Abandoned-Frenzy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$87

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 05-13 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

61% 60% +$16

Politics

19% 67% +$73

Sports

16% 0% -$2

Tech

3% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+404	$30	2¢	$8	-$22	05-13 19:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$2.6K	5,582	5,582	+0	No	+$0	03-29 06:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.5K	1,284	1,284	+0	Yes	+$1	03-29 17:10
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.6K	795	795	+0	No	-$2	03-27 09:03
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	13	$768	1,117	713	+404	open	—	05-13 19:17
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$446	394	394	+0	Yes	-$3	04-24 23:50
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	6	$404	227	227	+0	Yes	+$1	04-27 00:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$329	203	203	+0	No	+$31	04-22 21:24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$325	228	228	+0	No	$0	04-23 04:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$319	251	251	+0	Yes	+$12	04-09 16:08
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	2	$285	1,110	1,110	+0	No	+$34	03-30 08:50
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$191	2,270	2,270	+0	No	+$9	03-26 19:58
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	7	$100	2,126	2,126	+0	No	-$2	03-30 18:12
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$66	101	101	+0	No	+$0	04-04 08:14
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$39	258	258	+0	No	+$0	04-12 09:16
will elisa win the legend trade series	1	$34	40	0	+40	No	+$6	04-14 05:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 19:17:57	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	404	7¢	$30	0xef3d3f…
05-13 13:54:45	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	199	8¢	$15	0xa7e65e…
05-13 11:47:21	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	8¢	$11	0xfa5d09…
05-13 11:47:21	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	8¢	$4	0xaf433a…
05-13 10:20:58	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	8¢	$11	0x128558…
05-13 06:51:29	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	8¢	$11	0xe1f7e2…
05-13 00:53:09	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	218	93¢	$202	0x42f9e8…
05-12 20:28:17	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	218	93¢	$202	0x2bef76…
05-12 17:04:33	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x9829fa…
05-12 15:21:43	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0xaf8d71…
05-12 15:21:43	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	97	93¢	$90	0x3a90c8…
05-12 11:45:35	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	128	93¢	$119	0x7ca7ad…
05-12 11:45:35	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x107ea0…
04-27 00:21:52	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xa4c9bd…
04-27 00:21:50	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	148	89¢	$132	0xfb0b38…
04-27 00:21:50	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	70	89¢	$62	0x3eff21…
04-26 20:34:18	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	127	89¢	$113	0xd16508…
04-26 20:34:18	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0xc72521…
04-26 20:34:18	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x40e07d…
04-24 23:50:30	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	394	56¢	$222	0x25cfa4…
04-24 22:31:02	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	394	57¢	$225	0x5d5a56…
04-23 04:05:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	97	71¢	$69	0xd34b3e…
04-23 04:05:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	98	71¢	$70	0xb6e0a3…
04-23 04:05:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	33	71¢	$23	0x986381…
04-23 03:54:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	76	71¢	$54	0xf44148…
04-23 03:54:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	152	71¢	$108	0x9d9252…
04-22 21:24:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	103	89¢	$91	0xe06af2…
04-22 21:24:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xb3f88a…
04-21 10:40:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	203	74¢	$149	0x3e7ef2…
04-14 05:37:19	will elisa win the legend trade series	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xfe9f3d…
04-12 09:16:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	SELL	258	8¢	$20	0xe1c2d1…
04-12 04:47:09	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	258	8¢	$20	0xf1409e…
04-09 16:08:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xd70663…
04-09 16:08:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	232	66¢	$153	0xc393a5…
04-09 16:08:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x9b75f2…
04-09 13:47:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	251	61¢	$154	0xdc894d…
04-04 08:14:43	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	101	33¢	$33	0xd00c48…
04-04 06:43:51	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xf0cf66…
04-04 06:43:51	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	81	33¢	$26	0xda5dca…
03-30 18:12:39	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	212	2¢	$5	0x5a253f…
03-30 18:12:01	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,862	2¢	$43	0xdbce0b…
03-30 18:12:01	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x7aab1f…
03-30 15:47:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	169	2¢	$4	0xa3597a…
03-30 15:47:03	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xac3af9…
03-30 15:47:03	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x6c492d…
03-30 15:47:01	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,879	2¢	$45	0xf1e862…
03-30 08:50:00	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,110	14¢	$160	0xa33400…
03-30 07:40:44	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,110	11¢	$125	0x7f5bae…
03-29 17:10:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,284	97¢	$1,243	0x39d31b…
03-29 14:26:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,284	97¢	$1,242	0x8c0a07…
03-29 06:31:46	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	1,258	99¢	$1,242	0xa0bb2d…
03-29 06:31:02	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,258	99¢	$1,242	0x46be0c…
03-28 18:08:55	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	937	1¢	$11	0x5682e3…
03-28 18:08:53	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,246	1¢	$15	0xff1e07…
03-28 18:08:53	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,079	1¢	$13	0xead5be…
03-28 18:08:53	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,062	1¢	$13	0x7b3abf…
03-28 13:51:21	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4,324	1¢	$52	0xa280cf…
03-27 09:03:15	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	795	99¢	$783	0x8142b7…
03-27 07:12:27	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	795	99¢	$785	0xb502c3…
03-26 19:58:31	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,185	4¢	$52	0xb5ab7a…
03-26 19:58:31	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,085	4¢	$48	0xa8abb8…
03-26 16:43:03	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,270	4¢	$91	0xdd9d37…