Famous-Handholding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.31K

Unrealized P&L

-$166

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

6,807

Trades

12,628

lifetime

Volume

$78.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$338

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-30 03:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 72% -$1,849

Other

29% 78% -$3,980

Politics

9% 73% -$1,470

Tech

0% 50% -$15

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 553 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+8,333	$500	4¢	$333	-$167	10-17 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	—	+5	$4	98¢	$5	+$1	10-30 04:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade iran by march 31	12	$3.6K	16,537	16,537	+0	No	-$1,540	03-31 22:24
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	5	$3.0K	6,193	6,193	+0	No	-$171	03-29 17:36
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$2.7K	74,996	74,996	+0	No	-$1,520	03-27 06:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$1.4K	903	903	+0	Yes	+$371	02-28 19:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	14	$1.1K	5,588	5,477	+111	No	-$556	04-11 01:24
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	6	$1.1K	23,828	23,828	+0	No	-$445	03-27 06:29
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	7	$921	7,352	7,352	+0	No	-$188	03-31 22:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 01:15 UTC	2	$668	700	0	+700	Up	-$668	04-11 01:29
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	12	$572	18,825	18,825	+0	No	-$321	03-31 02:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	22	$536	15,517	15,167	+350	No	-$120	04-11 01:24
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	1	$500	8,333	0	+8,333	open	—	10-17 09:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$306	12,670	8,503	+4,167	No	-$187	04-01 08:11
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	11	$294	35,891	35,891	+0	No	-$146	03-27 06:29
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	5	$229	18,742	18,742	+0	No	-$97	03-27 06:29
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 25 939	3	$205	601	0	+601	No	-$205	01-24 09:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	3	$185	2,079	2,000	+79	No	-$25	04-11 01:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 23:30 UTC	3	$178	128	67	+61	Up	+$3	04-10 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	24	$164	200	0	+200	Up	-$134	10-20 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	7	$148	193	0	+193	Down	+$4	10-29 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	5	$146	167	0	+167	Down	-$105	10-29 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	36	$144	153	152	+0	Down	-$7	05-19 15:38
bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	27	$143	125	125	+0	Up	-$20	06-08 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	21	$142	175	0	+175	Down	+$33	10-20 02:29
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$128	3,621	3,621	+0	No	-$20	03-23 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	21	$127	170	50	+120	Up	+$4	10-19 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	7	$115	80	230	-150	Down	-$83	05-25 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$114	118	0	+118	Up	-$37	10-28 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	26	$113	250	0	+250	Down	-$43	10-19 23:12
bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	25	$111	115	0	+115	Up	+$4	06-07 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	15	$106	130	0	+130	Down	+$23	10-20 03:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xcad0e8…
10-30 04:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xb9be07…
10-30 04:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x70db94…
10-30 04:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x065908…
10-30 03:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x62faf0…
10-30 03:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa68a1a…
10-30 03:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfeaf6e…
10-30 03:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xde1efb…
10-30 03:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb63846…
10-30 03:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x5ccb34…
10-30 03:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb1bcc2…
10-30 03:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x5dbf0c…
10-30 03:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc34c69…
10-30 03:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9acc87…
10-30 02:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xedfcfc…
10-30 02:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x353176…
10-30 02:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb5517d…
10-30 02:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3eed59…
10-30 02:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5c8c72…
10-30 02:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x2f08b0…
10-30 01:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe3e42c…
10-30 01:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xaafbde…
10-30 01:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xd2a044…
10-30 01:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xdd9d38…
10-30 01:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x5f535b…
10-30 01:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7699f8…
10-30 01:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xbb3364…
10-30 01:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x52436a…
10-30 01:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x31b5bf…
10-30 01:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x896856…
10-30 01:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x71a97a…
10-30 01:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x872df3…
10-30 01:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0x25acac…
10-30 01:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x478722…
10-30 01:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x277e80…
10-30 00:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2c817a…
10-30 00:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xbd92d6…
10-30 00:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x302602…
10-30 00:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x12026b…
10-30 00:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x413d26…
10-30 00:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x42ab00…
10-30 00:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x323c04…
10-30 00:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe6db53…
10-30 00:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x90f7df…
10-30 00:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x02a0b9…
10-30 00:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa51d5c…
10-30 00:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x986e64…
10-30 00:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5ae2a4…
10-29 23:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x20923b…
10-29 23:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0xa00ff6…
10-29 23:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x90fd03…
10-29 23:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7a5b40…
10-29 23:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xeb895b…
10-29 23:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0xb47940…
10-29 23:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4630fd…
10-29 23:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd2034f…
10-29 23:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x1e605c…
10-29 23:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x6be748…
10-29 23:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x82fb81…
10-29 22:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xed6aee…
10-29 22:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xa59663…
10-29 22:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x87fd9c…
10-29 22:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x992518…
10-29 22:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5f70fc…
10-29 22:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0a2851…
10-29 22:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbfa51e…
10-29 21:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6e1606…
10-29 21:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xf794cb…
10-29 21:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x736ece…
10-29 21:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2f2ba7…
10-29 21:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6a4ba8…
10-29 21:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa7803c…
10-29 21:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x87c809…
10-29 20:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5d200f…
10-29 20:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1fbbe5…
10-29 20:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x616e60…
10-29 20:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc2192c…
10-29 20:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x89fcda…
10-29 20:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xcfd01b…
10-29 20:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8a7b06…
10-29 20:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf07509…
10-29 19:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0xb75696…
10-29 19:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa6028c…
10-29 19:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x77efa6…
10-29 19:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8b92e5…
10-29 17:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x715dca…
10-29 17:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xbaabb2…
10-29 17:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xca6f82…
10-29 17:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x5a21a4…
10-29 17:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x669f6b…
10-29 17:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xae10aa…
10-29 17:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x08de9d…
10-29 16:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1f867d…
10-29 16:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x97e35c…
10-29 16:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xceee7d…
10-29 16:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa53df8…
10-29 16:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x23d34f…
10-29 16:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb5bf42…
10-29 16:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x845697…
10-29 16:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf1a62e…