Dark-Garb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

3,441

Trades

9,257

lifetime

Volume

$315.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$26

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 01:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 242 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 45% -$7,898

Sports

15% 30% -$2,502

Other

8% 20% -$5,634

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	—	+560	$31	4¢	$22	-$9	11-05 01:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 4?	Yes		+1,820	$20	0¢	$5	-$15	11-05 01:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 88k on january 21	2	$4.7K	4,628	4,628	+0	No	+$4,540	01-21 17:04
bitcoin above 86k on january 29	8	$1.9K	2,338	2,338	+0	No	+$1,780	01-29 15:38
nba was det 2026 02 05	3	$1.6K	2,257	1,818	+439	Wizards	+$1,010	02-06 02:16
cbb gtech ncst 2026 01 17	8	$1.5K	1,789	1,272	+517	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	+$514	01-17 19:15
nba dal sac 2026 01 06	7	$1.4K	1,152	1,152	+0	Mavericks	+$566	01-07 07:28
nfl bal pit 2026 01 04	2	$1.3K	1,028	1,028	+0	Steelers	+$689	01-05 04:36
nba lal nop 2026 01 06	9	$1.3K	1,805	1,382	+424	Lakers	+$148	01-07 03:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	6	$1.2K	2,202	1,614	+588	No	+$855	06-01 15:13
nba nop cha 2026 02 02	3	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Hornets	+$704	02-02 23:09
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	4	$1.1K	1,242	926	+316	No	+$494	03-19 14:34
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	3	$1.1K	1,272	742	+530	Matteo Arnaldi	-$3	06-01 22:57
bitcoin above 92k on january 9	7	$974	3,453	3,084	+370	No	+$543	01-09 16:48
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	5	$971	1,164	1,164	+0	Knicks	+$682	05-20 02:48
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	6	$963	1,246	1,246	+0	No	+$520	01-21 16:08
solana above 90 on february 5	3	$960	758	758	+0	No	+$440	02-05 15:14
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$919	1,290	612	+679	Spurs	+$133	05-31 02:31
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	7	$908	749	749	+0	Knicks	+$383	06-06 03:26
cfb miss ga 2026 01 01 1h moneyline	8	$889	892	892	+0	Georgia	+$149	01-02 02:07
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	4	$853	1,695	658	+1,038	Cavaliers	+$187	05-18 01:43
nba orl was 2026 01 06	10	$838	841	841	+0	Wizards	+$175	01-07 02:16
nfl det chi 2026 01 04	5	$835	1,213	1,213	+0	Lions	+$245	01-05 00:13
bitcoin above 88k on january 25	8	$818	1,310	1,010	+300	Yes	+$422	01-25 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	43	$786	570	569	+1	Down	+$216	06-02 02:39
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	3	$778	618	618	+0	Pistons	+$284	05-16 01:07
Thunder vs. Spurs	5	$773	1,537	509	+1,028	Spurs	+$103	05-25 02:10
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	4	$772	576	576	+0	Timberwolves	+$378	05-11 02:21
cfb mia ohiost 2025 12 31	5	$756	782	954	-172	Miami	-$173	01-01 03:27
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	5	$749	1,664	877	+787	No	+$329	01-31 15:32
nba sas mem 2026 01 06	8	$742	614	687	-73	Grizzlies	+$199	01-07 03:22
wta selekhm ostapen 2026 02 02	3	$739	976	976	+0	Ostapenko	+$639	02-02 16:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 01:24:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	560	6¢	$31	0x90afa4…
11-05 01:23:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1,820	1¢	$20	0x7e33fa…
11-04 10:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	89	51¢	$46	0x7d00e1…
11-04 10:09:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	1,636	2¢	$36	0xbd0db1…
10-29 12:42:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1,271	3¢	$41	0x3c730a…
10-22 15:13:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	291	7¢	$21	0xbff75c…
10-22 15:13:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	1,510	2¢	$25	0xafe449…
10-20 09:56:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1,125	2¢	$28	0x6895ad…
10-10 16:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x3aa5a7…
10-09 15:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x93c71f…
10-09 15:27:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	1,031	1¢	$15	0x586a3d…
10-09 15:26:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	689	4¢	$24	0x317a4c…
10-09 15:25:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	2,332	2¢	$35	0x49a928…
10-05 03:49:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xbaf7d2…
10-05 03:48:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1,082	12¢	$125	0x4f2294…
10-01 09:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0xe34a2d…
10-01 09:46:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	330	4¢	$13	0xcee5fc…
09-29 02:30:47	Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	BUY	286	21¢	$60	0x080b2d…
09-29 02:26:56	Eagles vs. Bears	Bears	SELL	500	83¢	$415	0x128211…
09-28 22:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0x5f96e0…
09-28 22:18:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x84c718…
09-28 22:18:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x378377…
09-28 22:13:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xef5bee…
09-28 22:11:47	Eagles vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	500	37¢	$185	0x590eeb…
09-27 03:02:59	Missouri vs. Mississippi State	Missouri	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x0b6fa7…
09-27 02:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0x7adeec…
09-27 02:59:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0x4a49ac…
09-27 02:59:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x1786ca…
