Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved
404
Trades
682
lifetime
Volume
$6.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$82
6 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 10-26 09:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
94% 52% +$5
Politics
4% 40% -$29
Sports
2% 50% +$7
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +70 $50 69¢ $48 -$2 10-10 15:26
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $9 94¢ $14 +$5 10-21 05:25
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $13 70¢ $14 +$1 06-11 04:53
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +20 $11 20¢ $4 -$8 08-25 10:51
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +50 $4 3¢ $1 -$2 10-07 02:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +20 $6 3¢ $1 -$5 08-20 03:04