Lucky-Guitarist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$663

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved

284

Trades

3,548

lifetime

Volume

$79.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-06 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 83% $-663

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 585 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776955200	3	$1.7K	1,427	804	+623	open	—	04-23 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$1.2K	628	598	+30	Down	+$25	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$1.1K	592	592	+0	Up	+$23	05-05 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$1.1K	698	635	+63	Down	+$20	05-06 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$1.1K	613	549	+64	Down	+$40	05-06 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$1.1K	604	538	+66	Up	+$29	05-05 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$1.1K	568	568	+0	open	—	05-04 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$1.0K	541	541	+0	open	—	05-04 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$1.0K	556	556	+0	Down	+$36	05-05 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$1.0K	551	551	+0	open	—	05-04 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$1.0K	528	528	+0	Up	+$18	05-04 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$1.0K	538	538	+0	Down	+$15	05-05 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	open	—	05-04 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	open	—	05-04 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$820	898	0	+898	Down	+$77	05-06 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	5	$619	612	30	+582	Up	+$21	05-05 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	5	$599	607	83	+524	Up	+$23	05-06 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$591	637	0	+637	Down	+$46	05-05 20:29
btc updown 5m 1776948900	1	$580	592	0	+592	open	—	04-23 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$563	580	0	+580	Up	+$17	05-05 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$561	834	0	+834	Up	$-498	05-06 07:59
btc updown 5m 1777039500	2	$550	590	0	+590	open	—	04-24 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$549	567	0	+567	Up	+$18	05-05 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$536	525	20	+505	Up	+$8	05-06 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$522	560	0	+560	Down	+$39	05-06 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$519	535	0	+535	Up	+$17	05-06 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$500	608	0	+608	open	—	05-04 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$500	832	0	+832	Up	$-500	05-06 07:49
btc updown 5m 1777044600	1	$500	554	0	+554	open	—	04-24 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$500	525	0	+525	Up	+$25	05-05 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 07:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0xba21b2…
05-06 07:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	240	68¢	$163	0x83d67f…
05-06 07:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	531	64¢	$337	0x518b34…
05-06 07:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x515062…
05-06 07:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	875	91¢	$800	0x50a260…
05-06 07:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	832	60¢	$500	0xd52daf…
05-06 07:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	537	93¢	$500	0x64488a…
05-06 07:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0xeaee41…
05-06 07:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xcbadb1…
05-06 07:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x04afb3…
05-06 07:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	549	98¢	$538	0xf77667…
05-06 07:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	64	96¢	$61	0xde9d3a…
05-06 07:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0x32bd05…
05-06 07:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xb5bce9…
05-06 07:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x5366f7…
05-06 07:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x6daa0a…
05-06 07:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x16f942…
05-06 07:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	524	95¢	$500	0x55da91…
05-06 07:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x631a86…
05-06 07:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	63	46¢	$29	0x8148f9…
05-06 07:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	63	53¢	$33	0x020b48…
05-06 07:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x9ce32b…
05-06 07:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf5e968…
05-06 07:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0xaa72af…
05-06 07:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	635	84¢	$534	0xea4437…
05-06 07:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xd82e38…
05-06 07:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	615	81¢	$500	0xdc18e8…
05-06 07:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x217e94…
05-06 07:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x948ab9…
05-06 07:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xcb7649…
05-06 06:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0xfc9656…
05-06 06:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xad7a52…
05-06 06:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x56eaca…
05-06 06:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	72	92¢	$66	0xb18e94…
05-06 06:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbaab5d…
05-06 06:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x761463…
05-06 06:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0x98c9d2…
05-06 06:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x059a08…
05-06 06:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xe1417e…
05-06 06:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x210719…
05-06 06:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xe8421d…
05-06 06:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xdf678e…
05-06 06:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0xf23611…
05-06 06:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x9b735b…
05-06 05:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xb9f979…
05-06 05:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9f57bd…
05-06 05:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$24	0xbc38a0…
05-06 05:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xb56f32…
05-06 05:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0xe8c558…
05-06 05:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0xa6c023…
05-06 05:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0x3e4034…
05-06 05:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xbd9ce8…
05-06 05:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x9f85e4…
05-06 05:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0x0fa9f3…
05-06 05:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2ce0bb…
05-06 05:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x8da36b…
05-06 05:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xecaa5c…
05-06 05:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xd81d6c…
05-06 05:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x67d3f4…
05-06 05:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x228353…
05-06 05:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	71	23¢	$16	0x6ec5ee…
05-06 05:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xced713…
05-06 05:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xaae3ff…
05-06 05:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x77527f…
05-06 05:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x1dc469…
05-06 05:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x329689…
05-06 05:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0x7dbb7e…
05-06 04:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x74219f…
05-06 04:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x2ad420…
05-06 04:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x610607…
05-06 04:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb2a5e9…
05-06 04:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x7f8431…
05-06 04:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x7aa1ec…
05-06 04:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x43b7d0…
05-06 04:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1b6a50…
05-06 04:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaa0a67…
05-06 04:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x0d72d9…
05-06 04:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x62e8c5…
05-06 04:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x03f969…
05-06 04:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xc89004…
05-06 03:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x87fa29…
05-06 03:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x6a4bfa…
05-06 03:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x824c9a…
05-06 03:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xf93fb4…
05-06 03:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	69	94¢	$65	0x50d415…
05-06 03:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x5e8aa5…
05-06 03:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0x56ef7a…
05-06 03:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x11e555…
05-06 03:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x6c9de6…
05-06 03:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x6474a7…
05-06 03:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x0ec9f0…
05-06 03:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xc219bb…
05-06 03:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x5911f0…
05-06 03:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x015f26…
05-06 03:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	96¢	$26	0xda19ef…
05-06 03:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xbdb77b…
05-06 03:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xb0237d…
05-06 03:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x01fd53…
05-06 03:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x476c2c…
05-06 02:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0xf81079…