Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
189
lifetime
Volume
$376
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$13
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-01 08:26
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
46%
Tech
44%
Politics
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes -5 $-5 82¢ $-4 +$1 06-14 14:47
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 70¢ $3 +$0 06-18 15:48
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 06-06 18:56
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No -2 $-1 69¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 20:07
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +4 $2 35¢ $1 $-1 06-09 18:29
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +17 $2 $0 $-2 06-26 10:59