Golden-Alb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$455

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

523

Trades

1,357

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-25 22:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 46% -$835

Politics

8% 32% +$1,227

Other

2% 46% +$34

Sports

0% 40% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No		+9	$3	4¢	$0	-$3	10-25 17:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:30 UTC	15	$662	398	395	+3	Up	+$63	03-01 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:50 UTC	6	$622	399	395	+3	Up	+$22	03-03 12:54
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$519	667	667	+0	open	—	05-07 06:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:30 UTC	8	$454	281	279	+1	Down	+$4	03-24 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:10 UTC	8	$438	323	321	+2	Down	-$1	03-23 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:35 UTC	4	$424	304	301	+3	Up	+$27	03-01 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:45 UTC	4	$396	261	258	+2	Down	-$3	03-01 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:45 UTC	4	$362	317	313	+4	Up	-$38	03-03 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:25 UTC	4	$331	249	248	+2	Up	-$69	03-22 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 20:30 UTC	3	$306	342	157	+185	Down	-$192	03-03 20:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 21:55 UTC	3	$299	256	103	+153	Up	-$97	02-28 21:59
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	6	$295	273	273	+0	Yes	+$219	02-28 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 18:15 UTC	4	$275	176	176	+0	Up	+$55	03-24 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:15 UTC	8	$267	206	205	+1	Up	+$8	03-24 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 22:00 UTC	2	$259	228	225	+3	Up	+$59	02-28 22:01
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$258	159	159	+0	Yes	+$58	03-22 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 20:05 UTC	4	$254	191	188	+2	Up	+$35	03-23 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 21:45 UTC	6	$238	151	150	+1	Down	+$19	02-28 21:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$236	225	225	+0	Yes	+$212	03-01 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 16:25 UTC	3	$236	251	193	+58	Up	+$3	04-07 16:26
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$235	135	135	+0	No	+$35	03-22 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:25 UTC	2	$229	132	130	+1	Down	+$30	03-01 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 22:10 UTC	2	$229	185	182	+3	Up	+$31	02-28 22:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 21:35 UTC	5	$225	145	143	+2	Up	+$26	02-28 21:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:55 UTC	2	$224	156	154	+2	Up	+$26	03-03 12:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:00 UTC	3	$220	133	117	+15	Up	+$8	03-27 18:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 13:40 UTC	4	$217	232	103	+129	Down	-$13	03-22 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:30 UTC	2	$216	130	129	+1	Up	+$17	03-23 18:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 19:40 UTC	5	$215	276	275	+1	Down	-$25	03-23 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:20 UTC	4	$214	153	153	+1	Up	-$5	03-24 01:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:14:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2fce68…
10-25 22:10:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3e4a99…
10-25 22:09:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf6a93f…
10-25 22:08:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x92d905…
10-25 22:04:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb54ca8…
10-25 22:01:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	28	27¢	$7	0xe3eaa5…
10-25 21:21:44	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x519266…
10-25 20:53:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb49831…
10-25 20:52:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x114a2a…
10-25 20:13:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x73a4eb…
10-25 17:24:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xb08170…
10-25 17:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xef3551…
10-25 17:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9ac671…
10-25 16:43:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x3a759e…
10-25 16:38:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9a7291…
10-25 16:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x14e6b7…
10-25 16:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x549e2e…
10-25 16:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x431043…
10-25 16:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe3f350…
10-25 16:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xa76877…
10-25 16:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xd949a7…
10-25 16:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc400fc…
10-25 16:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xad749e…
10-25 16:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xee8f79…
10-25 16:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x527ad3…
10-25 16:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x47df31…
10-25 16:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x80ecab…
10-25 16:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6d9d7a…
10-25 16:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xe972bc…
10-25 16:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xa36bc2…
10-25 16:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xa2ee23…
10-25 16:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x702baa…
10-25 16:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x252b47…
10-25 16:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xefb630…
10-25 16:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x05f5bf…
10-25 16:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x6229c0…
10-25 16:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x8e2dcd…
10-25 12:26:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x75dd50…
10-25 12:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x1b222c…
10-25 12:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	69¢	$4	0xc8a021…
10-25 12:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x696ca9…
10-25 12:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x86f7a9…
10-25 10:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xee88e7…
10-25 10:41:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x79a04d…
10-25 00:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf35f5b…
10-25 00:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x4764f5…
10-25 00:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xbdb0ad…
10-24 23:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x98c9df…
10-24 22:25:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x4fea50…
10-24 22:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xaeea0a…
10-24 22:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4e8af2…
10-24 22:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x3c9141…
10-24 10:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xb6f947…
10-24 10:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0c1bab…
10-24 10:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x2f2eb0…
10-24 10:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xaf309a…
10-24 10:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x44b098…
10-24 10:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa06c88…
10-24 09:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf12efe…
10-24 09:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	38	24¢	$9	0xcc7a15…
10-24 09:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x5bb8a9…
10-24 09:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x9fd227…
10-24 09:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x98e024…
10-24 00:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0x8f2d53…
10-24 00:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x3182ec…
10-23 23:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x214a81…
10-23 23:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x81194d…
10-23 10:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	28	26¢	$7	0x1fccba…
10-23 10:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb86cc3…
10-23 06:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0x4b69af…
10-23 06:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x82df99…
10-22 19:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xffa841…
10-22 19:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x4f33a7…
10-22 19:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x4f01bb…
10-22 19:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x26196e…
10-22 19:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x65e07f…
10-22 19:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$6	0xf208db…
10-22 19:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xa53eff…
10-22 19:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x97320a…
10-22 19:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x8f2cc2…
10-22 19:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x6e5168…
10-22 19:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xe6cad4…
10-22 19:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x64b526…
10-22 19:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x95f08a…
10-22 19:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x6edcbf…
10-22 19:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x0c3b14…
10-22 19:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xd804d2…
10-22 19:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xcd6575…
10-22 19:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x87d8ef…
10-22 19:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x1a758c…
10-22 19:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd52a31…
10-22 18:59:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x257be6…
10-22 18:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0xa5ad97…
10-22 18:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdf217b…
10-22 18:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb88684…
10-22 18:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0eb19e…
10-21 18:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xb520c9…
10-21 18:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x643b3a…
10-21 12:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	26	91¢	$23	0x630681…
10-21 12:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4a4cac…