Tough-Wonder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

602

lifetime

Volume

$70.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 19:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 100% +$5

Other

17% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on april 6	4	$1.3K	644	644	+0	open	—	04-06 14:51
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 14?	5	$710	357	357	+0	open	—	05-14 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?	9	$683	344	344	+0	open	—	04-25 17:05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on April 24?	2	$679	342	342	+0	open	—	04-24 20:01
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	3	$673	338	338	+0	open	—	04-24 14:03
highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 23c	2	$668	337	337	+0	open	—	04-24 13:25
will the price of bitcoin be less than 68000 on april 24	2	$665	334	334	+0	open	—	04-24 10:27
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	2	$662	333	333	+0	open	—	04-22 14:47
bitcoin above 82k on april 21	2	$658	331	331	+0	open	—	04-21 00:11
bitcoin above 64k on april 8	2	$658	332	332	+0	open	—	04-08 00:54
ethereum above 1800 on april 20	3	$655	330	330	+0	open	—	04-19 21:17
ethereum above 2100 on april 19	3	$650	327	327	+0	open	—	04-19 10:12
will bitcoin dip to 68k april 13 19	3	$650	327	327	+0	open	—	04-19 23:38
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	2	$648	326	326	+0	open	—	04-07 12:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	5	$648	326	326	+0	open	—	04-07 14:39
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	2	$641	322	322	+0	open	—	04-17 15:20
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	5	$639	322	321	+0	open	—	04-06 14:15
ethereum above 2700 on april 17	2	$638	321	321	+0	open	—	04-17 09:46
ethereum above 2600 on april 17	6	$638	321	321	+0	open	—	04-17 08:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	2	$638	321	321	+0	open	—	04-17 15:34
bitcoin above 58k on april 4	2	$637	320	320	+0	open	—	04-04 12:04
bitcoin above 62k on april 16	3	$635	320	320	+0	open	—	04-15 18:38
bitcoin above 62k on april 3	2	$633	318	318	+0	open	—	04-03 07:20
xrp above 1pt1 on april 15	2	$632	318	318	+0	open	—	04-15 08:40
amzn close above 215 on april 2 2026	2	$627	318	318	+0	open	—	04-02 19:06
ethereum above 2500 on april 14	2	$626	315	315	+0	open	—	04-14 15:04
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 14	2	$626	315	315	+0	open	—	04-14 15:19
ethereum above 1900 on april 2	2	$619	311	311	+0	open	—	04-02 14:53
solana above 70 on april 2	2	$619	311	311	+0	open	—	04-02 10:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 13	6	$618	311	311	+0	open	—	04-13 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:43:45	tsla close above 380 on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd4daef…
06-09 16:09:15	tsla close above 380 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x01167b…
06-04 14:00:18	bitcoin above 58k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x023687…
06-04 11:42:28	bitcoin above 58k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf2157d…
06-04 11:42:03	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xb9c074…
06-04 04:33:51	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x96765f…
05-20 09:44:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	280	100¢	$279	0x7ff2e5…
05-20 08:18:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0xe5d825…
05-19 19:47:13	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $235 on May 19?	No	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0xc9413f…
05-19 13:40:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $235 on May 19?	No	BUY	292	97¢	$282	0xa82f29…
05-19 07:51:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xf3de41…
05-19 07:50:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x520f6b…
05-19 07:45:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x615ad4…
05-19 07:45:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0fdbdd…
05-19 07:43:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7c7787…
05-19 07:43:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x9d28b3…
05-19 07:40:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x704775…
05-19 07:38:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x190f85…
05-18 22:20:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	272	100¢	$272	0x11ba54…
05-18 20:25:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	272	99¢	$270	0x64c843…
05-18 19:10:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	272	99¢	$270	0x69598e…
05-15 15:06:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	271	100¢	$271	0x87c758…
05-15 13:47:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	271	99¢	$268	0xe3ccd9…
05-14 19:00:03	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5d622b…
05-14 18:40:55	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x3d89cc…
05-14 17:01:54	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x58d0b5…
05-14 16:41:06	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0xb258a3…
05-14 13:38:26	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	357	99¢	$353	0xecb46e…
05-11 14:45:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa104d3…
05-11 07:46:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	253	100¢	$253	0xb1bbcb…
05-10 21:08:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	253	99¢	$250	0x543e5a…
05-06 20:00:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x65da45…
05-06 13:55:20	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x9c37a4…
05-06 13:55:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x5cc4c7…
