Wavy-Thesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$835

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

270

Trades

371

lifetime

Volume

$3.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 05-28 05:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 33% +$857

Sports

2% 25% -$3

Other

2% 0% -$18

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$550	525	525	+0	Up	+$490	05-16 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$121	405	134	+271	Up	+$11	05-18 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$100	378	0	+378	Down	-$100	05-17 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$96	72	72	+0	Up	+$46	05-16 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$81	2,615	115	+2,500	Down	-$19	05-25 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$70	61	61	+0	Down	+$20	05-25 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$53	78	78	+0	Up	-$7	05-17 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$53	28	28	+0	Up	+$3	05-16 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	Down	+$2	05-15 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$51	192	0	+192	Down	+$9	05-16 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$50	169	0	+169	Up	-$20	05-15 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$42	40	27	+13	Up	+$12	05-16 05:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$37	38	38	+0	Down	+$27	05-18 18:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$37	34	34	+0	Down	+$29	05-18 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$31	26	26	+0	Down	+$21	05-17 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$30	37	37	+0	Down	+$10	05-19 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$30	260	0	+260	Down	-$30	05-15 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$30	583	0	+583	Down	-$30	05-16 06:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$30	83	0	+83	Down	-$30	05-17 10:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$30	111	0	+111	Down	-$30	05-17 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$30	392	0	+392	Up	+$356	05-15 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$30	3,238	0	+3,238	Up	+$2	05-15 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$30	133	0	+133	Up	+$104	05-15 16:28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 17?	3	$28	60	60	+0	No	-$2	05-17 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$25	608	0	+608	Up	-$22	05-17 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$25	360	0	+360	Up	+$335	05-17 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$25	81	0	+81	Up	-$25	05-16 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$25	78	0	+78	Down	-$25	05-15 11:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$25	870	0	+870	Up	-$25	05-18 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$25	320	0	+320	Down	-$25	05-26 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 05:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x9c3e40…
05-28 05:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1d9e0e…
05-26 13:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	320	8¢	$25	0x017bac…
05-25 19:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x3f3373…
05-25 19:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	115	27¢	$31	0xc700be…
05-25 19:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0x6ea63a…
05-25 18:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	61	74¢	$45	0x868d3e…
05-25 18:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x88e309…
05-23 14:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5493f0…
05-23 07:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	32	40¢	$13	0x59f8aa…
05-23 07:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xea3e28…
05-23 05:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1d1b3f…
05-22 20:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1738f9…
05-22 20:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x9a154a…
05-22 20:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x072311…
05-22 20:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x530d88…
05-22 20:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xee3010…
05-22 20:18:41	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x1f39fd…
05-22 20:18:39	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x15437c…
05-22 19:21:10	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	Houston Astros	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0xd6c53e…
05-22 18:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf112da…
05-22 18:41:40	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6ef3ad…
05-22 18:40:18	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	Houston Astros	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x8d420a…
05-22 18:34:56	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc75dfb…
05-22 18:34:19	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd16dfd…
05-22 18:22:16	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x31d0b9…
05-22 18:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc96f26…
05-22 18:19:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb6e661…
05-21 08:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x66f9d7…
05-21 08:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa130d7…
05-21 06:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa8e6c9…
05-21 04:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0f1a86…
05-20 18:42:32	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1870ab…
05-20 18:38:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd76b7e…
05-20 18:37:35	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xcce655…
05-20 18:34:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x4af308…
05-20 18:33:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa360d4…
05-20 18:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xabf69c…
05-20 18:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x755b7d…
05-20 18:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x944b71…
05-20 18:29:37	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0cab93…
05-20 18:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xacbadd…
05-20 17:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8c05bc…
05-20 17:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x701773…
05-20 17:53:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x6e449b…
05-20 17:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8cf423…
05-20 17:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x92be3f…
05-20 17:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xade47a…
05-20 17:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x62fa11…
05-20 17:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3509a2…
05-19 18:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x135e95…
05-19 18:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x99ad49…
05-19 18:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa7ca2f…
05-19 17:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfdf790…
05-19 17:25:44	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x618630…
05-19 17:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x67144f…
05-19 16:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x64d135…
05-19 15:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xaaf27c…
05-19 15:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf84514…
05-19 15:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x657b6c…
05-19 15:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb48db3…
05-19 15:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5de313…
05-19 15:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x47f110…
05-19 14:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5c20a9…
05-19 14:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x3e7778…
05-19 14:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5e0f7d…
05-19 14:55:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	312	1¢	$4	0xbbb585…
05-19 04:38:11	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x83c281…
05-19 04:35:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0xa70e57…
05-18 19:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x7d7b58…
05-18 19:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xab8b29…
05-18 19:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x2d177c…
05-18 19:12:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x589606…
05-18 19:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x4205d4…
05-18 19:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x00f919…
05-18 19:07:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x36b347…
05-18 19:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0c83c9…
05-18 19:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2e7304…
05-18 19:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	870	3¢	$25	0x51856d…
05-18 19:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	271	9¢	$25	0xb58df0…
05-18 18:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	134	49¢	$66	0x8c2902…
05-18 18:58:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	38	82¢	$32	0xbc1bcb…
05-18 18:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	111	23¢	$25	0x115bc9…
05-18 18:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x122660…
05-18 18:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x59566b…
05-18 18:55:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x6969b5…
05-18 18:52:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0x252d58…
05-18 18:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x755ac5…
05-18 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6684bf…
05-18 18:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe7e5b9…
05-18 18:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x28057e…
05-18 18:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x618152…
05-18 18:44:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xba7676…
05-18 18:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x690104…
05-18 18:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x13757f…
05-18 18:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7c5da2…
05-18 09:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x06b409…
05-18 09:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe3257b…
05-18 07:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x69cac0…
05-17 21:49:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x682220…