Equal-Cape — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

291 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$684

$3.27K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-02 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-14 14:35
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:36
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-26 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 10:38
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 64 65f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:55
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:17
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 04:21
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 43c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:41
highest temperature in karachi on april 19 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 04:42
highest temperature in karachi on april 18 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:34
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:05
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:44
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 15:33
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:24
highest temperature in miami on april 15 2026 80 81f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:15
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 10:53
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 13:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe229e2…
10-31 17:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5a57a3…
10-31 09:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x27ac10…
10-30 09:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xb07336…
10-29 07:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6d8f9…
10-28 05:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69d404…
10-27 07:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x965916…
10-26 05:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf26f19…
10-24 06:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc5198…
10-22 09:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7797b…
10-20 04:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38c4e0…
10-19 07:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1df0dd…
10-18 07:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6c1fc…
10-17 07:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x401402…
10-16 08:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e4c9c…
10-15 07:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e04eb…
10-14 07:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0231f7…
10-13 05:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc31224…
10-12 04:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c155b…
10-11 03:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfab11e…
10-08 07:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x577c14…
10-07 08:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x682a78…
10-06 07:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ee6ce…
10-04 08:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x746912…
10-03 04:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1bb51c…
10-02 07:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2868b7…
10-02 03:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e8528…
10-01 07:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x313003…
09-30 09:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf673e4…
09-29 08:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ec5e0…
09-28 08:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07384a…
09-27 08:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6cdfbd…
09-25 07:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf93cb7…
09-24 06:43:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33f4d0…
09-23 05:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x936681…
09-22 06:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda1c87…
09-21 08:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f0485…
09-20 03:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77e4ef…
09-19 07:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30f825…
09-18 01:12:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf11322…
09-17 03:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6aa265…
09-16 08:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f1ff1…
09-15 23:36:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96f209…
09-15 02:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4dba7e…
09-14 02:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa86cb…
09-13 12:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cac16…
09-12 08:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x994ed7…
09-11 06:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef7436…
09-10 01:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a7e9d…
09-09 09:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdbe4c…
09-08 15:43:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c85ca…
09-08 01:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9fa3d…
09-07 01:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91a07b…
09-06 01:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f0f8b…
09-05 09:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x037d5d…
09-04 08:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6caee7…
09-03 01:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x023a52…
09-01 01:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x830670…
08-30 01:02:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d0a47…
08-29 05:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01bcca…
08-28 01:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9f068…
08-27 01:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x942543…
08-26 02:04:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30b29a…
08-25 08:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79cf7e…
08-24 07:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddbbf0…
08-23 07:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x089660…
08-22 06:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa13af4…
08-21 01:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b35c1…
08-20 05:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf67c02…
08-19 07:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f36b2…
08-18 01:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf67ff…
08-17 06:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61491a…
08-16 10:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcb754…
08-15 02:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7ac23…
08-14 06:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcfb5a…
08-13 00:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24457e…
08-12 06:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x905a1e…
08-11 00:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x687db1…
08-10 00:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f2241…
08-09 00:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3edeea…
08-08 07:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77b8aa…
08-07 00:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12b2e2…
08-06 00:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71c2dc…
08-05 00:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b7d76…
08-04 03:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ecf12…
08-03 01:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91433f…
08-02 00:24:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29cbc7…
08-01 00:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x022c81…
07-31 07:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b0c78…
07-30 00:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x690ac8…
07-29 01:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x446108…
07-28 00:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d3cdf…
07-27 07:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x811363…
07-26 01:12:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66a519…
07-25 00:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc10db7…
07-24 06:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcae13…
07-23 01:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf035ec…
07-22 01:35:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d9bd1…
07-20 23:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b7e2e…
07-19 22:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a55ea…