Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$101

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-05 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

82% 61% +$10

Politics

18% 25% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+4	$2	18¢	$1	-$1	08-12 21:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-31 18:48
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-19 07:14
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-03 01:05
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-21 07:14
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-10 17:45
will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 21	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-22 07:35
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-09 16:29
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 23:35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-09 08:28
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-07 15:26
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-30 18:33
will spy reach 770 by september 14 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-15 10:54
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-14 14:29
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-23 03:36
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$3	09-14 06:27
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$1	09-11 01:52
spx up or down on september 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	09-10 08:42
will warsh say good morning during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-21 14:20
grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-11 12:36
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-15 02:29
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-13 22:18
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 15:28
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-21 15:30
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-20 22:26
will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-17 11:23
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 12:42
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-01 19:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-09 05:05
will trump say maga or make america great again during tele rally 20260809153916669	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	08-10 20:30
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-17 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 00:53:44	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xabfa90…
10-02 11:25:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2da4e7…
10-02 03:11:50	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7b13e8…
10-01 17:15:54	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x60699c…
09-27 21:05:53	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x467664…
09-27 08:24:38	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x095a38…
09-26 22:14:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7883f6…
09-26 09:23:53	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x66959d…
09-24 11:38:41	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x052c58…
09-23 03:36:29	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x4ba4dd…
09-22 07:35:57	will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 21	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x4b3a1b…
09-21 23:35:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x803264…
09-21 15:30:00	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x07550e…
09-21 15:28:45	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x5f44be…
09-21 07:14:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x692ed1…
09-20 22:26:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x67e91c…
09-19 07:14:30	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xe76176…
09-15 10:54:21	will spy reach 770 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x598e7b…
09-15 02:29:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x4a019f…
09-14 14:29:28	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xb801b4…
09-14 06:27:33	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x3e0f46…
09-13 22:18:49	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x47b1d0…
09-11 02:00:09	will tsla dip to 360 by september 7 2026 from september 10	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x301bea…
09-11 01:52:51	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x30fb32…
09-10 17:45:16	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd3670b…
09-10 08:42:28	spx up or down on september 10 2026	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe606d3…
09-10 00:31:06	will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6f10e4…
09-09 16:29:30	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x44f4cc…
09-09 08:28:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x73fec5…
09-08 05:37:37	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x5164a5…
09-07 15:26:25	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x2edef3…
09-03 01:05:09	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x890d1b…
09-01 19:05:54	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x86b45a…
09-01 14:52:28	next mythos class model released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x3bab8a…
08-31 18:48:28	Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x53536a…
08-31 18:48:24	will xagusd reach 68 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xc67fab…
08-31 10:48:03	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x7f5c2f…
08-31 02:38:54	will wti reach 90 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb4533e…
08-30 18:33:12	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4c39a8…
08-30 07:32:03	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x753c6b…
08-29 22:48:55	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xa01860…
08-29 14:21:43	will ewy dip to 176 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe6118f…
08-29 04:14:51	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x4067b1…
08-26 19:24:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x7377c5…
08-24 10:36:40	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $184 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x30b618…
08-24 02:35:57	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x09452f…
08-23 07:18:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x323f3f…
08-21 14:20:36	will warsh say good morning during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xea491d…
08-21 02:24:36	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xb79212…
08-20 18:16:52	spy closes above 765 on august 20 2026	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x85b601…
08-19 03:34:07	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xffc580…
08-18 12:42:10	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x4b246e…
08-18 04:19:07	will amzn dip to 252 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xdac4b8…
08-17 20:16:57	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x5fae4d…
08-17 11:23:45	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x318eda…
08-17 02:12:43	will pltr reach 180 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xfcf226…
08-13 05:15:27	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x4123ae…
08-12 21:04:18	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x007684…
08-11 12:36:01	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x062736…
08-11 04:31:09	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x5b2d13…
08-10 20:30:30	will trump say maga or make america great again during tele rally 20260809153916669	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x602861…
08-10 12:28:27	will spy reach 785 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xdcb992…
08-10 04:27:39	will xagusd dip to 62 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa0f50a…
08-09 20:27:22	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x7fd4cb…
08-09 05:05:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xa55e36…
08-08 20:08:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xf245d1…
08-08 11:57:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x84413a…