Overlooked-Lentil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.2%

Resolved

Trades

373

lifetime

Volume

$8.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-22 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 50% +$7

Other

7% 0% $-7

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	9	$470	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-27 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$203	126	109	+18	Down	$-7	05-13 06:22
spx up or down on january 21 2026	4	$201	300	0	+300	open	—	01-21 11:12
spx up or down on february 4 2026	7	$138	230	0	+230	open	—	02-04 09:14
btc updown 5m 1776422100	4	$132	154	51	+103	open	—	04-17 10:38
btc updown 5m 1773581100	1	$122	254	0	+254	open	—	03-15 13:24
btc updown 5m 1773579300	2	$115	134	0	+134	open	—	03-15 12:59
btc updown 5m 1776443700	3	$115	133	58	+75	open	—	04-17 16:38
btc updown 5m 1773535500	2	$110	129	0	+129	open	—	03-15 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$101	96	96	+0	open	—	05-14 09:53
btc updown 5m 1773514200	1	$100	161	0	+161	open	—	03-14 18:52
btc updown 5m 1771094100	2	$100	183	0	+183	open	—	02-14 18:39
btc updown 5m 1773521100	1	$100	130	0	+130	open	—	03-14 20:46
btc updown 5m 1773522300	1	$100	121	0	+121	open	—	03-14 21:08
btc updown 5m 1771093200	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	02-14 18:24
btc updown 5m 1776492000	2	$98	130	125	+5	open	—	04-18 06:03
btc updown 5m 1776428400	3	$94	121	59	+63	open	—	04-17 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$93	132	96	+36	open	—	05-14 08:19
btc updown 5m 1776422400	3	$91	91	46	+45	open	—	04-17 10:44
btc updown 5m 1771092000	3	$85	278	0	+278	open	—	02-14 18:03
btc updown 5m 1771086600	2	$81	100	0	+100	open	—	02-14 16:32
btc updown 5m 1773513000	1	$80	154	0	+154	open	—	03-14 18:30
btc updown 5m 1771072200	1	$80	119	0	+119	open	—	02-14 12:32
btc updown 5m 1773535800	2	$80	132	0	+132	open	—	03-15 00:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	13	$70	167	167	+0	open	—	05-14 14:25
btc updown 5m 1773483300	1	$70	97	0	+97	open	—	03-14 10:17
btc updown 5m 1773575700	2	$70	91	0	+91	open	—	03-15 11:58
btc updown 5m 1773487500	4	$70	147	0	+147	open	—	03-14 11:29
btc updown 5m 1773482100	5	$70	94	0	+94	open	—	03-14 10:00
btc updown 5m 1771084200	2	$69	100	0	+100	open	—	02-14 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 07:24:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	49	23¢	$11	0x8e48ec…
05-22 07:24:34	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xd2a285…
05-22 07:11:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xe81bb6…
05-22 07:10:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x490295…
05-22 07:10:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x9b4954…
05-22 07:10:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xe56db8…
05-22 07:10:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x0152e7…
05-17 08:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x584731…
05-17 08:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6d79bd…
05-16 19:48:15	Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xab98ee…
05-16 19:39:03	Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x4c29ba…
05-16 19:38:46	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0xf0c875…
05-16 19:38:46	Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xd8875d…
05-16 19:38:42	Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	31¢	$34	0xc6bc64…
05-16 19:34:53	Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	5¢	$9	0x04cf3f…
05-15 18:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x70ee44…
05-15 18:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x42c525…
05-15 18:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc0c6da…
05-15 18:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x03c5f0…
05-15 18:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x19369b…
05-15 18:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xca6e32…
05-15 18:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe3f7c9…
05-15 18:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xc68bd5…
05-15 18:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0x2bbc9a…
05-15 18:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xeabe97…
05-15 18:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	36	7¢	$2	0xa1a5c5…
05-15 18:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x649273…
05-15 18:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x81609b…
05-15 18:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x5508b5…
05-15 18:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0x300251…
05-15 18:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xd93269…
05-15 18:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb3bffa…
05-14 20:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x442d60…
05-14 20:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6dd295…
05-14 20:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8e4601…
05-14 20:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	82	30¢	$25	0x027f4e…
05-14 20:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	52	20¢	$10	0x26014e…
05-14 20:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x1a6ec4…
05-14 20:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x26e726…
05-14 19:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x24367c…
05-14 19:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x1ee47f…
05-14 19:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x686ad5…
05-14 19:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x37362b…
05-14 19:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9f6314…
05-14 14:25:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	67	12¢	$8	0xb37a88…
05-14 14:25:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xdbbf1d…
05-14 14:25:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x107ede…
05-14 14:25:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xcc69bb…
05-14 14:25:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xafe41d…
05-14 14:25:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x5fc8ea…
05-14 14:25:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xda0ab9…
05-14 14:25:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x7602f1…
05-14 14:25:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x7b80bd…
05-14 14:25:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x0d6fa6…
05-14 14:25:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xbab33a…
05-14 11:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x94024c…
05-14 11:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x228642…
05-14 11:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xaeacbd…
05-14 11:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf85ce6…
05-14 09:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	96	53¢	$51	0xbfb32a…
05-14 09:52:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	166	30¢	$50	0x372d96…
05-14 09:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x94a7a0…
05-14 09:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x2a9b35…
05-14 09:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x9ba032…
05-14 09:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xcdc139…
05-14 09:24:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa9d463…
05-14 08:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x7f0b61…
05-14 08:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x984639…
05-14 08:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	96	7¢	$7	0xe2d737…
05-14 08:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xdf953f…
05-14 08:26:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x222c5c…
05-14 08:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xbfea42…
05-14 08:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	96	44¢	$43	0x9396fc…
05-14 08:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x76bd6f…
05-14 08:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xdea999…
05-14 08:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x860fce…
05-14 08:02:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5fe733…
05-14 07:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x84d0be…
05-14 07:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	179	8¢	$14	0xa69e06…
05-14 07:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0x799ba5…
05-14 07:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x773ec3…
05-14 07:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	39	41¢	$16	0x24d51f…
05-14 07:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xd0f607…
05-14 07:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	96	41¢	$39	0x482185…
05-14 07:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xc3d620…
05-14 07:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	139	10¢	$14	0x7f7485…
05-14 07:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xd1d2d2…
05-14 07:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	41	44¢	$18	0x0fd66d…
05-14 07:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x18b6b1…
05-13 14:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xf595c0…
05-13 14:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0x5a0686…
05-13 06:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x35e2d4…
05-13 06:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xdc12fe…
05-13 06:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	109	90¢	$98	0x320844…
05-13 06:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x1c37c9…
05-13 06:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x18cdc1…
05-12 19:52:45	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	97	7¢	$7	0xb946bf…
05-12 19:46:48	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xaa787f…
04-18 06:04:02	btc updown 5m 1776492300	Down	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0x686f9e…
04-18 06:03:08	btc updown 5m 1776492000	Down	SELL	125	27¢	$33	0x397fef…