Able-Toughguy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$370

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$102

1 position

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-03 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 40% $-7

Other

27% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-10

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No		-104	$-101	98¢	$-102	$-1	06-01 06:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$101	0	104	-104	open	—	06-01 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$73	204	0	+204	open	—	05-16 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	05-13 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-27 16:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$21	40	40	+0	open	—	05-17 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-27 17:02
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$10	45	0	+45	Spurs	$-10	05-12 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-31 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-13 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	05-30 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	05-15 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-15 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	05-27 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$5	155	0	+155	Down	$-5	05-13 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	$-5	05-13 22:39
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$4	20	10	+10	open	—	05-17 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$3	25	25	+0	open	—	05-18 21:44
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$2	14	14	+0	open	—	05-17 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-03 17:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-19 08:23
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-12 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-17 01:59
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	05-17 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-17 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-31 07:03
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-17 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	05-30 20:07
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	05-12 21:32
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	05-12 21:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-17 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 17:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x206af1…
06-01 06:18:32	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	104	97¢	$101	0x79d273…
05-31 07:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf6d406…
05-31 06:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe469d9…
05-30 20:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb1346d…
05-30 16:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x4c4466…
05-29 06:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdc2083…
05-27 17:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x16e6ff…
05-27 17:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4fc612…
05-27 16:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x642d10…
05-27 16:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x508b99…
05-19 08:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf5f399…
05-19 08:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb2c088…
05-18 21:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x8978ee…
05-18 21:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x892d8c…
05-17 21:34:15	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x176efd…
05-17 20:39:16	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x510800…
05-17 20:38:36	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x43da7d…
05-17 01:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8c821d…
05-17 01:58:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc7a3dc…
05-17 01:54:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc0095d…
05-17 01:53:54	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4aaa53…
05-17 01:49:55	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xc501f2…
05-17 01:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xe18916…
05-17 01:48:15	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x97394d…
05-17 01:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xc15f2e…
05-17 01:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x2dcca4…
05-17 01:44:40	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xc6b56d…
05-17 01:43:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3c3afa…
05-17 01:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2bd12a…
05-16 18:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	204	36¢	$73	0xca4322…
05-15 10:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x39f5fa…
05-15 10:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd79295…
05-13 22:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x714efc…
05-13 22:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1ef9af…
05-13 22:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xa2508c…
05-13 22:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x411ef0…
05-13 22:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0xa0c5a8…
05-12 21:33:09	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7246c0…
05-12 21:33:02	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x81dced…
05-12 21:32:57	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9f420c…
05-12 21:32:13	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x061411…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	31	$5.23K	875	06-03 17:25
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	31	$2.45K	295	06-03 17:28
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	30	$2.74K	570	06-03 17:27
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	29	$12.0K	1,812	06-03 17:28
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	29	$2.74K	176	06-03 17:28
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	29	$1.04K	186	06-03 17:27
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	28	$20.0K	755	06-03 17:31
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	28	$11.3K	839	05-31 07:02