Fat-Sportsman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.58K

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

30,631

Trades

161,356

lifetime

Volume

$1.28M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$33

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-30 10:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 280 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$6,576

Other

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	—	+34	$20	98¢	$33	+$13	10-30 11:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	12	$1.9K	1,951	+1,951	Down	+$23	05-25 06:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:40 UTC	21	$1.1K	1,171	+1,171	Up	+$30	03-28 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 22:00 UTC	11	$1.1K	1,096	+1,096	Down	+$35	04-19 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:40 UTC	9	$1.0K	1,047	+1,047	Up	+$24	03-28 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:55 UTC	9	$1.0K	1,046	+1,046	Down	+$27	03-23 11:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 09:15 UTC	481	$997	1,959	+1,959	Down	-$23	06-26 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 00:00 UTC	8	$994	1,047	+1,047	Down	+$53	03-22 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 22:55 UTC	8	$971	986	+986	Up	+$15	03-29 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 22:05 UTC	8	$949	969	+969	Up	+$19	04-07 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:45 UTC	10	$945	992	+992	Up	+$47	03-30 02:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 00:00 UTC	9	$930	944	+944	Up	+$15	04-06 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	9	$866	948	+948	Down	+$82	05-04 10:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 11:30 UTC	7	$858	894	+894	Down	+$36	03-18 11:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 22:45 UTC	17	$856	880	+880	Down	+$23	03-29 22:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 09:30 UTC	402	$844	1,651	+1,651	Down	-$21	06-26 09:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:35 UTC	7	$840	854	+854	Down	+$14	04-12 01:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 01:30 UTC	10	$839	915	+915	Down	+$77	04-02 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	8	$814	848	+848	Down	+$34	04-27 05:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 23:25 UTC	17	$811	822	+822	Up	+$11	04-13 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 22:45 UTC	8	$810	853	+853	Down	+$43	03-29 22:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	19	$802	818	+818	Up	+$16	03-31 15:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:30 UTC	16	$802	823	+823	Up	+$21	04-13 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 23:30 UTC	10	$794	877	+877	Down	+$83	04-07 23:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 12:45 UTC	19	$781	804	+804	Down	+$23	04-01 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 23:10 UTC	9	$778	792	+792	Down	+$14	03-28 23:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:40 UTC	6	$771	787	+787	Up	+$16	03-31 16:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:15 UTC	6	$750	766	+766	Up	+$16	04-13 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 19:45 UTC	7	$744	771	+771	Up	+$27	04-07 19:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 14:50 UTC	17	$744	759	+759	Down	+$15	03-31 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$741	749	+749	Up	+$9	05-26 23:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x206f3e…
10-30 11:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x1b3f1d…
10-30 11:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xc6ab27…
10-30 11:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x1a19a5…
10-30 10:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x587dac…
10-30 10:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4c3cee…
10-30 10:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x9297da…
10-30 10:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x7d2ec0…
10-30 10:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xcaa75a…
10-30 10:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x84e38d…
10-30 09:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xd013e9…
10-30 09:02:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x0607e3…
10-30 08:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x8f90ea…
10-30 08:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4da7c8…
10-30 08:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x17853b…
10-30 08:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xf3162a…
10-30 08:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x56ce9f…
10-30 07:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xdb6410…
10-30 06:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0xfd486b…
10-30 06:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x43fbf2…
10-30 06:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0xc96565…
10-30 06:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x93f4eb…
10-30 06:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xf79dec…
10-30 06:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0xffe4a4…
10-30 06:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xb2d785…
10-30 06:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0x11213c…
10-30 06:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xdc48a3…
10-30 06:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xe8ff81…
10-30 05:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x498fb3…
10-30 05:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	61¢	$20	0x77dbe2…
10-30 05:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x01b76f…
10-30 05:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x62405b…
10-30 05:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x2e037c…
10-30 05:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc36803…
10-30 05:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x574c1a…
10-30 05:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4df12b…
10-30 05:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x85781c…
10-30 05:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa5f1ec…
10-30 05:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0xba3e8d…
10-30 05:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x45af0a…
10-30 04:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x2eb4a0…
10-30 04:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x376eac…
10-30 04:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x7a21e6…
10-30 04:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x91513d…
10-30 04:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x176ac0…
10-30 04:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xd01d1b…
10-30 03:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xf65bf5…
10-30 03:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x25d8d5…
10-30 03:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x434448…
10-30 03:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xa7cf60…
10-30 03:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x882278…
10-30 03:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x936360…
10-30 03:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0x8af4f1…
10-30 03:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xa2c02f…
10-30 03:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x15240d…
10-30 03:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xead3ff…
10-30 02:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	61¢	$20	0xeb9a64…
10-30 02:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x20c2f4…
10-30 02:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xa163b1…
10-30 02:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xb192e5…
10-30 02:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x5b6bc0…
10-30 02:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xb2d304…
10-30 02:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x46f164…
10-30 02:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1fa726…
10-30 02:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xbe57b2…
10-30 02:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x35d4b0…
10-30 02:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0x4948d9…
10-30 01:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	56¢	$9	0xf70e47…
10-30 01:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x337dbf…
10-30 01:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x68dcec…
10-30 01:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x253ebf…
10-30 01:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x7ffacd…
10-30 01:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x0d26f5…
10-30 01:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xd0f5b2…
10-30 01:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	34	28¢	$10	0xd03607…
10-30 01:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x679c42…
10-30 01:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf4f52a…
10-30 01:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x3d7174…
10-30 01:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xdb94fa…
10-30 01:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0x57d498…
10-30 01:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x93d430…
10-30 01:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5fb5ad…
10-30 00:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0xae97e5…
10-30 00:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0xbcae40…
10-30 00:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x026335…
10-30 00:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	75¢	$20	0x0d8617…
10-30 00:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xd12e2e…
10-30 00:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x719f20…
10-30 00:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0x0df000…
10-30 00:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xcbd3c5…
10-30 00:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	75¢	$20	0xc74cef…
10-30 00:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0xd1be33…
10-30 00:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x477b8e…
10-30 00:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x9378c8…
10-30 00:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xb81e9c…
10-30 00:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x83285d…
10-30 00:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x06b033…
10-30 00:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	67¢	$20	0xd5540a…
10-30 00:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x327747…
10-29 23:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xe20877…