Pointed-Duffel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

5,331

Trades

5,934

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-29 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 72% +$126

Other

10% 68% -$52

Politics

4% 50% +$10

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$98	80	76	+4	Up	+$58	04-27 15:10
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$78	44	44	+0	No	+$2	02-03 07:19
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$77	51	51	+0	Yes	-$3	02-18 12:31
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$73	55	55	+0	Yes	-$1	02-18 13:07
cs2 navi mnte 2026 03 06	4	$64	56	56	+0	Natus Vincere	-$6	03-06 12:42
cs2 g1 lk 2026 03 06	2	$63	33	33	+0	GenOne	+$3	03-06 13:14
lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	2	$42	50	0	+50	G2 Esports	+$7	03-01 19:20
cs2 hero nrg 2026 03 01	2	$37	47	0	+47	Heroic	+$10	03-01 12:27
cs2 1win wb1 2026 03 06	2	$37	34	34	+0	WHITEBIRD	-$23	03-06 14:24
deepseek v4 released by february 28	1	$36	48	0	+48	No	+$12	02-18 13:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$36	43	0	+43	Down	+$7	05-05 07:29
cs2 sashi encea1 2026 03 04	2	$35	20	20	+0	Sashi Esport	+$3	03-04 14:29
cs2 prv hero 2026 03 05	3	$33	20	20	+0	Heroic	+$5	03-05 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$31	35	0	+35	Up	+$4	04-30 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:35 UTC	3	$31	34	0	+34	Down	+$3	03-12 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	04-30 14:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$28	38	0	+38	No	+$9	01-19 09:51
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 14:05
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$23	29	0	+29	Up	+$6	04-28 14:54
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$23	28	0	+28	No	+$5	01-15 12:14
cs2 fut ast10 2026 03 06	2	$23	22	22	+0	Astralis	+$3	03-06 11:01
Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	10-24 08:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 05:55 UTC	2	$22	25	0	+25	Down	+$3	03-25 05:59
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$21	23	0	+23	No	+$2	01-14 07:12
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$21	28	0	+28	Up	+$7	04-29 06:29
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$21	27	0	+27	Up	+$6	04-27 14:49
cs2 csdiil heroa 2026 03 06	2	$21	16	16	+0	CSDIILIT	+$1	03-06 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:40 UTC	1	$20	30	0	+30	Down	-$20	03-12 07:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	04-28 18:14
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 12:10 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	03-22 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:11:35	Will Cameron Ward have 12.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0xf0be54…
10-29 15:35:58	Will Cameron Ward have 12.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x565b99…
10-29 14:34:31	Will Josh Allen finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xe64f39…
10-29 14:31:55	Will Josh Allen finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xca4941…
10-28 22:41:16	Will Vox receive between 16% and 18% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x00f520…
10-28 22:34:58	Will Vox receive between 16% and 18% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xf79a75…
10-28 22:34:56	Will Vox receive between 16% and 18% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xb744d7…
10-27 16:35:06	Will PP win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x9663ee…
10-27 16:34:48	Will PP win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x046f47…
10-27 09:29:15	Will Drake London have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x877e4d…
10-27 09:19:08	Will Drake London have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xf7b22a…
10-27 04:07:45	Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xa3b350…
10-27 03:43:44	Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x02ccbb…
10-26 21:04:14	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x35191e…
10-26 18:47:51	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe9ecc3…
10-26 15:43:44	Will the San Antonio Spurs finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xbe6b0a…
10-26 15:43:36	Will the San Antonio Spurs finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xef66ce…
10-26 15:21:48	Will Evgenii Malkin record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xcfb0a5…
10-26 15:21:45	Will Joe Burrow finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x37f482…
10-26 14:45:27	Will Joe Burrow finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa2e66a…
10-26 14:37:15	Will Evgenii Malkin record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xb9fdc2…
10-25 14:58:08	Will PSOE win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0xbbd723…
10-25 14:49:11	Will PSOE win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0xfb1b7c…
10-25 13:34:47	Will PSOE win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x141a2a…
10-25 10:56:00	Will PSOE win the most seats in the Basque Country in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x1e6763…
10-25 10:02:35	Will PSOE win the most seats in the Basque Country in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd26d46…
10-25 10:02:35	Will PSOE win the most seats in the Basque Country in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x541a66…
10-25 10:02:35	Will PSOE win the most seats in the Basque Country in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x4882bf…
10-25 09:48:32	Will PSOE win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x3870b1…
10-25 09:45:57	Will Isamaa win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xc47483…
10-25 08:57:33	Will Isamaa win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x0ccb7c…
10-25 04:43:05	Will LSU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xe830af…
10-25 03:21:32	Will LSU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xc45451…
10-25 01:45:26	Will Alabama have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x3dd44f…
10-25 00:34:50	Will Alabama have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x88c1ec…
10-24 20:34:51	Will LSU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x102e6c…
10-24 19:13:05	Will David Hamilton lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in stolen bases?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xc44b41…
