Realized P&L
-$13.4K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
76.6%
Resolved
305
Trades
2,978
lifetime
Volume
$513.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$172
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 04-05 23:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Politics
64%
78%
-$2,121
Other
31%
68%
-$10,375
Sports
4%
75%
-$570
Crypto
0%
40%
-$76
Pop-Culture
0%
50%
-$269
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-05).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by february 4 2026 | 52 | $55.1K | 30,213 | 25,151 | +5,062 | No | +$128 | 02-04 23:10 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | 44 | $25.9K | 28,869 | 0 | +28,869 | No | +$2,962 | 02-14 07:43 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 24 | $25.7K | 20,503 | 9,434 | +11,069 | No | +$3,701 | 01-31 21:20 |
| will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425 | 108 | $25.2K | 6,642 | 24,326 | -17,684 | No | -$4,022 | 01-27 22:48 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 61 | $23.7K | 25,703 | 5,145 | +20,558 | No | +$5,457 | 01-30 07:23 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 54 | $22.0K | 15,261 | 14,854 | +407 | Yes | -$1,137 | 01-31 07:22 |
| us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931 | 28 | $20.0K | 13,421 | 8,000 | +5,421 | No | +$1,207 | 02-12 12:32 |
| will the next official us iran meeting be in oman | 104 | $16.1K | 12,195 | 12,485 | -290 | Yes | +$786 | 02-06 22:49 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 22 | $12.2K | 5,400 | 8,000 | -2,600 | No | +$674 | 01-21 17:16 |
| another us government shutdown by february 14 | 52 | $10.6K | 10,986 | 11,209 | -222 | No | +$242 | 02-13 05:48 |
| will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15 | 82 | $10.2K | 0 | 11,612 | -11,612 | No | -$1,401 | 01-10 18:50 |
| will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28 | 31 | $9.5K | 9,699 | 108 | +9,591 | Yes | +$44 | 02-05 23:08 |
| will trump talk to vladimir putin in january | 105 | $8.6K | 4,226 | 5,864 | -1,639 | No | +$951 | 02-02 08:29 |
| will no qualifying us iran meeting occur by february 13 2026 | 18 | $8.5K | 4,806 | 4,806 | +0 | No | +$232 | 02-06 22:49 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 39 | $7.9K | 10,947 | 0 | +10,947 | Yes | -$7,931 | 02-18 22:10 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | 23 | $7.9K | 4,534 | 4,534 | +0 | No | +$933 | 02-18 00:14 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 14 | $7.9K | 4,517 | 4,517 | +0 | Yes | +$156 | 02-02 01:07 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 8 | $7.3K | 4,145 | 4,145 | +0 | Yes | +$510 | 02-10 16:05 |
| iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31 | 33 | $6.6K | 3,945 | 4,234 | -290 | No | +$770 | 02-27 02:07 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 92 | $6.6K | 10,249 | 0 | +10,249 | Yes | -$6,620 | 04-03 04:11 |
| will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026 | 22 | $6.5K | 3,157 | 4,305 | -1,149 | No | +$464 | 02-18 11:20 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 28 | $6.5K | 8,072 | 0 | +8,072 | No | +$1,593 | 01-20 18:30 |
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 40 | $6.4K | 5,111 | 3,805 | +1,306 | No | +$333 | 01-21 21:25 |
| us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31 | 160 | $5.8K | 26,096 | 17,060 | +9,037 | Yes | -$2,166 | 02-05 10:55 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 34 | $5.5K | 3,124 | 3,124 | +0 | No | +$738 | 04-03 03:12 |
| will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day | 22 | $5.5K | 22,934 | 0 | +22,934 | Yes | -$5,472 | 02-12 13:03 |
| us strikes iran by february 7 2026 | 12 | $5.1K | 5,338 | 0 | +5,338 | No | +$244 | 02-05 21:49 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | 30 | $5.0K | 6,914 | 0 | +6,914 | Yes | -$5,019 | 02-28 04:43 |
| us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294 | 8 | $4.2K | 4,600 | 0 | +4,600 | No | +$432 | 02-05 22:06 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 4 | $4.2K | 2,000 | 3,000 | -1,000 | No | +$362 | 03-18 05:16 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||