Tricky-Schoolhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$501

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-14 12:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

75% 55% +$289

Politics

15% 75% +$53

Sports

10% 100% +$159

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mwoh can fin 2026 02 20	5	$571	378	378	+0	Canada	+$171	02-20 18:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$500	652	0	+652	No	+$152	07-29 12:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$463	263	263	+0	Yes	+$63	02-03 21:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$239	141	141	+0	Yes	+$39	04-13 11:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$175	333	333	+0	No	+$75	05-07 13:25
Sabres vs. Canadiens	8	$150	114	114	+0	Canadiens	+$50	10-14 00:13
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	3	$131	524	417	+107	No	-$69	05-22 13:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$107	167	167	+0	No	+$47	10-14 12:59
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	1	$100	500	0	+500	open	—	09-28 19:39
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	1	$100	204	0	+204	Habs	+$104	04-20 17:14
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$94	0	156	-156	Yes	-$62	05-07 11:26
will canada win the gold medal for winter olympics 2026 womens ice hockey at the 2026 milano cortina winter olympics	2	$85	200	155	+45	No	+$5	02-19 20:27
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	1	$50	294	0	+294	No	-$50	07-02 23:05
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	1	$50	64	0	+64	Yes	+$14	04-20 17:44
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	1	$50	66	0	+66	Yes	+$16	04-20 17:43
will powell say inflation 60 times during march press conference	2	$40	56	0	+56	No	+$16	03-18 18:26
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	1	$34	43	0	+43	Yes	+$9	04-20 17:43
will powell say iran during march press conference	2	$33	23	23	+0	No	+$13	03-18 19:22
will powell say supreme court during march press conference 816 383	2	$24	24	24	+0	No	-$16	03-18 19:07
will powell say war during march press conference	1	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	+$20	03-18 18:08
will warsh say jerome or powell during june press conference 20260608181156649	1	$20	29	0	+29	No	-$20	06-17 12:25
will warsh say job market during june press conference 20260608181156667 124 345	1	$20	33	0	+33	No	-$20	06-17 12:27
will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	1	$20	26	0	+26	No	+$6	06-17 18:22
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	1	$20	26	0	+26	No	-$20	06-17 15:14
will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	1	$20	26	0	+26	No	-$20	06-17 12:25
will warsh say inflation 50 times during june press conference 20260608181156646	1	$20	26	0	+26	No	+$6	06-17 18:23
will warsh say predecessor during june press conference	2	$20	36	0	+36	No	-$20	06-17 16:59
mwoh usa slo 2026 02 20	1	$15	115	0	+115	USA	-$15	02-20 19:26
will powell say politics during march press conference	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	03-18 18:08
will warsh say artificial intelligence or ai during june press conference 20260608181156657 625 674	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	06-17 12:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 12:59:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	78	46¢	$36	0x8662f9…
10-14 12:58:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	44	46¢	$20	0x0d310b…
10-14 12:58:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	44	46¢	$20	0xba0e95…
10-14 00:13:58	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	95	88¢	$83	0xd54ed0…
10-14 00:13:58	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x7fad61…
10-14 00:13:58	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x6bc849…
10-14 00:13:58	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x6911b4…
10-14 00:13:58	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x690a40…
10-14 00:13:58	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x4a8e00…
10-13 23:08:42	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xbf964c…
10-13 22:47:54	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x17b1d6…
10-02 19:40:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x17e411…
09-28 19:39:32	Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xeaa494…
07-29 12:02:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	652	77¢	$500	0x6f091f…
07-02 23:05:25	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xf9f38b…
06-17 18:23:29	will warsh say inflation 50 times during june press conference 20260608181156646	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xb57d41…
06-17 18:22:58	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xba121d…
06-17 16:59:14	will warsh say predecessor during june press conference	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x20b6ab…
06-17 15:14:32	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x2ec208…
06-17 12:28:16	will warsh say artificial intelligence or ai during june press conference 20260608181156657 625 674	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x16cdda…
06-17 12:27:10	will warsh say job market during june press conference 20260608181156667 124 345	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb04250…
06-17 12:26:49	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659 154 444 385	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0da0fd…
06-17 12:26:29	will warsh say predecessor during june press conference	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xa89f95…
06-17 12:25:56	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x7bae1b…
06-17 12:25:40	will warsh say jerome or powell during june press conference 20260608181156649	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xc9f3d8…
05-22 13:15:47	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	107	47¢	$50	0x8e80c2…
05-07 13:26:05	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	417	7¢	$31	0xd1030c…
05-07 13:25:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	44¢	$73	0x86b549…
05-07 11:26:14	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	156	60¢	$94	0x735fb6…
05-06 09:53:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	31¢	$52	0x9e94ee…
05-04 19:21:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xe92db0…
04-20 18:20:14	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x100764…
04-20 17:44:38	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xf597dc…
04-20 17:43:46	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x88c927…
04-20 17:43:20	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	43	80¢	$34	0x1c66c2…
04-20 17:14:36	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Habs	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xd4cf2d…
04-13 11:02:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	141	99¢	$139	0xb55c06…
04-10 18:09:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xd6f402…
03-18 19:22:01	will powell say iran during march press conference	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x24c7c9…
03-18 19:07:09	will powell say supreme court during march press conference 816 383	No	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0xf910fe…
03-18 18:30:07	will powell say iran during march press conference	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xd91a1a…
03-18 18:26:53	will powell say inflation 60 times during march press conference	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xe82fce…
03-18 18:19:41	will powell say supreme court during march press conference 816 383	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xa28892…
03-18 18:12:57	will powell say inflation 60 times during march press conference	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x256295…
03-18 18:08:37	will powell say politics during march press conference	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x853b42…
03-18 18:08:19	will powell say war during march press conference	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x208e3e…
03-18 17:58:45	will powell say good afternoon during march press conference	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6287bf…
02-20 19:26:26	mwoh usa slo 2026 02 20	Slovakia	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x2abc76…
02-20 18:05:50	mwoh can fin 2026 02 20	Canada	SELL	378	98¢	$371	0x927f52…
02-20 16:41:46	mwoh can fin 2026 02 20	Canada	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x607f78…
02-20 16:41:46	mwoh can fin 2026 02 20	Canada	BUY	174	40¢	$70	0x0d87fa…
02-20 16:41:40	mwoh can fin 2026 02 20	Canada	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0xa93908…
02-20 12:53:02	mwoh can fin 2026 02 20	Canada	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x213e44…
02-19 20:27:44	will canada win the gold medal for winter olympics 2026 womens ice hockey at the 2026 milano cortina winter olympics	Yes	SELL	155	29¢	$45	0x8bad1d…
02-19 16:33:24	will canada win the gold medal for winter olympics 2026 womens ice hockey at the 2026 milano cortina winter olympics	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x5acd96…
02-03 21:06:02	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	263	100¢	$263	0xb09e8f…
01-28 17:18:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0xc52ae4…