05-06 13:55:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5798b5…
05-06 13:55:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x0de64b…
05-05 06:10:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0xabfcdf…
05-05 06:07:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x3c855f…
05-05 03:55:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	254	99¢	$251	0xe5f05e…
04-28 08:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 28?	No	BUY	213	98¢	$208	0x240ace…
04-28 06:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2e8286…
04-28 01:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x49f529…
04-28 01:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x1b95ce…
04-28 01:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x534c27…
04-28 01:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x240b61…
04-28 01:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x937176…
04-28 01:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x4f2d89…
04-28 01:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x920bf2…
04-28 01:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7d199c…
04-28 01:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb4454b…
04-28 01:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xd0f05e…
04-28 01:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xc31e30…
04-28 01:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb0ab14…
04-28 01:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x040095…
04-28 01:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf417bf…
04-28 01:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc05d94…
04-28 01:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xf09588…
04-27 14:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xd34da0…
04-27 07:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x596289…
04-26 16:52:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x4743bf…
04-26 09:24:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xf4ad23…
04-26 09:24:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	No	BUY	108	95¢	$102	0xe5305f…
04-25 17:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x34933c…
04-25 17:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x37f53a…
04-25 17:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x9a0724…
04-25 16:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd2e9c7…
04-25 16:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1356aa…
04-25 16:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0c7089…
04-25 16:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0xa83878…
04-25 16:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6624d3…
04-25 12:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?	No	BUY	344	99¢	$340	0x059734…
04-24 20:01:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on April 24?	No	SELL	342	100¢	$342	0x18ec9d…
04-24 20:00:26	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 20 above $335?	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x3986bd…
04-24 20:00:16	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 20 above $335?	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x8e5f4d…
04-24 19:57:06	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 20 above $335?	Yes	BUY	243	99¢	$241	0x16b44c…
04-24 15:08:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on April 24?	No	BUY	342	98¢	$337	0x2ebab7…
04-24 14:03:18	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	No	SELL	269	100¢	$268	0xac4cf9…
04-24 14:03:04	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x8f5c23…
04-24 13:25:36	highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 23c	No	SELL	337	100¢	$337	0x0a9402…
04-24 12:59:46	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	No	BUY	338	99¢	$335	0x76070d…
04-24 10:27:26	will the price of bitcoin be less than 68000 on april 24	No	SELL	334	100¢	$334	0x57d5d0…
04-24 09:23:02	will the price of bitcoin be less than 68000 on april 24	No	BUY	334	99¢	$331	0x89f615…
04-24 07:57:30	highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	337	98¢	$331	0xda032e…
04-22 14:47:32	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	No	SELL	333	100¢	$333	0xbe3286…
04-22 05:15:18	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	No	BUY	333	99¢	$330	0x00288f…
04-21 00:11:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	SELL	331	100¢	$331	0xddf242…
04-20 20:11:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	331	99¢	$328	0x0a26d2…
04-19 23:38:18	will bitcoin dip to 68k april 13 19	No	SELL	327	100¢	$327	0x43b9ae…
04-19 21:17:50	ethereum above 1800 on april 20	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x0a4871…
04-19 21:16:54	ethereum above 1800 on april 20	Yes	SELL	315	100¢	$315	0xfc5ea4…
04-19 20:03:50	ethereum above 1800 on april 20	Yes	BUY	330	99¢	$326	0x12922e…
04-19 10:12:38	ethereum above 2100 on april 19	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x6ded9c…
04-19 10:08:04	ethereum above 2100 on april 19	Yes	SELL	295	100¢	$295	0xf05cb5…
04-19 10:04:50	will bitcoin dip to 68k april 13 19	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xf8162e…
04-19 08:34:06	will bitcoin dip to 68k april 13 19	No	BUY	225	99¢	$222	0xdd1132…
04-18 21:20:04	ethereum above 2100 on april 19	Yes	BUY	327	99¢	$324	0xf58f95…
04-17 15:34:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	No	SELL	321	100¢	$321	0x495f80…
04-17 15:20:38	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	No	SELL	322	100¢	$322	0xc65ee1…
04-17 13:26:46	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	No	BUY	322	99¢	$319	0x691c63…
04-17 10:16:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	No	BUY	321	99¢	$317	0xa85e90…