Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$253

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

319

Trades

1,031

lifetime

Volume

$8.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 03-04 03:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

49% 67% +$250

Other

29% 70% +$45

Sports

11% 70% +$5

Crypto

7% 74% -$30

Pop-Culture

4% 46% -$8

Tech

0% 0% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	7	$456	290	290	+0	Yes	+$108	02-04 18:46
will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	31	$418	286	286	+0	No	-$1	02-09 04:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	7	$350	220	220	+0	No	-$16	02-13 05:18
will trump say autopen or auto pen this week february 8	11	$344	347	0	+347	Yes	+$3	02-05 00:21
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	23	$250	214	214	+0	Yes	+$4	02-09 04:34
will octane by don toliver be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of february 14	6	$178	180	0	+180	Yes	+$2	02-09 05:20
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	12	$175	149	149	+0	Yes	+$4	03-03 22:40
will donald trump attend super bowl lx	3	$137	139	0	+139	No	+$3	02-07 23:23
will the romantic debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k	4	$125	63	63	+0	No	$0	03-04 03:40
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	8	$123	109	20	+89	No	+$3	02-18 20:55
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	4	$108	138	0	+138	No	+$30	02-25 02:23
will coinbase run an ad during super bowl lx	7	$106	63	63	+0	Yes	+$20	02-09 01:08
will the state of the union begin between 9pm and 915pm et	2	$99	52	52	+0	Yes	+$3	02-25 02:12
will trump say hell 5 times in rome ga on february 19	6	$99	122	1	+121	Yes	+$23	02-19 21:38
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	4	$98	60	40	+20	No	+$0	02-18 21:25
will donald trumps tie be blue	14	$98	60	43	+17	No	$0	02-25 01:34
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$92	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	03-04 03:41
will trump and netanyahu not shake hands by february 13 2026	4	$91	89	2	+87	No	+$0	02-11 18:42
will donald trumps tie be another color	4	$84	93	93	+0	No	-$69	02-25 01:33
will bernie sanders say zuckerberg or bezos 8 times during the fighting oligarchy rally	9	$74	63	21	+41	No	+$4	02-13 20:49
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during fox interview on tuesday	12	$73	78	4	+74	No	+$3	02-11 03:00
will trump say crypto or bitcoin first during the 2026 state of the union address 238	2	$72	72	0	+72	No	+$0	02-24 15:37
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	6	$65	76	76	+0	No	+$38	03-04 03:40
will france strike iran by march 31	4	$64	43	43	+0	No	-$3	03-03 15:58
will trump say kamala or harris during the 2026 state of the union address 812	11	$63	105	66	+39	No	-$6	02-25 03:26
will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during the 2026 state of the union address 296	2	$63	64	0	+64	Yes	+$1	02-25 02:40
will leavitt say president 60 times during the next press briefing	3	$61	61	0	+61	Yes	+$0	02-05 20:00
will jd vance attend super bowl lx	3	$61	61	0	+61	No	+$1	02-08 17:33
will trump say democracy this week february 22	4	$60	73	4	+69	No	+$15	02-22 10:54
amzn close above 240 on february 2 2026	4	$57	58	0	+58	Yes	+$0	02-02 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-04 03:42:21	will emma stone attend the oscars	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x372c35…
03-04 03:42:17	Will Britney Spears perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x7527da…
03-04 03:42:15	bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	No	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x4f1670…
03-04 03:42:07	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x9e8b86…
03-04 03:42:05	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x0397e0…
03-04 03:42:01	will hillary say victim during her epstein testimony	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xca1221…
03-04 03:41:59	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x9a0db4…
03-04 03:41:55	will hillary say island during her epstein testimony	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe3f30e…
03-04 03:41:51	will hillarys remarks not air	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb65a81…
03-04 03:41:49	will trump say charlie kirk in march	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xa771fe…
03-04 03:41:37	will michael b jordan attend the oscars	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0xf888c3…
03-04 03:41:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xbac6cc…
03-04 03:41:33	will trump say bitcoin in march	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x90adf9…
03-04 03:41:29	will trump say coward in march	No	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0x28f748…
03-04 03:41:25	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x483be8…
03-04 03:41:21	will leonardo dicaprio attend the oscars	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x989ab5…
03-04 03:41:19	will timothe chalamet attend the oscars	Yes	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xe8c52d…
03-04 03:41:15	will trump say low energy in march	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x2ce2ba…
03-04 03:41:13	will trump say toyota this week march 8	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xfa19db…
03-04 03:41:09	will trump say transgender this week march 8	Yes	SELL	19	48¢	$9	0xee4194…
03-04 03:41:05	will the romantic debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k	Yes	SELL	27	91¢	$25	0x69a7a4…
03-04 03:41:03	will trump say black plastic this week march 8	No	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0x0fb149…
03-04 03:41:01	will the romantic debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x209c46…
03-04 03:40:57	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	26	7¢	$2	0x3b20ac…
03-04 03:40:55	will trump say el salvador this week march 8	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x8f3486…
03-04 03:40:51	will the announcers say holloway or oliveira 15 times during holloway vs oliveira 2	No	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0x73643c…
03-04 03:40:47	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	SELL	76	68¢	$52	0x0abc9d…
03-04 03:40:45	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x5730ae…
03-04 03:40:41	will dream big be said at the oscars	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xc704d8…
03-04 03:40:37	will trump say biden 4 times during meetings with chancellor merz	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x4565a9…
03-04 03:40:35	will canada strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x24b438…
03-04 03:40:31	will the romantic debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k	No	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0x54ec67…
03-04 02:47:31	will dream big be said at the oscars	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x536955…
03-04 01:43:43	will the romantic debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x10c7f9…
03-04 00:51:09	will the romantic debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xfe530b…
