	214	214	+0	No	+$162	07-31 20:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$262	169	169	+0	Yes	+$62	08-04 13:55
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	4	$258	215	215	+0	open	—	08-13 10:58
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	2	$206	244	244	+0	Yes	+$6	07-24 14:14
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$195	111	111	+0	No	+$11	05-15 06:28
will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week 20260719005322447	2	$184	135	135	+0	Yes	+$84	07-23 20:44
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?	3	$155	171	171	+0	Yes	-$22	07-11 10:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$153	242	242	+0	open	—	09-20 07:21
will elon post energy on x this week 20260724155239116	2	$152	107	107	+0	Yes	+$62	07-30 04:06
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$139	146	146	+0	open	—	10-27 20:08
will trump post bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency on truth social this week 20260906	2	$137	118	118	+0	Yes	+$97	08-31 16:35
lol gen dk 2026 07 18	3	$130	130	130	+0	Dplus KIA	+$70	07-18 17:30
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	2	$130	333	267	+67	No	+$30	10-25 21:26
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$120	206	0	+206	Yes	+$86	07-15 18:55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 10?	2	$113	82	82	+0	Yes	+$13	09-10 10:13
will anyone say kingdom during house of the dragon e6 s3 20260721174502957	2	$109	71	71	+0	Yes	+$9	07-24 18:37
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$104	132	132	+0	Yes	+$1	03-19 16:10
will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	2	$102	104	104	+0	No	-$14	08-07 21:23
Will there be 2+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	1	$100	250	0	+250	open	—	10-24 08:57
will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	1	$100	156	0	+156	No	-$100	08-05 10:46
lol g2 t1 2026 07 08	1	$100	149	0	+149	G2 Esports	+$49	07-08 07:32
will elon post video game or videogame on x this week 20260731162042275	2	$100	91	91	+0	Yes	+$80	08-07 20:04
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$100	67	67	+0	Yes	+$20	07-10 20:51
iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	2	$99	135	135	+0	No	-$1	08-18 15:28
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$98	106	106	+0	Yes	-$42	06-18 15:35
will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	2	$96	73	73	+0	No	-$4	07-18 19:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$96	62	62	+0	No	+$16	05-12 18:32
Will Zeus Win MSI Finals MVP	2	$93	83	83	+0	Yes	+$73	07-12 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:15:50	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	82	35¢	$29	0xf255af…
10-28 19:03:52	AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xde6671…
10-28 18:55:50	OL Lyonnes vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xe5b54f…
10-28 16:09:28	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x6c45e7…
10-27 21:56:57	Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x6cd160…
10-27 20:08:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	69	83¢	$57	0xc6614e…
10-27 18:17:00	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x47b2f3…
10-27 08:17:05	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x038a2e…
10-26 20:53:56	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xc59c02…
10-26 15:04:03	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	SELL	33	64¢	$21	0x8aee6a…
10-26 13:44:30	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x957a2b…
10-26 13:44:06	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xe8333d…
10-26 13:43:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x2e8361…
10-26 06:49:51	Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x56a94b…
10-26 06:49:21	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x6b605a…
10-26 06:48:54	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x1b883a…
10-25 23:21:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	256	12¢	$30	0x6e4677…
10-25 21:26:00	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	267	30¢	$80	0xea50d8…
10-25 17:57:32	Will Manchester United WFC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xf09e74…
10-25 17:56:32	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x9f0973…
10-25 17:56:00	Will Manchester United WFC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0d1403…
10-25 15:38:50	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0xf212e5…
10-25 07:22:56	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x443284…
10-25 07:22:44	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	139	3¢	$5	0x01dc46…
10-25 07:22:36	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	192	4¢	$8	0xac26d0…
10-25 06:47:48	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x47e9a2…
10-24 20:21:36	SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0xbc027a…
10-24 18:39:35	Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 2 RC Deportivo A Coruña?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x36067c…
10-24 18:28:36	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	93	2¢	$2	0x63b167…
10-24 18:05:14	Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0x07fd3c…
10-24 17:59:27	SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xef276b…
10-24 09:02:39	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x7d0698…
10-24 08:57:38	Will there be 2+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xefdac4…
10-23 20:55:09	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa86951…
10-23 20:01:53	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x0716d4…
10-23 15:24:00	Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 2 - 3 Al Hilal Saudi Club?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x694598…
10-22 22:01:45	Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0x956c64…
10-22 06:41:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xc28184…
10-21 15:19:17	Exact Score: Club Brugge KV 3 - 2 Racing Club de Lens?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x322a80…
10-21 15:17:03	Exact Score: Lille OSC 3 - 1 Galatasaray SK?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x3a7031…
