Noteworthy-Shampoo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

960

lifetime

Volume

$44.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-22 22:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

85% 0% $-75

Other

11% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	37	$5.4K	14,201	7,420	+6,781	open	—	02-28 07:46
us forces enter iran by march 7	59	$5.0K	30,602	25,837	+4,764	open	—	03-06 01:55
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	56	$4.5K	23,487	10,312	+13,175	open	—	03-15 03:52
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$2.8K	2,120	2,120	+0	open	—	04-06 15:32
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	49	$2.6K	10,150	10,150	+0	open	—	04-02 01:21
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	113	$2.0K	67,366	15,321	+52,045	open	—	02-28 07:42
will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	52	$1.5K	43,021	21,511	+21,511	open	—	02-25 12:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$1.2K	6,136	3,866	+2,270	open	—	05-09 01:48
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	12	$1.1K	9,567	8,882	+685	open	—	04-21 16:00
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$915	568	568	+0	open	—	04-06 15:31
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	13	$914	2,230	2,230	+0	open	—	02-27 18:09
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	11	$841	22,326	20,657	+1,668	open	—	02-23 21:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$750	2,105	1,979	+126	open	—	02-27 17:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$663	2,628	2,628	+0	open	—	03-01 00:53
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	3	$581	1,297	1,297	+0	open	—	01-26 01:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$567	4,100	4,100	+0	open	—	05-21 17:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$547	351	351	+0	open	—	03-07 00:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$547	390	552	-162	open	—	05-22 21:31
will the seahawks win the 2026 nfc championship	5	$416	395	395	+0	open	—	01-26 02:39
us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	18	$408	2,002	1,801	+201	open	—	03-05 02:48
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	6	$398	596	596	+0	open	—	01-26 01:53
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	3	$375	1,061	531	+531	open	—	04-14 01:12
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	2	$370	894	0	+894	open	—	01-26 01:30
will the us next strike iran on march 3 2026 et	41	$360	10,931	10,931	+0	open	—	02-28 07:14
will the us next strike iran on march 2 2026 et	74	$351	14,567	14,567	+0	open	—	02-28 07:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$320	320	320	+0	open	—	05-22 21:30
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	9	$319	1,632	0	+1,632	open	—	04-18 20:33
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$305	225	225	+0	open	—	04-19 22:59
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	36	$285	9,839	5,277	+4,563	open	—	02-24 20:05
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	7	$284	4,681	4,073	+609	open	—	02-22 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 22:21:46	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xed39be…
05-22 22:17:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0xc44fa6…
05-22 22:16:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,046	1¢	$22	0xe31f0e…
05-22 22:16:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	353	0¢	$2	0x2ff046…
05-22 22:15:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	313	20¢	$63	0x77e49a…
05-22 21:31:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	392	80¢	$313	0xf9bcfc…
05-22 21:31:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	160	80¢	$128	0x65e507…
05-22 21:30:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	320	75¢	$240	0xbeced5…
05-22 14:36:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	313	32¢	$100	0x971e17…
05-21 17:41:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	4,100	1¢	$59	0x5bd7db…
05-21 17:34:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	66¢	$27	0x4bc30b…
05-21 17:34:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0x086132…
05-21 17:34:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	14¢	$50	0x81f859…
05-21 17:33:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0x1c5ed1…
05-21 17:33:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x808ff5…
05-21 17:33:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x4b126c…
05-21 17:33:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xf82f66…
05-21 17:33:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	26¢	$24	0x52de46…
05-21 17:32:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	10¢	$120	0xc531a8…
05-21 17:31:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	846	12¢	$100	0x61a335…
05-21 17:30:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x3bd940…
05-21 15:44:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	390	27¢	$105	0xd9b84e…
05-17 18:30:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,600	13¢	$208	0xfc46c0…
05-17 15:26:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	320	25¢	$80	0xcd4710…
05-17 15:19:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	2,500	12¢	$300	0x3763a6…
05-15 14:20:50	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc8e8af…
05-15 14:16:15	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x1ae04b…
05-12 15:41:05	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	22¢	$62	0xc8cbc7…
05-12 15:40:49	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x08374b…
05-09 01:48:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3,866	5¢	$193	0x89295c…
05-05 01:01:38	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	221	23¢	$50	0x17f475…
