Ill-Fated-Monopoly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

2,969

Trades

5,183

lifetime

Volume

$181.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$121

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-29 11:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

65% 60% +$1,786

Crypto

22% 79% -$252

Sports

11% 46% -$432

Tech

1% 75% +$59

Politics

0% 100% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 372 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)	Trail Blazers	—	+228	$120	50¢	$115	-$5	10-29 01:45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Natus Vincere		+52	$30	11¢	$6	-$24	10-29 11:36
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+0	-$14	23¢	$0	+$14	08-20 12:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	7	$865	444	444	+0	Aurora	+$22	05-29 14:37
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	2	$743	387	387	+0	Team Spirit	+$31	05-30 14:40
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	5	$654	1,574	1,460	+114	Top Esports	+$254	09-17 12:44
dota2 ts8 ngx 2026 06 25 game1	4	$576	372	372	+0	Nigma Galaxy	+$76	06-25 12:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	16	$546	500	500	+0	open	—	08-20 12:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	3	$529	373	373	+0	open	—	09-26 08:31
cs2 lgc fal2 2026 08 21	4	$526	957	200	+756	Legacy	-$329	08-21 15:39
lol we al 2026 04 16	2	$516	265	264	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$13	04-16 11:00
dota2 ironwi gl 2026 08 16	1	$500	544	0	+544	Iron Wing	+$44	08-16 06:34
dota2 1win ty 2026 07 12 game2	4	$475	292	292	+0	Team Yandex	-$25	07-12 14:23
Texas A&M vs. Missouri	1	$471	748	0	+748	Missouri	+$277	10-10 14:38
dota2 yes modus 2026 06 26	2	$466	267	267	+0	Yellow Submarine	+$66	06-26 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?	2	$466	417	417	+0	No	+$366	06-06 11:07
dota2 bb4 liquid 2026 03 15	3	$422	399	224	+175	Team Liquid	+$26	03-15 14:55
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	8	$410	317	317	+0	PARIVISION	+$15	05-21 17:05
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	4	$408	789	0	+789	Bears	+$349	09-29 01:06
lal mad get 2026 03 14 mad	2	$400	209	209	+0	Yes	+$16	03-14 17:42
Eagles vs. Bears	14	$394	996	0	+996	Bears	+$579	09-29 01:20
dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	2	$386	727	0	+727	Team Yandex	+$341	08-21 15:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	1	$381	488	0	+488	Yes	+$107	06-12 06:52
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	3	$372	428	128	+300	Team Spirit	-$26	10-26 17:28
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	1	$366	522	0	+522	Xtreme Gaming	-$366	05-20 13:48
lal elc mad 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	2	$356	184	184	+0	Over	+$12	04-22 17:46
lib cor ros 2026 08 20 total 1pt5	5	$355	815	0	+815	Under	+$100	08-21 00:57
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$341	202	202	+0	Team Yandex	+$62	05-27 13:01
Texas vs. Oklahoma	11	$322	659	0	+659	Oklahoma	+$32	10-10 23:25
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	3	$313	400	100	+300	Aurora	+$55	10-09 11:32
dota2 yb1 vg 2026 06 16 game1	5	$308	222	222	+0	Yakult Brothers	-$48	06-16 14:36
dota2 aur1 pari 2026 03 28 game2	3	$307	200	200	+0	PARIVISION	+$93	03-28 14:13
nba cle gsw 2026 04 02	2	$306	174	173	+1	Cavaliers	+$40	04-03 04:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 12:31:08	Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)	Team Spirit	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x85e184…
10-29 11:36:59	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xf09eaa…
10-29 09:30:23	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x40fd9c…
10-29 04:34:47	Lakers vs. Clippers	Clippers	SELL	231	2¢	$5	0x3522a6…
10-29 03:52:59	Spread: Lakers (-13.5)	Clippers	BUY	104	52¢	$54	0x206e50…
10-29 03:51:49	Lakers vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	231	10¢	$23	0xc24b03…
10-29 03:12:14	Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)	Thunder	BUY	57	52¢	$30	0xd3ff63…
10-29 03:11:44	Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)	Thunder	BUY	114	53¢	$60	0x8260f1…
10-29 01:48:29	Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5	Under	SELL	74	9¢	$7	0xada093…
10-29 01:45:31	Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	173	53¢	$92	0x34ead2…
10-29 01:41:20	Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0x61fb6a…
10-29 01:10:02	nba mem por 2026 10 29 total 233pt5	Over	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0x48ab03…
10-29 01:09:47	nba mem por 2026 10 29 spread home 7pt5	Trail Blazers	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0xc736b9…
10-29 00:08:58	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	95	52¢	$49	0xdc1035…
10-29 00:05:46	Spread: Heat (-8.5)	Hawks	BUY	94	50¢	$47	0x3aa0c9…
10-29 00:01:46	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee: O/U 57.5	Over	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9ea7c1…
10-28 23:58:34	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xe075c9…
10-28 23:50:25	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee: O/U 57.5	Over	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x4c4607…
10-28 23:33:01	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x6e3674…
10-28 17:02:25	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x4e7414…
10-28 14:51:59	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	400	64¢	$256	0x39ba58…
10-28 13:12:31	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5)	Team Yandex	BUY	140	71¢	$99	0x40efe4…
10-28 11:52:34	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x756b24…
10-28 11:03:11	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xd27de7…
10-28 09:34:13	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x96dc00…
10-28 05:33:01	Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	63	51¢	$32	0xc75933…
10-28 03:38:22	Spread: Lakers (-5.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	68	53¢	$36	0x53ded0…
10-28 02:44:00	Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0x575f61…
10-28 02:20:12	Spread: Spurs (-18.5)	Kings	SELL	96	8¢	$8	0x4706f8…
10-28 02:19:21	nba orl tor 2026 10 28 total 223pt5	Under	BUY	74	52¢	$38	0x69699b…
10-28 01:58:51	Spread: Delaware (-14.5)	Western Kentucky	BUY	9	59¢	$6	0xc76f1e…
10-27 22:32:47	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	113	51¢	$58	0x6c6ede…
10-27 22:03:42	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	94	50¢	$47	0x45fe4f…
10-27 22:00:39	Spread: Spurs (-18.5)	Kings	BUY	96	49¢	$47	0x7fe7e9…
10-27 20:41:26	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	104	54¢	$56	0xc625a5…
10-27 16:53:44	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xf9d459…