09-27 02:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	47	52¢	$24	0x566110…
09-27 02:54:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbf0e02…
09-27 02:54:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x9d4cac…
09-27 02:54:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	21	94¢	$19	0x0cca3b…
09-27 02:49:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x245b5a…
09-27 02:48:53	will bitcoin reach 85k on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	536	3¢	$15	0x689b3c…
09-27 02:48:03	Oregon vs. USC	USC	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xb1fcac…
09-26 15:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	91	32¢	$29	0xe6752d…
09-24 23:30:38	Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	BUY	205	6¢	$12	0x8fbfa9…
09-24 23:29:12	Michael Penix Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	BUY	712	1¢	$10	0xa1fb99…
09-24 20:20:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x73a80d…
09-23 23:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xf66f83…
09-23 23:00:46	will bitcoin dip to 83k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	222	4¢	$10	0x535054…
09-22 13:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6fef61…
09-22 13:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xcc3778…
09-22 13:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x4dae0f…
09-22 13:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x15dc34…
09-22 13:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x47df63…
09-22 13:43:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$14	0x5356de…
09-22 13:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xba2453…
09-22 13:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x94afd8…
09-22 13:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x71b0e1…
09-22 13:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xdf89e6…
09-22 13:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xd40b07…
09-22 13:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x8a47f6…
09-22 13:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x14b40c…
09-22 13:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x084647…
09-22 13:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x07629d…
09-22 13:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x04a500…
09-22 13:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x3a87f5…
09-22 13:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xf2c868…
09-22 13:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x48f4ff…
09-22 13:36:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	464	2¢	$8	0x79bf22…
09-22 13:34:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0x0492c4…
09-21 11:12:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	235	2¢	$5	0x44f275…
09-18 15:11:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	228	10¢	$22	0x302016…
09-14 11:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x49f5df…
09-14 11:23:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x37bc6d…
09-14 11:22:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	453	2¢	$10	0x7233df…
09-14 11:20:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xebb15f…
09-14 11:17:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x1b0e6c…
09-14 11:16:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0xf8d43f…
09-08 11:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xb4a345…
09-08 11:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x52360a…
09-08 11:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x6bd4aa…
09-08 11:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xc47215…
09-08 11:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x88f02b…
09-08 11:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xb81d75…
09-08 00:43:00	will bitcoin reach 80k on september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	218	11¢	$24	0xa031c3…
09-08 00:39:51	will bitcoin reach 80k on september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	316	10¢	$33	0x8f24a2…
09-07 11:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x60e819…
09-07 11:42:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	164	14¢	$23	0x4cb197…
09-06 21:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	63	54¢	$34	0x280f81…
09-06 21:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xf17185…
09-06 21:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xdfe62b…
09-06 21:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xbace5b…
09-06 21:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x94ae59…
09-06 21:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x8a142b…
09-06 21:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0x701812…
09-06 21:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x4f8504…
09-06 18:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x2ef02f…
09-06 18:28:57	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	553	2¢	$10	0x87702a…
09-04 06:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0xb5b901…
09-04 06:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xe93c9a…
09-04 06:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	45	87¢	$39	0x947246…
09-04 06:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x3cc606…
09-04 06:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	68	89¢	$61	0xb1e57d…
09-04 06:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	68	51¢	$35	0x55f0b6…
09-04 06:49:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	581	4¢	$22	0x17d530…
09-04 06:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xff9149…
09-04 06:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xe22341…
09-04 06:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x8fb902…