05-05 00:42:58	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x93f27f…
05-04 11:01:48	Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	Yes	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xa6394f…
04-29 11:38:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	210	0¢	$0	0x4af27e…
04-23 18:04:42	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	58¢	$57	0x413b0a…
04-23 18:04:02	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	302	1¢	$2	0xbb5501…
04-23 18:03:22	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	273	0¢	$0	0x325da0…
04-21 16:05:42	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	115	3¢	$3	0xc25341…
04-21 16:00:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x9a7d58…
04-21 04:08:06	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2,102	3¢	$65	0x60cc5b…
04-21 04:07:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2,260	3¢	$70	0x13e8ab…
04-21 04:06:12	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	651	3¢	$21	0x43e276…
04-21 04:05:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	4,520	3¢	$148	0x9e89d7…
04-20 21:07:46	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x6fe3ca…
04-20 21:06:50	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0xc18c23…
04-20 21:06:50	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x8d9cb3…
04-20 18:27:36	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xa9a3f9…
04-20 18:24:30	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	5,386	10¢	$530	0xb441d8…
04-20 18:20:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	765	10¢	$75	0x8c4a56…
04-20 18:18:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	839	8¢	$70	0x7c6214…
04-20 18:17:52	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,188	8¢	$100	0xa8c44d…
04-20 18:13:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	568	9¢	$50	0x1f3c05…
04-20 18:13:46	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	569	9¢	$50	0xc817ed…
04-20 16:32:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	337	9¢	$30	0xd10a96…
04-20 16:30:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0xb9bb9e…
04-20 14:55:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	107	7¢	$7	0x3ebf49…
04-20 13:55:44	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x630ea9…
04-20 13:37:18	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbffe0c…
04-20 13:35:44	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xc5991f…
04-20 09:20:54	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x064e2a…
04-20 07:56:00	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb718f1…
04-19 23:19:40	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x32b62b…
04-19 23:16:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x4c51a6…
04-19 23:15:50	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	115	17¢	$20	0x8d7ed0…
04-19 23:02:20	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	142	26¢	$37	0x3ecfa9…
04-19 22:59:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	225	47¢	$105	0xc9227c…
04-19 21:01:40	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0xcaa883…
04-19 21:01:40	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x199bc6…
04-19 21:01:40	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x0bfd85…
04-19 20:27:04	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x070158…
04-19 19:54:40	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x899259…
04-19 19:54:04	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xb559cf…
04-19 19:17:02	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x73f82e…
04-19 18:06:30	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x41de4b…
04-19 18:01:20	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x63a524…
04-19 16:31:36	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xcedb38…
04-19 16:31:36	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0xb5c8a4…
04-19 16:31:36	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3fddbb…
04-19 15:57:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x05465d…
04-19 15:56:36	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x946ee0…
04-19 15:56:36	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6a3810…
04-19 15:56:20	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xddad0d…
04-19 15:56:20	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6d6959…
04-19 15:56:02	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	43¢	$51	0xcabe7b…
04-19 15:48:04	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xf560cb…
04-19 15:09:38	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xe49621…
04-19 15:09:38	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x7b5b7b…
04-19 15:09:26	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xaa3f69…
04-19 15:09:26	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa12edb…
04-19 14:55:48	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x05a077…
04-19 14:51:56	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb95334…
04-19 13:41:20	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	25¢	$13	0x7928e1…
04-18 20:33:02	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x567f5f…
04-18 20:32:50	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	625	22¢	$138	0xd66720…
04-18 20:16:56	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x93f478…
04-18 19:15:00	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x441259…
04-18 19:10:00	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xa3e4a9…
04-18 19:05:44	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	106	22¢	$23	0xa6b889…
04-18 18:48:16	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	86	23¢	$20	0x20b159…
04-18 12:37:14	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	668	15¢	$100	0x776f77…