Rosy-Infection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

175

Trades

802

lifetime

Volume

$73.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-20 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Politics

85% 72% +$1,010

Other

15% 69% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No		-20	-$16	92¢	$-18	-$2	06-20 07:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	11	$3.4K	1,774	1,774	+0	No	+$79	03-02 07:36
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	22	$2.6K	1,612	1,763	-151	Yes	+$55	04-17 16:10
new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	11	$2.5K	1,290	1,380	-89	Yes	+$138	02-24 06:56
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$2.4K	1,233	1,233	+0	No	+$32	02-21 03:24
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	10	$1.8K	959	959	+0	No	+$68	03-05 07:18
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	7	$1.8K	1,054	1,054	+0	No	+$291	03-15 20:10
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	24	$1.8K	1,244	1,344	-100	Yes	+$183	02-28 06:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$1.6K	930	930	+0	No	+$226	03-31 07:41
us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	21	$1.6K	862	862	+0	No	+$140	04-01 04:13
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	11	$1.5K	873	1,243	-370	No	-$368	03-01 20:56
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	3	$1.5K	738	738	+0	No	+$11	02-11 01:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$1.5K	762	762	+0	Yes	+$57	04-04 00:38
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	7	$1.4K	727	727	+0	No	+$20	02-10 04:58
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	5	$1.4K	0	1,477	-1,477	No	-$55	02-26 07:49
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	5	$1.4K	813	813	+0	No	-$67	03-04 03:22
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$1.4K	1,443	0	+1,443	No	+$72	02-25 03:51
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	6	$1.4K	815	815	+0	No	+$60	03-14 00:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$1.4K	1,018	1,018	+0	Yes	+$34	02-28 14:08
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	5	$1.3K	679	679	+0	No	+$20	03-16 01:35
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	10	$1.2K	1,079	1,079	+0	Yes	+$197	02-28 07:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,262	0	+1,262	No	+$63	05-26 07:05
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	12	$1.1K	493	693	-200	Yes	+$42	02-17 10:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$1.1K	700	600	+100	No	+$42	05-04 07:00
iran strike on us military by february 28	6	$1.1K	540	710	-170	Yes	+$82	02-28 08:57
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	6	$1.0K	603	603	+0	No	-$4	04-19 06:44
Iran leadership change by March 13?	4	$971	499	499	+0	No	+$23	03-14 07:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$952	908	200	+708	No	+$53	05-31 08:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$943	888	888	+0	Yes	+$137	02-28 06:30
israel strikes iran by january 25 2026	11	$874	458	458	+0	No	+$40	01-26 08:12
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	20	$861	914	0	+914	No	+$53	03-14 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 07:11:53	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x57ad90…
06-15 17:41:15	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	494	84¢	$414	0x92cd00…
06-13 06:25:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	No	SELL	539	47¢	$251	0x70151b…
06-07 08:14:33	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	339	64¢	$217	0x2b53ce…
06-07 08:09:24	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xad1506…
06-06 00:55:30	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x82b04f…
06-01 08:25:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xb904ec…
06-01 08:25:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x987f3c…
06-01 08:08:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x82f7b2…
06-01 08:06:17	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc1a9be…
06-01 07:58:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x93b5e2…
06-01 07:50:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xda6a6d…
06-01 07:45:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0a5a1d…
06-01 07:36:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x95918e…
06-01 07:36:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1e27db…
06-01 07:32:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x645e95…
06-01 07:32:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf63c69…
06-01 07:29:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x08b65d…
06-01 07:29:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf308c3…
06-01 07:29:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf88c56…
06-01 07:19:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xa16548…
06-01 07:16:28	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	94	86¢	$81	0x4ccbd5…
06-01 07:14:18	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x504389…
06-01 07:14:18	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	94	86¢	$81	0x262265…
06-01 07:09:29	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	75¢	$16	0x5af018…
06-01 07:04:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	74	63¢	$47	0x97735a…
06-01 00:51:38	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	15	84¢	$12	0xcbfe24…
06-01 00:51:35	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	15	84¢	$12	0x294d5a…
06-01 00:51:12	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	63	84¢	$53	0xe40788…
06-01 00:48:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	39	75¢	$29	0x331a9d…
05-31 23:05:11	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	55	75¢	$41	0x3f5f76…