10-21 15:16:17	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 4 - 2 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0x1609b5…
10-21 15:15:38	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x09a493…
10-21 14:08:42	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs JiJieHao (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	JiJieHao	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x56a143…
10-21 09:49:29	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs JiJieHao (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	JiJieHao	BUY	16	29¢	$4	0x96aab7…
10-21 09:34:32	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Nexus (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Nexus	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9336ea…
10-21 09:31:29	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x5a1c85…
10-21 09:31:00	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x0c6b8b…
10-21 09:25:27	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa0a02c…
10-21 07:17:51	Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa01da4…
10-20 09:49:35	Exact Score: SSC Napoli 1 - 3 FK Bodø/Glimt?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x6eb937…
10-20 09:46:18	Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 0 SK Slavia Praha?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc89474…
10-20 09:43:12	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 1 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x811315…
10-20 09:42:12	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xcd0b08…
10-20 09:41:09	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 1 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd7e7ae…
10-20 09:39:59	Exact Score: FC Porto 3 - 2 PSV?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0xbde7a5…
10-19 20:44:20	Exact Score: Getafe CF 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?	Yes	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0xe96dc7…
10-19 18:40:39	1st Half Exact Score: Getafe CF 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?	Yes	BUY	109	4¢	$4	0x01a250…
10-19 18:35:35	Exact Score: Getafe CF 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x822528…
10-19 18:33:56	Exact Score: Parma Calcio 1913 1 - 1 Torino FC?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xff74c3…
10-19 18:10:17	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x6b0c2f…
10-18 17:36:15	Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	17	49¢	$9	0x9920a7…
10-18 17:35:35	Will Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x87e32e…
10-18 17:27:12	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xbc75aa…
10-18 17:24:23	Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0xf0d8a4…
10-18 17:23:21	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x0224df…
10-18 17:22:39	FC Porto vs. PSV: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x70dd6b…
10-18 17:21:47	Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8acf30…
10-18 16:02:09	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xcf8971…
10-18 16:01:14	AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x3a4ac0…
10-18 16:00:06	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf21252…
10-18 15:59:38	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb8252e…
10-18 14:10:30	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x28a090…
10-18 13:55:20	Manchester City WFC vs. Brighton and Hove Albion WFC: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x770381…
10-17 19:31:05	Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9b7b16…
10-17 19:30:42	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x866ebe…
10-17 17:56:15	Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x394825…
10-17 15:58:17	Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x6aeefa…
10-17 15:57:47	lal bet bar 2026 10 17 ags lamine yamal 90110679	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x0503a2…
10-17 15:57:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	145	23¢	$33	0xe80168…
10-16 12:32:39	Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	97	20¢	$19	0xc4adb4…
10-16 08:53:52	lol fox1 we 2026 10 17	Team WE	BUY	58	33¢	$19	0x056a0b…
10-16 08:53:09	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16	MVK Esports	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x1f2f3a…
10-15 11:30:48	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	44	19¢	$8	0x7aba18…
10-15 11:19:21	uel ut sun 2026 10 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe0fe17…
10-15 11:18:46	KKS Lech Poznań vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc5a68b…
10-15 11:18:13	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x07877b…
10-14 13:17:00	israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31	Yes	SELL	94	6¢	$6	0xcdd7ae…
10-14 13:16:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x19ffea…
10-14 09:19:35	Charlton Athletic vs. Manchester United WFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe2dd0b…
10-14 09:18:47	Manchester City WFC vs. Brighton and Hove Albion WFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5be489…
10-14 09:18:07	London City Lionesses vs. Everton FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0xc02ef7…
10-14 09:17:35	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x0168bc…
10-14 09:13:47	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x696184…
10-14 09:11:55	Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x363fa2…
10-14 07:02:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0xf00139…
10-13 19:11:28	Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x712c68…
10-13 19:11:18	Will Wales vs. Albania end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x1bd38d…
10-13 18:29:27	Will England vs. Greece end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x2c67e2…
10-13 11:03:23	Will Switzerland vs. Israel end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x568fd0…
10-13 11:01:38	Will Czechia win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xcb5aaf…