Optimal-Scrap — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

809 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$271

$11.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-19 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

76% 86% +$3

Crypto

20% 81% +$1

Politics

2% 55% $0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 67% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	8	$134	67	67	+0	No	$0	07-24 00:31
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$114	57	57	+0	No	+$0	04-15 13:45
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	4	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$0	07-26 15:18
xrp above 1pt3 on july 21 2026	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-21 11:21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 67°F or below on July 23?	4	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-22 12:06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 22?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-21 21:56
bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 23:29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-25 11:49
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on July 26?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-25 22:04
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-19 01:17
Will "The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-27 22:01
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-28 18:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 14?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	10-13 09:18
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	7	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-26 10:42
xrp above 1pt4 on july 22 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-21 17:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 27?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-26 19:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on July 23?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 21?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 28?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-27 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on July 31?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-31 09:00
bitcoin above 70k on july 25 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-24 13:31
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 12?	5	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-11 05:16
bitcoin above 70k on july 30 2026	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-29 14:31
solana above 90 on july 28 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-27 19:15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 21?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-21 08:12
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 11:52
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 5?	4	$52	32	20	+12	No	+$0	05-04 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 30?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-30 17:30
bitcoin above 62k on july 25 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	07-25 12:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa471c4…
10-18 15:03:44	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbef238…
10-16 09:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x430299…
10-13 09:18:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 14?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x4574c0…
10-13 08:37:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 14?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x90e58f…
10-12 08:50:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdda330…
10-12 06:34:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03ae10…
10-12 01:35:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2d6a81…
10-11 21:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5b4ac4…
10-11 20:47:58	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3dc1c7…
10-11 18:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7e5137…
10-10 09:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b9344…
10-10 03:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on October 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4afc01…
10-05 08:16:05	Will the PCQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2c72d8…
10-02 01:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7c84ba…
10-01 22:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on October 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe8f288…
10-01 04:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9d430f…
09-28 05:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x966b29…
09-27 21:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8ef853…
09-23 22:14:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0535d0…
09-22 17:17:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x60b9aa…
09-22 15:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf6b330…
09-22 14:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x706227…
09-21 22:13:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbaa8a8…
09-19 07:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb8297e…
09-18 01:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc4712e…
09-17 15:47:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 18?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xfe8637…
09-13 05:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x5cd250…
09-11 20:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1fe75e…
09-11 20:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x56e8b6…
09-11 01:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x38edce…
09-10 20:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7f4af0…
09-07 15:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8af8ce…
09-06 15:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x782ea1…
09-06 05:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xc78ba1…
09-06 00:22:30	Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe1f398…
09-05 08:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x45c6b7…
09-05 00:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdb9f4f…
09-04 22:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x61d09e…
09-04 14:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc29899…
09-04 10:10:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69278f…
09-03 23:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x265b22…
09-03 11:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x53afab…
09-03 01:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9bb2de…
09-02 19:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3fee02…
09-02 10:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2ed927…
09-02 06:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfeb4d7…
09-02 05:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 2?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6258af…
09-01 12:52:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x466bea…
09-01 01:48:15	Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x59d1f9…
08-31 14:56:03	Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x897669…
08-31 00:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 31?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x52b9bd…
08-30 17:15:49	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbb825a…
08-30 13:37:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x15ab5f…
08-30 02:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3c2ef1…
08-29 21:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xada408…
08-28 18:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36e76e…
08-28 18:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 29?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa13d61…
08-28 13:33:52	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 28?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x915167…
08-27 09:23:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd2c3a5…
08-27 07:14:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa9d10d…
08-26 23:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa97fcb…
08-26 19:09:25	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6a5aab…
08-26 12:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x0d89c2…
08-26 09:14:24	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 26?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x184f11…
08-25 12:33:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0485b1…
08-25 11:37:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6ac104…
08-25 08:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9f860b…
08-24 17:51:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5f57b8…
08-24 09:13:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xfac6d6…
08-24 03:49:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa3d95b…
08-23 17:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd9a2c1…
08-14 17:59:19	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7f78c4…
08-14 08:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb6658b…
08-13 18:17:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc8f894…
08-13 14:56:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbaf66b…
08-13 09:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb2e66a…
08-13 07:12:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x09c1f9…
08-12 21:09:01	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc7278e…
08-12 07:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc638a3…
08-12 02:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe0928d…
08-11 23:44:24	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe4184c…
08-11 21:31:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xaff2f7…
08-11 12:23:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd19c3f…
08-10 22:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3d62b5…
08-10 20:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xad1ce7…
08-10 13:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6249d9…
08-10 12:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108°F or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf18c8e…
08-09 12:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x355783…
08-09 10:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0e94d4…
08-09 03:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C on August 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x82eea8…
08-09 03:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8b9467…
08-08 18:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0dc95e…
08-08 04:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x207a6f…
08-08 00:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x689190…
08-07 19:37:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x821289…
08-07 15:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1e4948…
08-07 11:45:45	bitcoin above 62k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x85389d…
08-07 07:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x155196…
08-06 08:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x54ca07…