05-31 23:04:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	72	75¢	$54	0x20eb71…
05-31 22:35:40	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xa5b22b…
05-31 22:01:15	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x232bd3…
05-31 08:30:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	708	96¢	$678	0x7e61b1…
05-30 15:51:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	249	98¢	$243	0x1d8306…
05-29 02:16:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	230	81¢	$186	0x3d7b36…
05-26 07:05:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,262	95¢	$1,199	0x2cf645…
05-26 06:48:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x2eb73c…
05-26 06:45:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	241	74¢	$178	0xbdbc15…
05-26 01:31:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	230	80¢	$184	0x5755a2…
05-23 21:34:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x7e03fc…
05-23 21:33:18	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	153	62¢	$96	0xcb668a…
05-15 06:59:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	198	85¢	$168	0xccd473…
05-15 06:46:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	122	63¢	$77	0x9d16cf…
05-15 06:46:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	78	63¢	$49	0x507cf8…
05-12 19:24:19	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	47	88¢	$41	0x553498…
05-10 20:01:48	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$39	0xe1fa39…
05-05 00:57:38	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x728cbd…
05-04 16:57:34	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	No	SELL	260	5¢	$13	0xe94279…
05-04 07:00:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0xce8518…
05-04 06:59:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x1397ce…
05-04 06:44:32	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	235	86¢	$202	0x63f077…
05-04 06:42:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0x0fb088…
05-03 15:13:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	600	86¢	$516	0xe96ef5…
05-02 23:47:38	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	150	77¢	$115	0x07cbf9…
05-02 22:31:04	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x6adb2c…
05-02 22:19:36	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0x9adfbe…
05-02 22:16:42	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x7f8dbe…
05-02 22:11:22	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	80¢	$20	0x6645d9…
05-02 22:11:18	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	80¢	$20	0x5c2912…
05-02 08:16:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	600	81¢	$486	0x00c082…
05-02 08:05:46	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x616620…
05-02 07:23:36	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026?	No	BUY	96	88¢	$84	0xc6e610…
05-02 06:54:24	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	No	BUY	260	85¢	$221	0x60238e…
05-02 06:49:36	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x972d1e…
05-02 06:44:06	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x865b01…
05-02 06:21:52	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x7e0d9a…
05-02 06:20:32	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x4ccc0a…
05-02 04:22:36	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x64acd2…
05-01 10:47:14	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xbeb8bb…
04-27 06:00:36	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	SELL	478	2¢	$10	0x6c8745…
04-26 11:07:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	85	91¢	$78	0xc01105…
04-26 10:56:04	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xdd6c5a…
04-26 10:55:14	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x43e852…
04-26 10:52:32	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xe79486…
04-25 16:55:02	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	135	51¢	$69	0xe28258…
04-25 16:45:46	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0x5d4507…
04-25 16:31:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x14fd25…
04-25 16:27:48	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x8a0e94…
04-25 16:24:18	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x2c8491…
04-25 16:22:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x914ebf…
04-25 16:19:18	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	138	98¢	$135	0x5ff01a…
04-25 15:29:42	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	45	72¢	$32	0x791f63…
04-25 14:30:44	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	56	41¢	$23	0xc09b4e…
04-25 12:13:28	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x2b9135…
04-25 12:04:48	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	34	34¢	$12	0xba7ad9…
04-25 11:59:32	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x9c662c…
04-25 11:59:28	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xbd4e57…
04-25 06:39:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0x982474…
04-25 06:34:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0x408416…
04-25 04:15:00	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x30082d…
04-25 04:14:58	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfa96b3…
04-25 02:04:08	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	199	53¢	$105	0x2037b0…
04-25 01:44:52	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0xd58780…
04-24 06:31:56	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	137	90¢	$123	0x8ac4fa…
04-24 04:20:48	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9cfd1a…
04-24 01:32:42	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb1cb6a…
04-23 00:09:18	Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x7d4abe…
04-21 17:30:00	Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	601	92¢	$553	0x60f436…