Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

-$83

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

Trades

240

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-22 02:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 32% +$48

Other

20% 100% +$1

Politics

11% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+1,120	$100	2¢	$17	-$83	05-07 13:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	22	$121	150	150	+0	Down	-$3	10-19 12:18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	29	$111	82	76	+5	No	+$4	10-21 14:35
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$100	1,120	0	+1,120	open	—	05-07 13:13
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	05-07 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	7	$60	80	80	+0	Up	-$1	10-18 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	4	$59	71	71	+0	Up	-$1	10-18 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	16	$57	102	82	+20	Down	+$13	10-19 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	24	$56	61	61	+0	Up	$0	10-18 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	7	$53	80	37	+43	Down	+$23	10-18 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	12	$48	51	51	+0	Down	-$1	10-22 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	4	$43	50	50	+0	Up	-$1	10-19 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	7	$34	52	40	+12	Up	+$9	10-18 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	6	$22	26	26	+0	Down	$0	10-22 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	4	$9	16	16	+0	Up	-$1	10-18 07:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 06:45 UTC	2	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-18 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	10	$8	2,144	0	+2,144	Up	+$9	10-20 13:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:15 UTC	3	$7	15	0	+15	Up	+$3	10-17 14:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC	3	$7	15	0	+15	Down	+$8	10-17 14:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 07:45 UTC	4	$7	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-18 07:47
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	4	$7	11	11	+0	Down	-$1	10-18 11:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	3	$7	15	0	+15	Down	+$8	10-17 11:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	3	$7	17	0	+17	Up	-$7	10-17 08:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	4	$6	21	0	+21	Down	-$6	10-17 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	4	$6	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	10-18 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$6	10	5	+5	Down	-$2	10-18 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$0	10-18 10:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 07:15 UTC	5	$5	11	11	+0	Down	$0	10-18 07:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:15 UTC	2	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	10-17 11:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:45 UTC	3	$5	11	0	+11	Up	-$5	10-17 13:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:30 UTC	3	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	10-17 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 02:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x187a7e…
10-22 02:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x958eb7…
10-22 02:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0xf26a86…
10-22 02:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xa5318e…
10-22 02:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x753ddd…
10-22 02:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0x423b66…
10-22 02:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	56¢	$9	0xba7a9e…
10-22 02:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0x8ba278…
10-22 02:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8e5d5c…
10-22 02:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x26a7cb…
10-22 02:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6cc4f4…
10-22 02:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x5e321f…
10-22 02:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2bc425…
10-22 02:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5f6b31…
10-22 02:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa419ec…
10-22 02:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8fd13c…
10-22 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfb6342…
10-22 02:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd1ed0d…
10-21 14:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x7843c4…
10-21 14:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x19dbc2…
10-21 14:35:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xd4af91…
10-21 14:35:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xd76293…
10-20 15:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xb40e72…
10-20 15:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xd4809e…
10-20 14:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x747813…
10-20 14:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x634606…
10-20 14:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x243aad…
10-20 14:44:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd90f08…
10-20 14:43:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x6fffb3…
10-20 14:43:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x55ba8d…
10-20 14:43:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x4e0fca…
10-20 14:43:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xcc135a…
10-20 14:43:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x975b3b…
10-20 14:43:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x245074…
10-20 14:43:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x33f528…
10-20 14:43:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x46fca3…
10-20 14:42:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xb8f0c9…
10-20 14:42:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc140ca…
10-20 14:42:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xcc7957…
10-20 14:42:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x64cfb6…
10-20 14:37:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xf92d97…
10-20 14:37:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb83b01…
10-20 14:36:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xa3c279…
10-20 14:36:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa73c01…
10-20 14:36:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xa237d6…
10-20 14:36:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xdc85f5…
10-20 14:36:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x7447b1…
10-20 14:36:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9eb084…
10-20 14:36:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xeb903a…
10-20 14:36:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x988a13…
10-20 14:35:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x832b16…
10-20 14:35:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xba5ff0…
10-20 13:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	0¢	$1	0x08926e…
10-20 13:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	0¢	$1	0x09bd55…
10-20 13:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xb05248…
10-20 13:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa29a40…
10-20 13:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x65ba5c…
10-20 13:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x628f4b…
10-20 13:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x9bc6b2…
10-20 13:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x826d9b…
10-20 13:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x1f4193…
10-20 13:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x55c78d…
10-20 13:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb25a83…
10-20 13:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x4ace28…
10-20 13:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xe103e8…
10-20 13:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3d55b1…
10-20 13:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x697c0a…
10-20 13:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xd5e48b…
10-20 13:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8a9b2b…
10-19 13:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x66adf1…
10-19 13:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x82ef31…
10-19 13:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x99da03…
10-19 13:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x26b184…
10-19 13:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x3296ac…
10-19 13:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x93778d…
10-19 13:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x430f7d…
10-19 13:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf8dce3…
10-19 13:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x102229…
10-19 13:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x52d9f2…
10-19 13:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf72582…
10-19 13:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x95ffd6…
10-19 13:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xe1963b…
10-19 13:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb6998f…
10-19 13:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xd71ed1…
10-19 13:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xb2728c…
10-19 13:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa4ff1c…
10-19 13:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xfb3573…
10-19 12:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x939263…
10-19 12:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x2e936d…
10-19 12:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x8e4651…
10-19 12:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xe45b4b…
10-19 12:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xc54bbc…
10-19 12:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x838de3…
10-19 12:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xf3e41c…
10-19 12:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xb79519…
10-19 12:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0xef56ee…
10-19 12:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x95480a…
10-19 12:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	34	37¢	$13	0xff8f12…
10-19 12:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x524e90…
10-19 12:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0xa70b2e…