Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.76K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.1%

Resolved

185

Trades

797

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-30 04:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Politics

54% 38% +$157

Crypto

21% 38% -$1,154

Other

18% 25% -$261

Sports

5% 25% -$544

Tech

1% 60% +$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	17	$3.7K	2,377	4,477	-2,100	Yes	-$16	01-30 02:40
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	29	$1.3K	3,699	208	+3,491	No	-$1,187	02-25 03:29
will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week january 25	4	$376	608	608	+0	Yes	+$1	01-20 08:52
will trump meet with jensen huang in january 2026	14	$356	267	267	+0	Yes	+$72	01-22 00:02
will trump say woke or dei during wef address on january 21	21	$320	281	233	+48	No	+$54	01-21 14:55
will trump meet with emmanuel macron in january 2026	15	$307	760	760	+0	No	-$142	01-29 04:27
earnings mentions paypal 2026 02 03 perplexity 1 times	1	$273	279	0	+279	Yes	+$6	02-03 13:22
will trump say million or billion or trillion 25 times during wef address on january 21	8	$262	423	108	+315	Yes	+$139	01-21 14:16
will trump say ballroom or 250 during the detroit speech on tuesday	2	$250	450	153	+297	No	-$110	01-13 13:58
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	10	$208	2,107	2,107	+0	No	-$73	01-12 16:43
will i like it be played at the super bowl halftime show	15	$198	376	376	+0	No	-$108	02-09 04:04
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	15	$196	1,069	1,069	+0	No	+$51	03-07 18:49
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	2	$194	172	172	+0	Yes	-$14	01-16 12:39
will leavitt say supreme court during the next white house press briefing 427	10	$192	309	101	+209	Yes	+$105	01-15 14:55
will trump meet with kevin warsh in february 2026	9	$192	207	151	+56	No	-$80	02-23 07:05
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	5	$191	180	180	+0	No	-$58	02-24 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:25 UTC	3	$189	267	265	+1	Down	+$99	03-05 03:28
will trump say hell 7 times during the detroit speech on tuesday	2	$187	400	0	+400	Yes	+$213	01-13 14:00
will leavitt say nuclear during the next press briefing	9	$178	467	0	+467	Yes	+$289	02-04 16:48
will me porto bonito be played at the super bowl halftime show	12	$176	366	355	+11	No	-$176	02-09 04:20
will callaita be played at the super bowl halftime show	8	$172	346	346	+0	No	-$165	02-09 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	14	$172	1,423	769	+655	Up	+$66	10-30 04:09
will trump say marco or rubio during the state of the union address 331	4	$155	119	119	+0	Yes	+$3	02-08 07:39
will weird or weirdo be said at the 83rd golden globes	2	$154	99	99	+0	Yes	+$45	01-12 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:15 UTC	3	$143	256	254	+2	Up	+$32	03-05 07:19
will trump say federal reserve 4 times during fed chair announcement	6	$142	212	53	+159	No	-$128	01-30 12:51
will trump say million or billion or trillion 12 times during oil executive meetings on friday	8	$141	331	33	+298	Yes	+$193	01-09 16:57
will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	6	$137	121	121	+0	Yes	+$23	01-21 05:54
will the december 2025 unemployment rate be 4pt4	2	$130	99	99	+0	Yes	+$67	01-09 13:40
will trump say black or hispanic during the 2026 state of the union address 716	3	$129	145	145	+0	No	-$1	02-11 09:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	56	47¢	$26	0x2980db…
10-30 04:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf95a98…
10-30 04:29:51	Senators vs. Kings	Senators	SELL	238	6¢	$15	0xac77e6…
10-30 04:28:33	Senators vs. Kings	Senators	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x81a5ed…
10-30 04:27:40	Senators vs. Kings	Senators	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x9871ce…
10-30 04:27:18	Senators vs. Kings	Senators	BUY	148	13¢	$20	0xe09bce…
10-30 04:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x57cab0…
10-30 04:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	189	32¢	$60	0xf71c2e…
10-30 04:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x4107b1…
10-30 04:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5db092…
10-30 04:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xbf590d…
10-30 04:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4213df…
10-30 04:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x42e45e…
10-30 04:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x18fd5d…
10-30 04:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x69a5fa…
10-30 04:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	44	39¢	$17	0x5ec577…
10-30 04:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x358a13…
10-30 04:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xca65ed…
10-30 04:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2e164a…
10-30 04:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	154	3¢	$5	0xcd55ef…
10-30 04:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	500	10¢	$49	0xc5a9cd…
10-30 04:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xd8e47a…
10-30 04:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	87	7¢	$6	0x13fddc…
10-30 04:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x4c3f55…
10-30 04:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb47d50…
10-30 04:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xfa2f14…
