Tough-Wonder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$476

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

852

Trades

2,260

lifetime

Volume

$96.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-17 20:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 228 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 99% +$255

Other

40% 44% -$731

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on april 6	4	$1.3K	644	644	+0	No	+$6	04-06 14:51
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 14?	5	$710	357	357	+0	Yes	+$4	05-14 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 30?	2	$703	353	353	+0	Yes	+$3	04-30 23:25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?	9	$683	344	344	+0	No	+$4	04-25 17:05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on April 24?	2	$679	342	342	+0	No	+$5	04-24 20:01
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	3	$673	338	338	+0	No	+$3	04-24 14:03
highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 23c	2	$668	337	337	+0	No	+$6	04-24 13:25
will the price of bitcoin be less than 68000 on april 24	2	$665	334	334	+0	No	+$3	04-24 10:27
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	2	$662	333	333	+0	No	+$3	04-22 14:47
bitcoin above 82k on april 21	2	$658	331	331	+0	No	+$3	04-21 00:11
bitcoin above 64k on april 8	2	$658	332	332	+0	Yes	+$5	04-08 00:54
ethereum above 1800 on april 20	3	$655	330	330	+0	Yes	+$3	04-19 21:17
ethereum above 2100 on april 19	3	$650	327	327	+0	Yes	+$3	04-19 10:12
will bitcoin dip to 68k april 13 19	3	$650	327	327	+0	No	+$3	04-19 23:38
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	2	$648	326	326	+0	Yes	+$3	04-07 12:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	5	$648	326	326	+0	No	+$3	04-07 14:39
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	2	$641	322	322	+0	No	+$3	04-17 15:20
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	5	$639	322	321	+0	No	+$3	04-06 14:15
ethereum above 2600 on april 17	6	$638	321	321	+0	No	+$3	04-17 08:52
ethereum above 2700 on april 17	2	$638	321	321	+0	No	+$3	04-17 09:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	2	$638	321	321	+0	No	+$3	04-17 15:34
bitcoin above 58k on april 4	2	$637	320	320	+0	Yes	+$3	04-04 12:04
bitcoin above 62k on april 16	3	$635	320	320	+0	Yes	+$3	04-15 18:38
bitcoin above 62k on april 3	2	$633	318	318	+0	Yes	+$3	04-03 07:20
xrp above 1pt1 on april 15	2	$632	318	318	+0	Yes	+$3	04-15 08:40
amzn close above 215 on april 2 2026	2	$627	318	318	+0	No	+$9	04-02 19:06
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 14	2	$626	315	315	+0	No	+$3	04-14 15:19
ethereum above 2500 on april 14	2	$626	315	315	+0	No	+$3	04-14 15:04
ethereum above 1900 on april 2	2	$619	311	311	+0	Yes	+$3	04-02 14:53
solana above 70 on april 2	2	$619	311	311	+0	Yes	+$3	04-02 10:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 20:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xb63308…
10-17 20:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xbf938d…
10-17 08:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xf91785…
10-17 06:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x6983f8…
10-16 07:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4ce7ee…
10-15 19:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x9b52ea…
10-15 19:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x55fe2e…
10-15 19:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x6fbd13…
10-15 09:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x489760…
10-15 09:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa74fb8…
10-15 09:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4f441d…
10-15 06:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xd0d8aa…
10-14 09:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x53b85b…
10-13 10:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x4b82fe…
10-13 10:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x0bab45…
10-13 08:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1f13c2…
10-13 05:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xc39d47…
10-12 19:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xe081c2…
10-12 08:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x26d5a3…
10-12 05:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x7e159d…
10-11 20:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x108976…
10-11 08:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xfeac1f…
10-11 07:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5255a3…
10-11 04:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x57d510…
10-10 19:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x68ede1…
10-10 07:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0xd27a60…
10-10 06:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xbc2207…
10-09 19:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xff900f…
10-09 08:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x009ea0…
10-09 08:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x003276…
10-08 08:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x683596…
10-08 08:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x55e084…
10-08 08:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x46680e…
10-08 08:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc0440e…
10-08 08:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x548c02…
10-08 08:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x9fa281…
10-07 19:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x91cf76…
10-07 08:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x9df0bd…
10-07 07:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf08997…
10-06 19:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xb9c68b…
10-06 09:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x968f10…
10-06 08:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9723d2…
10-05 19:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x5dc693…
10-05 08:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xba66a9…
10-05 08:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x96759e…
10-04 20:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xe849ff…
10-04 07:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x9a3924…
10-04 06:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 4?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2edce1…
10-04 04:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 4?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xdd83b8…
10-03 07:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x742c46…
10-03 07:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x7148cf…
10-02 19:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xce9157…
10-02 08:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xae56b9…
10-02 07:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x67fabf…
10-02 04:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0xe9eff0…
10-01 19:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf4e404…
10-01 10:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x6f4960…
10-01 09:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x2ca2e3…
10-01 04:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x87baf6…
10-01 04:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	110	5¢	$5	0x569af9…
10-01 04:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0xee9715…
09-30 19:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x2d79ae…
09-30 19:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x9d2c92…
09-30 19:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0x4a0e3c…
09-30 08:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	83	43¢	$36	0x960bc7…
09-30 08:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x9dfa10…
09-30 07:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x432aa7…
09-29 19:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x9144f1…
09-29 19:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0x9b24b9…
09-29 19:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	65	10¢	$7	0xe5b6aa…
09-29 08:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x2ec63b…
09-29 08:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x64d0b0…
09-29 07:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xa2fe34…
09-29 07:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x700b38…
09-28 08:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	70	24¢	$17	0x7f612e…
09-28 08:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	70	58¢	$41	0x01471c…
09-28 07:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xf3a77b…
09-27 08:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x33baa7…
09-27 08:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	53	50¢	$26	0x11448c…
09-27 07:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x02163f…
09-26 07:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x28e36a…
09-26 07:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x8f10ec…
09-26 07:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xbcd531…
09-26 05:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0xf4c458…
09-26 04:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x881b05…
09-25 19:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	28	23¢	$6	0xbd4264…
09-25 19:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x960767…
09-25 19:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x448413…
09-25 06:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	24	23¢	$5	0x79aecc…
09-25 06:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x87113c…
09-25 05:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x6764cb…
09-25 00:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x59851f…
09-24 23:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x83d82e…
09-24 19:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x2b6533…
09-24 19:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xd24492…
09-24 08:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x26bf6e…
09-24 08:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x37a237…
09-24 08:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x18157d…
09-24 08:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x655317…
09-24 08:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x561bb7…