Honest-Execution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

288

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-09 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 237 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$4

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:26
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 12?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:32
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:27
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:05
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:14
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 14:10
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:37
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:30
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:30
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:14
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:22
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:52
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:24
highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 82 83f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 09:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24f860…
11-08 13:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79d756…
11-07 11:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0604d1…
11-05 17:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcecc6a…
11-03 16:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8db77…
11-02 14:01:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f7afc…
10-31 17:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc6056…
10-31 09:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd68b4a…
10-30 10:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25ad92…
10-29 17:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0ca32…
10-29 08:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95c078…
10-28 07:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66a1fd…
10-27 08:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3f97c…
10-26 09:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8caf84…
10-24 11:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1f1a1…
10-22 10:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1dbee4…
10-20 07:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd561be…
10-19 09:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa00bf2…
10-18 09:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1481d…
10-17 14:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b0e06…
10-16 08:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0b6dd…
10-15 09:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x617550…
10-14 09:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x123ff0…
10-13 09:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ee6b4…
10-12 08:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x861fad…
10-11 08:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27076c…
10-08 08:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0dddc1…
10-07 14:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x921937…
10-06 07:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb705c2…
10-04 15:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65e536…
10-03 07:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb3dde…
10-02 11:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdb1d1…
10-01 08:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39fd17…
09-30 12:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2d130…
09-29 14:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14e262…
09-28 09:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cf58e…
09-27 08:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x062649…
09-25 12:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7725bf…
09-24 08:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2267c…
09-23 06:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55e0ed…
09-22 07:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x715926…
09-21 09:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e9f6b…
09-20 05:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b5eec…
09-19 08:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a9acb…
09-18 06:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22a3ed…
09-17 04:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9e63b…
09-16 08:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a3a2b…
09-15 09:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e5f23…
09-14 08:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd758b…
09-12 16:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x154026…
09-11 07:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf75a69…
09-10 06:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d131a…
09-09 02:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa800ac…
09-08 02:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddb269…
09-07 08:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13985e…
09-06 17:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe03593…
09-06 09:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9f56b…
09-05 09:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a7ef3…
09-04 17:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38a372…
09-03 09:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa66c5c…
09-02 07:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc750cc…
08-30 08:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a9f30…
08-29 07:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9b37f…
08-28 07:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75d632…
08-27 08:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2f76e…
08-26 08:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb783e1…
08-25 09:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4695c…
08-24 09:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x242587…
08-23 14:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43680c…
08-22 08:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fc2ac…
08-21 07:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29dfb6…
08-20 08:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdd2f2…
08-19 11:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cb185…
08-18 08:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x697882…
08-17 07:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x475e38…
08-16 11:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadb12b…
08-15 09:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x024274…
08-14 06:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a6769…
08-13 07:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d04a9…
08-12 07:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe00760…
08-11 06:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81cc3a…
08-10 06:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10259e…
08-09 01:21:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2935b1…
08-08 07:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdda81e…
08-07 01:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a27e4…
08-06 06:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x646541…
08-05 07:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x940a5f…
08-04 08:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e2c6f…
08-03 07:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3680a3…
08-02 01:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8c60a…
08-01 06:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf54ffc…
07-31 08:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x671d54…
07-30 06:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecc502…
07-29 06:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb7b55…
07-28 06:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea4531…
07-27 08:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed1047…
07-26 06:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a8eef…
07-25 07:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54893f…
07-24 09:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b7de6…
07-23 07:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54bc01…