Famous-Handholding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.30K

Unrealized P&L

-$162

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

6,984

Trades

12,837

lifetime

Volume

$79.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$343

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 11-01 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 72% -$1,827

Other

29% 78% -$3,989

Politics

9% 73% -$1,470

Tech

0% 50% -$15

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 553 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+8,333	$500	4¢	$333	-$167	10-17 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	—	+5	$2	100¢	$5	+$2	11-01 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	100¢	$5	+$3	11-01 02:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade iran by march 31	12	$3.6K	16,537	16,537	+0	No	-$1,540	03-31 22:24
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	5	$3.0K	6,193	6,193	+0	No	-$171	03-29 17:36
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$2.7K	74,996	74,996	+0	No	-$1,520	03-27 06:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$1.4K	903	903	+0	Yes	+$371	02-28 19:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	14	$1.1K	5,588	5,477	+111	No	-$556	04-11 01:24
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	6	$1.1K	23,828	23,828	+0	No	-$445	03-27 06:29
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	7	$921	7,352	7,352	+0	No	-$188	03-31 22:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 01:15 UTC	2	$668	700	0	+700	Up	-$668	04-11 01:29
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	12	$572	18,825	18,825	+0	No	-$321	03-31 02:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	22	$536	15,517	15,167	+350	No	-$120	04-11 01:24
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	1	$500	8,333	0	+8,333	open	—	10-17 09:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$306	12,670	8,503	+4,167	No	-$187	04-01 08:11
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	11	$294	35,891	35,891	+0	No	-$146	03-27 06:29
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	5	$229	18,742	18,742	+0	No	-$97	03-27 06:29
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 25 939	3	$205	601	0	+601	No	-$205	01-24 09:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	3	$185	2,079	2,000	+79	No	-$25	04-11 01:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 23:30 UTC	3	$178	128	67	+61	Up	+$3	04-10 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	24	$164	200	0	+200	Up	-$134	10-20 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	7	$148	193	0	+193	Down	+$4	10-29 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	5	$146	167	0	+167	Down	-$105	10-29 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	36	$144	153	152	+0	Down	-$7	05-19 15:38
bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	27	$143	125	125	+0	Up	-$20	06-08 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	21	$142	175	0	+175	Down	+$33	10-20 02:29
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$128	3,621	3,621	+0	No	-$20	03-23 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	21	$127	170	50	+120	Up	+$4	10-19 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	7	$115	80	230	-150	Down	-$83	05-25 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$114	118	0	+118	Up	-$37	10-28 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	26	$113	250	0	+250	Down	-$43	10-19 23:12
bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	25	$111	115	0	+115	Up	+$4	06-07 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	15	$106	130	0	+130	Down	+$23	10-20 03:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xc54794…
11-01 02:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdc5dfa…
11-01 02:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4c3d5a…
11-01 02:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf5e271…
11-01 02:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x24bf24…
11-01 02:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x35e5d5…
11-01 02:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdf3980…
11-01 02:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x752b55…
11-01 02:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1e8b7f…
11-01 02:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc2f918…
11-01 02:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1dbd73…
11-01 02:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x401519…
11-01 02:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa0e540…
11-01 02:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xe555d0…
11-01 02:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x46885d…
11-01 02:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x5aa011…
11-01 02:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5ab29f…
11-01 02:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9cc398…
11-01 02:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5ab9ec…
11-01 02:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xa81bcb…
11-01 02:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x13b3e1…
11-01 02:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe98bc3…
11-01 02:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6b809a…
11-01 02:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x7fda05…
11-01 02:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3b27dc…
11-01 01:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x7b58bb…
11-01 01:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x723797…
11-01 01:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc75ad0…
11-01 01:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2b3582…
11-01 01:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5af4ac…
11-01 01:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0739e7…
11-01 01:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb3a93f…
11-01 01:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa6197f…
11-01 01:42:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5147d0…
11-01 01:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x874946…
11-01 01:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x13fe74…
11-01 01:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe7541a…
11-01 01:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x76db7d…
11-01 01:17:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x32aa31…
11-01 00:52:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1ef990…
11-01 00:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x91bbc7…
10-31 23:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xd6e7bb…
10-31 23:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xbcbcf6…
10-31 23:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xb5dfef…
10-31 23:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3b1e39…
10-31 23:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x703357…
10-31 23:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbfd26d…
10-31 22:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb4a339…
10-31 22:13:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x3b79d7…
10-31 18:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xdfa438…
10-31 18:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc2f749…
10-31 18:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x6bf2c8…
10-31 16:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x4c70ee…
10-31 16:02:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb0af12…
10-31 15:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x534de0…
10-31 15:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x49994a…
10-31 15:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe4ce9b…
10-31 14:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0c3ec0…
10-31 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x073d69…
10-31 13:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9270b8…
10-31 13:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xfe2287…
10-31 12:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc72543…
10-31 12:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc264c7…
10-31 12:07:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x8c0f22…
10-31 12:02:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe824f5…
10-31 12:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x262dd6…
10-31 11:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xca9e97…
10-31 11:47:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x00718f…
10-31 11:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xbfa8ec…
10-31 11:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa1f85e…
10-31 10:28:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x84718d…
10-31 09:17:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xcf4ae1…
10-31 09:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x6725d7…
10-31 08:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x2e2aa9…
10-31 08:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe79548…
10-31 07:47:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0f71d9…
10-31 07:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x0b8926…
10-31 06:57:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0xe91b61…
10-31 06:52:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x5f1d64…
10-31 06:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa3f536…
10-31 06:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1a7d78…
10-31 05:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa0fda8…
10-31 05:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4a0fea…
10-31 04:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x6e0813…
10-31 04:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3bbdc2…
10-31 04:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa96ceb…
10-31 04:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8adadd…
10-31 03:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6edc29…
10-31 03:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5e7a62…
10-31 02:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7ad877…
10-31 02:07:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x707a57…
10-31 02:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x65cde7…
10-31 01:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xae2d63…
10-31 01:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x044638…
10-31 01:02:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x6daa96…
10-31 00:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4233bf…
10-31 00:42:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x941c4b…
10-31 00:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x838fe6…
10-31 00:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf33b6b…
10-30 23:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3cf217…