03-04 00:50:13	will the romantic debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x812342…
03-04 00:45:23	will canada strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcd7bf2…
03-04 00:27:47	will trump say biden 4 times during meetings with chancellor merz	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xf11055…
03-04 00:03:03	will the romantic debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x08ed69…
03-03 23:14:11	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x91ed5d…
03-03 22:40:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	73	26¢	$19	0x50d780…
03-03 22:32:11	will trump say black plastic this week march 8	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x7a4f0d…
03-03 22:10:19	will the romantic debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x96c12c…
03-03 22:10:03	will the romantic debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x79962a…
03-03 21:07:33	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xaafd1b…
03-03 21:05:09	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	67	18¢	$12	0x65ec29…
03-03 21:04:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd5a63b…
03-03 19:24:41	will trump say el salvador this week march 8	Yes	BUY	27	61¢	$17	0x01c7cd…
03-03 19:10:45	will trump say black plastic this week march 8	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xcf1269…
03-03 19:09:23	will trump say el salvador this week march 8	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x8a9832…
03-03 18:23:37	will trump say coward in march	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x695f44…
03-03 18:05:37	will jackass or moron be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 8	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xab1d52…
03-03 18:02:35	will jackass or moron be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 8	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x5313d6…
03-03 17:48:47	will trump say black plastic this week march 8	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x952090…
03-03 17:11:33	will trump say percent 7 times during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe9859b…
03-03 17:08:35	will trump say tariff 6 times during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x371ffb…
03-03 17:08:15	will trump say tariff 6 times during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdfd451…
03-03 16:30:51	will trump say percent 7 times during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf6c65e…
03-03 16:22:37	will trump say stupid or low iq during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x15cc0e…
03-03 16:13:23	will trump say tariff 6 times during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x8376f3…
03-03 16:13:07	will trump say percent 7 times during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	SELL	37	35¢	$13	0xe92d8e…
03-03 16:04:49	will trump say tariff 6 times during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x5b70f3…
03-03 15:58:05	will france strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	43	72¢	$31	0x0f30d3…
03-03 14:52:59	will france strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x662a01…
03-03 14:04:37	will trump say percent 7 times during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0x1ef175…
03-03 07:21:31	will france strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xfb006d…
03-03 02:48:41	will the announcers say holloway or oliveira 15 times during holloway vs oliveira 2	No	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0xe80eb7…
03-03 01:11:11	will france strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x1fb0b4…
03-03 00:29:43	will trump say el salvador this week march 8	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x305d5e…
03-02 21:33:45	will trump say n word in march	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x497827…
03-02 20:15:27	will trump say el salvador this week march 8	No	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x3af7fb…
03-02 19:39:13	will leonardo dicaprio attend the oscars	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x77eb87…
03-02 17:06:27	will trump say sniper during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x571e5c…
03-02 16:58:09	will trump say secretary of war during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0efa57…
03-02 16:56:45	will trump say nazi this week march 8	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xef13c4…
03-02 16:36:15	will trumps remarks not air 772 434 811	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x4e1cf4…
03-02 16:15:03	will trumps remarks not air 772 434 811	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc9596…
03-02 16:12:37	will trump say biden during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	No	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0x0dc1bd…
03-02 16:12:23	will trump say secretary of war during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xad00cb…
03-02 15:52:25	will trump say n word in march	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0x6621dd…
03-02 15:40:59	will trump say biden during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x59ebd8…
03-02 14:06:45	will trump say nazi this week march 8	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x90c2e3…
03-02 13:59:25	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x7643e7…
03-02 13:52:19	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x963920…
03-02 13:51:35	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0xd259aa…
03-02 13:51:23	will trump say coward in march	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xda6e95…
03-02 13:49:25	will trump say job 5 times during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	Yes	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0xa5a6b6…
03-02 13:45:27	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x748b2e…
03-02 13:45:05	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x10616b…
03-02 13:36:13	will trump say coward in march	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xc5c290…
03-02 13:19:57	will trump say job 5 times during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x28c50f…
03-02 13:16:27	will trump say secretary of war during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	No	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x3fb35a…
03-02 12:38:19	will trump say barack hussein obama in march	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x53af2a…
03-02 12:38:17	will trump say barack hussein obama in march	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x39855b…
03-02 12:15:19	will trump say low energy in march	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x97dd20…
03-02 12:10:39	will trump say transgender this week march 8	Yes	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x6250b1…
03-02 01:00:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x66e094…
03-02 01:00:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$0	0xa4efc9…
03-01 23:15:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0xa6c977…
03-01 20:52:39	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbcb4e5…