Oddball-Maniac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$77.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

19,435

lifetime

Volume

$206.1M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10.6K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-08 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

75% 100% +$62,539

Other

21% 100% +$14,554

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 1488 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	515	$31.62M	31,619,828	35,000	+31,584,828	Yes	+$31,705	05-09 19:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	705	$22.96M	22,986,565	0	+22,986,565	Yes	+$23,148	05-09 19:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1,186	$11.27M	6,055,906	5,241,268	+814,639	open	—	04-08 16:19
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	844	$7.89M	7,044,904	860,142	+6,184,762	open	—	03-25 11:58
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	1,308	$7.45M	7,069,747	390,757	+6,678,990	open	—	01-20 16:39
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	517	$7.31M	6,157,107	1,167,057	+4,990,050	open	—	01-03 12:16
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	125	$7.26M	7,162,800	102,000	+7,060,800	open	—	04-20 08:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	762	$7.13M	7,157,954	0	+7,157,954	open	—	04-09 02:57
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	409	$6.47M	5,516,061	960,376	+4,555,685	open	—	04-15 19:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	375	$5.86M	5,755,029	120,000	+5,635,029	open	—	02-03 07:17
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	477	$5.49M	5,499,500	0	+5,499,500	open	—	07-08 09:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	74	$4.97M	4,977,500	0	+4,977,500	open	—	06-17 12:58
Trump kiss by May 31?	566	$4.89M	4,892,383	0	+4,892,383	open	—	05-21 12:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	588	$4.77M	4,774,706	0	+4,774,706	open	—	03-03 01:43
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	444	$4.34M	4,351,050	0	+4,351,050	open	—	02-09 07:59
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	904	$4.29M	4,205,204	89,678	+4,115,526	open	—	01-31 19:56
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	325	$4.03M	4,031,078	0	+4,031,078	open	—	04-27 00:55
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	324	$3.95M	3,957,655	0	+3,957,655	open	—	03-04 17:47
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	18	$3.10M	3,109,520	0	+3,109,520	Yes	+$6,784	05-03 13:40
will iran strike israel on march 10	791	$2.84M	2,848,123	0	+2,848,123	open	—	03-17 21:08
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	607	$2.80M	2,800,933	0	+2,800,933	open	—	01-25 00:46
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	380	$2.58M	2,584,841	864	+2,583,976	open	—	01-30 23:10
will iran strike israel on march 6	99	$2.11M	2,111,694	0	+2,111,694	open	—	03-11 10:34
will the us strike somalia next 656	252	$2.07M	2,069,664	0	+2,069,664	open	—	01-27 02:11
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	137	$1.78M	1,781,990	0	+1,781,990	open	—	02-28 17:23
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	338	$1.72M	1,720,618	0	+1,720,618	open	—	01-24 22:13
us strikes iraq by february 28	75	$1.65M	1,650,908	0	+1,650,908	open	—	03-06 00:56
will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	187	$1.63M	1,633,843	0	+1,633,843	open	—	01-19 01:44
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	180	$1.62M	1,623,285	0	+1,623,285	open	—	04-24 17:58
will trump say jesus this week march 8	254	$1.48M	1,480,173	0	+1,480,173	open	—	03-11 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 09:02:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	117,938	100¢	$117,820	0x8252f4…
07-08 09:02:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,550	100¢	$1,548	0x566279…
07-08 09:01:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x736008…
07-08 09:01:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	488	100¢	$488	0x920270…
07-08 09:01:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x4e0e9b…
07-08 09:01:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,330	100¢	$5,325	0x4af8ab…
07-08 09:00:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x7ea839…
07-08 09:00:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x78de64…
07-08 09:00:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	18,000	100¢	$17,982	0xe654ce…
07-08 08:59:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x8c1c6d…
07-08 08:58:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf7343…
07-08 08:57:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x63ee59…
07-08 08:57:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd38dfb…
07-08 08:56:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x504a8e…
07-08 08:55:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a4559…
07-08 08:55:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	299,120	100¢	$298,821	0xb214a7…
07-08 08:54:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	21,000	100¢	$20,979	0x1aa85a…
07-08 08:53:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,260	100¢	$5,255	0x9926e8…
07-08 08:52:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfa086b…
07-08 08:52:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xfcefb8…
07-08 08:51:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,178	100¢	$1,177	0x352fa6…
07-08 08:51:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd6a626…
07-08 08:51:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3,598	100¢	$3,595	0x4ef7fe…
07-08 08:51:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7e88f1…
07-08 08:50:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	50,000	100¢	$49,950	0x72023d…
07-08 08:50:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xd9870c…
07-08 08:49:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	9,670	100¢	$9,660	0x5b44c9…
