Specific-Claw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$896

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

8,672

Trades

13,590

lifetime

Volume

$62.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-09 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 172 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 69% -$748

Other

12% 63% -$120

Politics

0% 67% -$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 423 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down january 31 1pm et	36	$145	123	123	+0	Down	-$3	01-31 18:53
bitcoin up or down january 31 2pm et	34	$137	115	115	+0	Down	$0	01-31 19:45
bitcoin up or down february 14 8pm et	6	$130	73	73	+0	Down	+$9	02-15 01:43
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 12c	7	$121	101	100	+2	Yes	-$17	04-11 05:53
ethereum up or down january 30 10am et	29	$107	131	131	+0	Down	-$1	01-30 15:48
ethereum up or down january 31 2pm et	29	$105	87	87	+0	Up	+$1	01-31 19:44
bitcoin up or down february 14 6pm et	4	$99	56	56	+0	Down	+$7	02-14 23:50
bitcoin up or down january 31 1pm et	24	$98	72	72	+0	Down	+$1	01-31 18:47
bitcoin up or down february 14 7pm et	4	$97	55	55	+0	Down	+$7	02-15 00:40
bitcoin up or down february 15 2am et	5	$96	55	55	-0	Up	+$8	02-15 08:14
bitcoin up or down january 30 7am et	27	$85	159	159	+0	Down	-$4	01-30 12:31
bitcoin up or down january 30 10am et	22	$83	87	85	+2	Down	+$1	01-30 15:42
ethereum up or down january 30 5pm et	10	$82	110	110	+0	Up	-$2	01-30 22:44
bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	8	$81	48	48	+0	Down	+$10	02-15 13:50
solana up or down january 30 6pm et	11	$76	120	120	+0	Up	-$3	01-30 23:42
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	8	$73	159	34	+125	No	-$3	08-19 16:33
ethereum up or down february 6 6am et	31	$72	98	98	+0	Up	+$1	02-06 11:51
bitcoin up or down february 15 5pm et	3	$68	40	40	+0	Up	+$9	02-15 22:53
bitcoin up or down february 15 1am et	4	$68	40	40	-0	Up	+$8	02-15 08:15
bitcoin up or down january 30 3pm et	6	$66	126	126	+0	Down	-$4	01-30 20:45
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	9	$66	120	0	+120	Yes	-$26	06-19 07:07
bitcoin up or down february 15 12am et	3	$65	38	37	+0	Up	+$6	02-15 05:45
bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	4	$64	37	37	+0	Up	+$5	02-15 21:07
bitcoin up or down january 30 5pm et	6	$62	87	87	+0	Down	-$2	01-30 22:16
ethereum up or down january 29 1pm et	24	$62	241	241	+0	Down	-$1	01-29 18:42
solana up or down january 30 4pm et	9	$62	94	94	-0	Up	-$4	01-30 21:45
bitcoin up or down february 15 11am et	10	$61	53	53	+0	Down	-$2	02-15 17:10
bitcoin up or down february 16 5pm et	5	$61	34	34	+0	Down	+$4	02-16 22:31
ethereum up or down january 30 6pm et	6	$59	102	102	+0	Down	-$1	01-30 23:42
bitcoin up or down january 30 7pm et	6	$58	51	51	+0	Down	-$2	01-31 00:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 09:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9ecc88…
10-09 07:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x24bce7…
10-09 07:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3e18d5…
10-09 06:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4270d0…
10-09 06:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x56c435…
10-09 06:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd89ff7…
10-09 05:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf662c1…
10-09 05:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd4a8c7…
10-09 03:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x46ef51…
10-09 02:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xcb6b6a…
10-09 02:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x709eac…
10-09 01:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7d1631…
10-09 01:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x096a23…
10-09 00:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdbc8cc…
10-08 23:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x92289b…
10-08 23:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x116b96…
10-08 23:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x8669dc…
10-08 22:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xaf07aa…
10-08 22:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc35632…
10-08 21:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x568f06…
10-08 21:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x74812c…
10-08 20:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1cf955…
10-08 18:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x650699…
10-08 18:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3ff8ed…
10-08 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1a2513…
10-08 17:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x220299…
10-08 15:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xffb8a9…
10-08 14:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x418d2e…
10-08 14:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x42974b…
10-08 13:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2c887d…
10-08 12:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0e7dd8…
10-08 09:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd2ed37…
10-08 09:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xad7152…
10-08 08:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3705e5…
10-08 05:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0eb97a…
10-08 05:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x184b1a…
10-08 05:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfce704…
10-08 04:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x97e336…
10-08 03:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe591c1…
10-08 02:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x180f9d…
10-08 00:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4ce5c5…
10-08 00:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x03c8de…
10-07 23:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x393ef4…
10-07 22:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xaf7f0d…
10-07 22:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe42f70…
10-07 21:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x08e088…
10-07 20:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcf95e8…
10-07 19:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x6ce148…
10-07 19:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1ec607…
10-07 18:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x67e6c1…
10-07 17:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x657628…
10-07 17:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x6ef168…
10-07 16:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd41c67…
10-07 15:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc94dd0…
10-07 15:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x33d100…
10-07 14:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x196dca…
10-07 14:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x981933…
10-07 13:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa46e92…
10-07 12:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf30373…
10-07 12:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x5f34fe…
10-07 11:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7e5c72…
10-07 11:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x41df84…
10-07 10:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2ac3b0…
10-07 10:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x74d828…
10-07 09:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9617ee…
10-07 08:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa9bb97…
10-07 06:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6f6d2e…
10-07 06:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xffea8b…
10-07 05:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdbc625…
10-07 05:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x16fa0f…
10-07 05:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x4bde7d…
10-07 05:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2caf53…
10-07 03:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf028d3…
10-07 02:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0ca6c3…
10-07 02:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x54c8ec…
10-06 23:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x455b6b…
10-06 23:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd2dcd2…
10-06 23:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8f3d20…
10-06 22:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbf04e4…
10-06 22:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd2494a…
10-06 22:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7ae84b…
10-06 21:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xae046d…
10-06 21:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6314f9…
10-06 20:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x53e65c…
10-06 20:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc5952c…
10-06 20:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9f9510…
10-06 20:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3c5b78…
10-06 19:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xee4d03…
10-06 19:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb70f9a…
10-06 18:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa8d1a5…
10-06 18:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc34f9a…
10-06 17:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x155d38…
10-06 17:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x773cfe…
10-06 16:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x73e21f…
10-06 16:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x23177a…
10-06 15:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6fe3e2…
10-06 15:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9e03cd…
10-06 14:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf3e368…
10-06 10:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaccb7d…
10-06 08:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x550acc…