Busy-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

239

Trades

775

lifetime

Volume

$2.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-06 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 53% $-7

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	7	$31	20	15	+5	open	—	05-17 20:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	9	$31	25	20	+5	open	—	05-17 20:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	8	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	4	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	05-01 14:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 19:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	6	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	05-17 19:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 19:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 14:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 20:46
eth updown 5m 1780695900	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-05 21:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 19:18
eth updown 5m 1780693200	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	06-05 21:04
eth updown 5m 1780707900	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	06-06 01:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 16:48
eth updown 5m 1780686600	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	06-05 19:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 17:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 16:36
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 13:26
BNB Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 19:26
eth updown 5m 1780704900	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-06 00:19
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 19:29
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 13:41
eth updown 5m 1780693800	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	06-05 21:14
eth updown 5m 1780697100	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	06-05 22:09
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$6	28	0	+28	open	—	04-29 15:04
eth updown 5m 1780707000	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	06-06 00:54
eth updown 5m 1780686000	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	06-05 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$4	5	4	+1	open	—	04-30 12:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Down	$-4	05-08 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 17:26:17	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x0a71a6…
06-06 06:54:39	eth updown 5m 1780728600	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x001f79…
06-06 06:53:04	eth updown 5m 1780728600	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xee1105…
06-06 06:33:15	eth updown 5m 1780727400	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x383a51…
06-06 03:03:06	eth updown 5m 1780714800	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbcf865…
06-06 01:53:09	eth updown 5m 1780710600	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8f22dc…
06-06 01:09:39	eth updown 5m 1780707900	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5c1697…
06-06 01:08:01	eth updown 5m 1780707900	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd7cd60…
06-06 00:54:51	eth updown 5m 1780707000	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x542477…
06-06 00:53:16	eth updown 5m 1780707000	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6a64bb…
06-06 00:19:39	eth updown 5m 1780704900	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbf410e…
06-06 00:18:04	eth updown 5m 1780704900	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xae4313…
06-05 22:09:39	eth updown 5m 1780697100	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x293600…
06-05 22:08:03	eth updown 5m 1780697100	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5d37d2…
06-05 21:49:57	eth updown 5m 1780695900	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfb82c4…
06-05 21:48:21	eth updown 5m 1780695900	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x82cb12…
06-05 21:14:51	eth updown 5m 1780693800	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x242397…
06-05 21:13:16	eth updown 5m 1780693800	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3d638c…
06-05 21:04:39	eth updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb7aefe…
06-05 21:03:04	eth updown 5m 1780693200	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x468515…
06-05 19:14:39	eth updown 5m 1780686600	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x0f10b3…
06-05 19:13:03	eth updown 5m 1780686600	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2e10d9…
06-05 19:04:48	eth updown 5m 1780686000	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xf12dc4…
06-05 19:03:12	eth updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4e95a1…
06-05 18:13:19	eth updown 5m 1780683000	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2f8429…
05-18 19:21:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x3f8324…
05-18 19:21:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x502792…
05-18 19:12:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xbe1f6e…
05-18 19:12:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x081022…
05-18 19:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x4d30e1…
05-18 19:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6b5edb…
05-18 19:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x0a2768…
05-18 19:11:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb37af5…
05-18 19:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x37139b…
05-18 19:10:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb10810…
05-18 17:16:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xff0cf2…
05-18 17:16:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x48198e…
05-18 16:48:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x417891…
05-18 16:48:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9702f9…
05-18 16:36:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x9601d0…
05-18 16:36:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x07157c…
05-17 20:46:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x2c091f…
05-17 20:46:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa6053a…
05-17 20:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xdaeaec…
05-17 20:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa64bc6…
05-17 20:34:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6c4cda…
05-17 20:32:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x62aa6e…
05-17 20:32:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9b1d2e…
05-17 20:31:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xce1073…
05-17 20:31:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x79e7d1…
05-17 20:30:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xa07fac…
05-17 20:30:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6ae266…
05-17 20:14:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd3daf9…
05-17 20:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xbd9996…
05-17 20:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x34fca6…
05-17 20:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x908591…
05-17 20:12:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x117b8a…
05-17 20:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xe7eaa6…
05-17 20:11:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xebe103…
05-17 20:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x2b4c8a…
05-17 20:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7f2a3b…
05-17 19:44:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2bcc36…
05-17 19:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf7e0c2…
05-17 19:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfabfa5…
05-17 19:43:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xca2b3f…
05-17 19:33:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x7bee3f…
05-17 19:33:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x16f1b7…
05-17 19:32:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x960aa6…
05-17 19:32:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5e755d…
05-17 19:32:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xf19b68…
05-17 19:31:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x99de19…
05-17 19:22:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x6d5685…
05-17 19:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9c29f2…
05-17 19:21:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x74cd18…
05-17 19:20:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3083fa…
05-17 19:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x81089f…
05-17 19:18:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb2317e…
05-17 19:17:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x5a15e3…
05-17 19:17:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8c9c91…
05-08 18:45:31	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa596eb…
05-08 18:45:12	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x328b6f…
05-08 18:15:15	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x54e5e2…
05-08 18:00:05	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x104687…
05-08 17:45:24	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd2e316…
05-08 17:30:14	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x66c495…
05-08 17:15:18	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8b44e7…
05-08 16:45:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x924adf…
05-08 16:30:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x689b80…
05-08 16:15:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x766761…
05-08 16:00:42	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbbc1ff…
05-08 15:45:06	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x6023ba…
05-08 15:30:43	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb72465…
05-08 15:30:05	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x65f824…
05-08 15:05:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb4ccd2…
05-08 15:00:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xe73542…
05-08 13:45:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x3a5ef4…
05-08 13:30:49	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7c24d9…
05-08 13:30:18	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x52d4d8…
05-08 13:26:23	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x10ef93…
05-08 13:15:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6d1181…