10-30 04:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	182	35¢	$64	0xffe313…
10-30 04:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x797911…
10-30 04:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x520822…
10-30 04:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x207ce1…
10-30 04:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xbe6881…
10-30 04:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x050106…
10-29 08:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x070daf…
10-29 08:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xac7b19…
10-29 08:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x493c8c…
10-29 08:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe43123…
10-29 08:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x37ac7a…
10-29 08:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0x1be5a3…
10-29 08:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8fa7fe…
10-29 08:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x41b0b6…
10-29 08:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xeb8e02…
10-29 08:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1,275	5¢	$60	0xaff5f1…
10-29 08:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x528139…
10-29 08:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x571270…
10-29 08:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	233	2¢	$5	0x1e77fe…
10-29 08:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xbd0056…
10-29 08:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe228c6…
10-29 07:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xf76b77…
10-29 07:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6fcb5e…
10-29 07:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x95b561…
10-29 07:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x1043ab…
10-29 07:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x4c62cb…
10-28 08:53:16	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	64	37¢	$24	0x0247c9…
10-28 08:51:53	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x11719b…
10-28 08:51:37	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x4bce9d…
10-28 08:51:28	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x7f739a…
10-28 08:51:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc40940…
10-28 08:50:31	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0x0bcadf…
10-28 08:50:11	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x208e28…
10-28 08:49:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	398	0¢	$1	0x9732b2…
10-28 08:48:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xa6bb84…
10-28 08:48:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x413e7d…
10-28 08:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4664f1…
10-28 08:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x982f07…
10-28 08:44:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	65	10¢	$6	0x7e3bd3…
10-28 08:44:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x79bca8…
10-28 08:44:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0xd37b01…
10-28 08:43:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x30beac…
10-28 08:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5f851c…
10-28 08:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	51	53¢	$27	0xb0a2f3…
10-28 08:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xff2a00…
10-28 08:42:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x927cc1…
10-28 08:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	304	0¢	$1	0x9ee66d…
10-28 08:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0xb3b767…
10-28 08:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	159	2¢	$3	0x497649…
10-28 08:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xa9db5b…
10-28 08:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	167	3¢	$5	0x90735a…
10-28 08:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x378ecf…
10-28 08:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9580e5…
10-28 08:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x6f2184…
10-28 08:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xab0acb…
10-28 08:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8dccf8…
10-28 08:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x67af65…
10-28 08:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe0d151…
10-28 08:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x6b1202…
10-28 08:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x2900bf…
10-28 08:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x10fd2e…
10-28 08:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x300bef…
10-28 08:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x045b5b…
10-28 08:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfb86c9…
10-28 08:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x51063b…
10-26 13:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x8f2c1d…
10-26 13:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xbece21…
10-26 13:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x7d3200…
10-26 13:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8c21bc…
10-26 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	636	0¢	$3	0x5c3abc…
10-26 13:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	302	1¢	$3	0xd406d8…
10-26 13:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0x50a674…
10-26 13:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xc1bfae…
10-26 13:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xe31f7d…