10-27 16:49:09	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xc4ed42…
10-27 15:05:54	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x5c19f2…
10-27 14:46:39	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xab34e0…
10-27 14:13:56	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xec69e7…
10-27 13:59:54	Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	85	71¢	$60	0xc85ceb…
10-27 13:27:42	Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xbc4c04…
10-27 13:26:39	Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x08b314…
10-27 12:28:48	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	94	51¢	$48	0xe38a89…
10-27 02:53:41	Spread: Cowboys (-10.5)	Eagles	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x2eb00f…
10-27 02:52:51	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xcc87d2…
10-27 02:46:05	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 62.5	Over	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xee71a6…
10-27 02:42:35	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 62.5	Over	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x9f9473…
10-27 02:32:51	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 62.5	Over	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0xbe3ed9…
10-27 02:29:42	Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)	Eagles	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x01dd10…
10-27 02:26:42	Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)	Cowboys	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x657a29…
10-27 02:26:38	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	Cowboys	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x92016f…
10-27 02:26:36	Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)	Cowboys	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa46f4e…
10-27 02:22:39	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	Cowboys	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x9022ba…
10-27 02:14:09	Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)	Cowboys	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x79db70…
10-27 02:02:44	Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)	Cowboys	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x7a9570…
10-27 01:58:51	Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)	Cowboys	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xac9004…
10-27 01:12:02	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x357a88…
10-27 00:40:56	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 56.5	Over	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5066a3…
10-27 00:39:11	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	61	53¢	$32	0xac686c…
10-26 19:27:12	Spread: Celtics (-14.5)	Bulls	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x44b52e…
10-26 17:29:48	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0x1b2530…
10-26 17:28:02	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	SELL	128	18¢	$23	0x7ed5d9…
10-26 17:27:50	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x28b5dc…
10-26 16:53:54	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x983406…
10-26 16:48:48	Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)	Nuggets	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x1a3f8d…
10-26 16:47:27	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Suns	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x96e723…
10-26 15:53:08	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x5cec87…
10-26 15:24:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xc08354…
10-26 14:55:11	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xdca646…
10-26 14:32:44	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Rockets	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0xbd394c…
10-26 13:35:14	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x85a9be…
10-26 12:55:21	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xa62112…
10-26 12:55:18	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x96a587…
10-26 08:19:08	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x28eb91…
10-26 02:55:14	Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)	Chiefs	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x2926ee…
10-26 02:54:50	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6fc0a9…
10-26 02:54:35	Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)	Chiefs	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xa0b53c…
10-26 02:54:12	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x32f315…
10-26 02:53:35	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xb9bfd6…
10-26 02:53:15	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x0ec1fe…
10-26 02:53:11	Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)	Chiefs	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0x22b078…
10-26 02:52:56	Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)	Chiefs	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x8ceb2f…
10-26 02:52:54	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0x0636be…
10-26 02:51:35	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x05b7ff…
10-26 02:50:59	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	13	66¢	$8	0x9564bd…
10-26 02:48:48	Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)	Chiefs	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x5bced3…
10-26 02:44:21	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x7f4fab…
10-26 02:27:36	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 30.5	Under	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x99ec06…
10-26 02:17:42	Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)	Chiefs	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa350ae…
10-26 02:17:41	Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)	Chiefs	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x54d366…
10-26 02:11:02	Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	66	52¢	$34	0x083626…
10-26 01:56:23	Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 201.5	Over	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xf23ac9…
10-26 01:28:59	Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)	Seahawks	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0faf52…
10-26 01:22:05	Canadiens vs. Jets	Jets	SELL	86	9¢	$8	0xfbb1e6…
10-26 00:49:48	Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	57	52¢	$30	0x8732f5…
10-26 00:26:56	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x08c89c…
10-26 00:26:45	Magic vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x47839b…
10-25 23:17:42	Spread: Pacers (-9.5)	Nets	BUY	113	49¢	$55	0x22d215…
10-25 23:08:44	Packers vs. Lions: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0xd6503b…