Stale-Inability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-08 22:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 33% $-22

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$138	89	89	+0	open	—	05-02 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	05-04 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$69	49	49	+0	open	—	05-02 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$61	47	47	+0	open	—	05-02 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$50	69	36	+33	open	—	05-02 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$50	101	0	+101	open	—	05-02 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$47	63	63	+0	open	—	05-02 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$43	53	22	+31	open	—	05-04 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	05-04 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$35	43	4	+39	open	—	05-04 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	05-02 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	05-02 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	05-04 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-02 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	05-02 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	05-02 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	05-04 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$15	68	0	+68	open	—	05-04 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$15	28	0	+28	Up	$-15	05-08 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$12	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$12	31	6	+25	open	—	05-04 19:55
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	3,333	0	+3,333	open	—	04-29 16:33
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$10	334	0	+334	open	—	05-08 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$10	138	0	+138	open	—	05-04 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$10	80	0	+80	open	—	05-02 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	05-04 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 19:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 22:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xfb2654…
05-08 22:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8dfdf0…
05-08 22:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x763f99…
05-08 22:02:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	334	3¢	$10	0x910cab…
05-08 21:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4b2256…
05-08 21:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1aed6e…
05-04 20:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x41a343…
05-04 20:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb0c2f6…
05-04 19:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbdc5e2…
05-04 19:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x29348c…
05-04 19:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc57b9a…
05-04 19:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x176807…
05-04 19:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb7237a…
05-04 19:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1d14f4…
05-04 18:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xba3f3e…
05-04 18:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xb4d35f…
05-04 18:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x9424c4…
05-04 18:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x029e10…
05-04 18:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xff61a2…
05-04 18:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x585328…
05-04 18:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4bb8a1…
05-04 18:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x315a2c…
05-04 18:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x69aed0…
05-04 18:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x68ad99…
05-04 18:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa2b063…
05-04 18:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x210762…
05-04 17:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xe1944e…
05-04 17:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x31b73a…
05-04 17:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa4e84f…
05-04 17:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x913eb7…
05-04 17:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xae447a…
05-04 17:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8980ed…
05-04 17:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xb450f1…
05-04 17:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x517a59…
05-04 17:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x4294fe…
05-04 17:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdc9f1e…
05-04 16:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd10b97…
05-04 16:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x73a262…
05-04 16:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x08a514…
05-04 16:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe7c7f6…
05-04 16:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xc86790…
05-04 16:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdce6aa…
05-04 16:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0xd20744…
05-04 16:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x03b6e9…
05-04 16:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x24276d…
05-04 12:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa839fe…
05-04 11:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x14d947…
05-04 11:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xf1817a…
05-02 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0xf214b3…
05-02 19:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x762eaa…
05-02 19:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	36	56¢	$20	0xbaae5c…
05-02 19:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x008034…
05-02 19:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	63	26¢	$17	0x5b658d…
05-02 19:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0x5f5378…
05-02 19:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd33ef3…
05-02 18:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x1a0c6c…
05-02 18:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x794727…
05-02 18:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2743a3…
05-02 18:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x595570…
05-02 18:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xf3011d…
05-02 18:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xdfc6af…
05-02 18:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x79f3d4…
05-02 17:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x7d3282…
05-02 17:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x55dd6f…
05-02 17:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xb6a864…
05-02 17:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x14ae1c…
05-02 17:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x3a06ff…
05-02 17:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xcc86d6…
05-02 17:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc5c215…
05-02 17:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe2a44d…
05-02 17:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xb2386e…
05-02 17:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x562832…
05-02 17:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7dcb29…
05-02 17:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x63ee46…
05-02 17:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcfc2db…
05-02 10:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x63904c…
05-02 10:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x62165a…
05-02 10:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x483089…
04-29 16:33:30	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xdabcbf…