10-24 18:35:36	Will David Hamilton lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in stolen bases?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xade6b8…
10-24 17:45:51	Will Nebraska have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x946b48…
10-24 17:32:51	Will Nebraska have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0x33d63b…
10-24 16:56:21	Will Nebraska have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xcd36d5…
10-24 16:56:21	Will Nebraska have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xab638e…
10-24 15:40:44	Will Isamaa win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x4d7ae1…
10-24 08:46:23	Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xe8821e…
10-24 08:38:20	Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9616dd…
10-23 22:07:15	Will Josh Downs have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x8289ff…
10-23 21:57:06	Will Josh Downs have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x79e0c5…
10-23 16:47:20	Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x39e856…
10-23 16:45:08	Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x4cb48b…
10-23 15:40:36	Will Josh Allen have 13.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0xfc7289…
10-23 14:59:00	Will Josh Allen have 13.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xb859de…
10-23 05:54:24	Will Mike Evans have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x353193…
10-23 05:51:15	Will Mike Evans have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7c09e6…
10-22 21:04:42	Will Bijan Robinson have 12.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xb7b8b4…
10-22 21:03:51	Will Bijan Robinson have 12.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xfa069a…
10-22 20:17:29	Will Garrett Wilson have 1,199.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xe096ea…
10-22 20:05:38	Will Garrett Wilson have 1,199.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc2b1b2…
10-22 17:54:09	Will Maurice Vunobolki win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x33b11e…
10-22 16:29:50	Will Maurice Vunobolki win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x3ddf2b…
10-22 07:58:06	Will Barcelona score the most goals in the UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0xc8169f…
10-22 07:56:56	Will Barcelona score the most goals in the UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x37f7fb…
10-21 03:17:36	Will Parker Washington have 749.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x27ff7c…
10-21 02:17:05	Will Parker Washington have 749.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xe3c81d…
10-19 16:59:21	Will Cameron Ward have 3,299.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x5a30a5…
10-19 16:26:15	Will Cameron Ward have 3,299.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x52bad9…
10-19 13:21:50	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xb850ce…
10-19 13:17:00	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x81881e…
10-19 11:02:18	Will Brock Bowers have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x4c6f88…
10-19 10:55:32	Will Brock Bowers have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x3dbd00…
10-18 13:47:35	Will Gabriel Moreno win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xbb519e…
10-18 13:46:44	Will Gabriel Moreno win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x06e39a…
10-18 13:45:26	Will Gabriel Moreno win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x7d8fe1…
10-18 12:49:24	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x72c81a…
10-18 11:59:30	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x008824…
10-18 11:59:11	Will Senegal win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group J?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xf5a542…
10-18 11:29:59	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x7fcad3…
10-18 11:12:42	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xce060b…
10-18 08:46:51	Will Senegal win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group J?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe5bf58…
10-16 11:43:00	Will Bijan Robinson have 1,174.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x5a31fd…
10-16 11:25:49	Will Bijan Robinson have 1,174.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x9df0e1…
10-16 11:25:36	Will Bijan Robinson have 1,174.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x1573da…
10-16 02:24:58	Will Chris Godwin have 299.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x78b90a…
10-16 01:33:49	Will Chris Godwin have 299.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3be33f…
10-15 11:44:28	Will Puka Nacua have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x6e6b30…
10-15 11:33:00	Will Puka Nacua have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x17af18…
10-15 09:49:35	Will Serbia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x55413b…
10-15 08:56:31	Will Serbia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa14c37…
10-14 11:18:28	Will James Cook have 1,049.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xbea851…
10-14 11:10:01	Will James Cook have 1,049.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xe4fdaf…
10-14 11:08:11	Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x8f379d…
10-14 10:54:19	Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x730b64…
10-14 06:49:59	Will South Korea win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x8410df…
10-14 06:25:59	Will South Korea win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x79e053…
10-14 06:22:43	Will South Korea win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x41155e…
10-13 19:38:28	Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x734119…
10-13 19:33:43	Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb7212e…
10-13 00:19:38	Will Denver Broncos advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xcc9f6c…
10-13 00:19:36	Will Denver Broncos advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x6b71ab…
10-13 00:18:45	Will Denver Broncos advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xb58a8b…
10-12 00:34:00	Will Dak Prescott have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x709c37…