07-08 08:49:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x988edc…
07-08 08:48:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x93c6ef…
07-08 08:48:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x256b29…
07-08 08:48:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8,000	100¢	$7,992	0x68d453…
07-08 08:48:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x4e86d3…
07-08 08:47:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7,000	100¢	$6,993	0x74e08a…
07-08 08:47:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x23ad4f…
07-08 08:46:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8,000	100¢	$7,992	0x454b70…
07-08 08:46:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa7f174…
07-08 08:46:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x7f5798…
07-08 08:46:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xe340df…
07-08 08:45:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	96,380	100¢	$96,284	0x03e89b…
07-08 08:45:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb04185…
07-08 08:45:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8,000	100¢	$7,992	0x98de8f…
07-08 08:44:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xff3de2…
07-08 08:44:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x39de0d…
07-08 08:44:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd37457…
07-08 08:43:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	30,000	100¢	$29,970	0x286912…
07-08 08:42:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0c7d91…
07-08 08:42:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x17d4d2…
07-08 08:42:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0x893404…
07-08 08:40:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3,880	100¢	$3,876	0x8dc26b…
07-08 08:40:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2409bc…
07-08 08:40:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x5b77c7…
07-08 08:39:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf3bcbe…
07-08 08:39:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	42,170	100¢	$42,128	0x9e6e39…
07-08 08:39:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	108,530	100¢	$108,421	0x25d00a…
07-08 08:38:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,800	100¢	$1,798	0xcfb9bd…
07-08 08:38:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x60622e…
07-08 08:37:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6fcea9…
07-08 08:37:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,460	100¢	$1,459	0x36e691…
07-08 08:37:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xf3888e…
07-08 08:37:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	50,000	100¢	$49,950	0xc88795…
07-08 08:37:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	9,000	100¢	$8,991	0x5373aa…
07-08 08:37:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x93d357…
07-08 08:36:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc31ba9…
07-08 08:36:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x13dfdd…
07-08 08:35:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbc665f…
07-08 08:33:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd862a1…
07-08 08:32:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x83e472…
07-08 08:31:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	40,383	100¢	$40,342	0x60d3eb…
07-08 08:31:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0x6629da…
07-08 08:30:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	16,425	100¢	$16,408	0xb988b7…
07-08 08:29:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa8f033…
07-08 08:28:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0b3caa…
07-08 08:28:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xa73309…
07-08 08:26:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6,000	100¢	$5,994	0xfc1dbc…
07-08 08:25:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x4b1172…
07-08 08:25:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3910c9…
07-08 08:24:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc2ed74…
07-08 08:24:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3d082e…
07-08 08:23:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,610	100¢	$5,604	0x748272…
07-08 08:23:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x469d6a…
07-08 08:23:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	23,630	100¢	$23,606	0x532cb0…
07-08 08:23:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x2d6298…
07-08 08:23:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xff3c77…
07-08 08:23:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4,370	100¢	$4,366	0x3d3106…
07-08 08:22:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x994901…
07-08 08:21:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x172b43…
07-08 08:21:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8cbecc…
07-08 08:20:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9c0431…
07-08 08:20:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	50,000	100¢	$49,950	0x2377d8…
07-08 08:18:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8bec83…
07-08 08:16:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf89526…
07-08 08:15:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6b0d6…
07-08 08:14:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfcee34…
07-08 08:14:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd9e08b…
07-08 08:13:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x06c812…
07-08 08:12:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1daa67…
07-08 08:12:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0d0ba7…
07-08 08:12:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb98151…
07-08 08:12:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x043a8b…
07-08 08:11:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9e770a…