Quaint-Chamber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$221

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$92.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$392

Open exposure

$1.79K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-03 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

70% 100% +$92

Other

18% 100% +$1

Crypto

13% 100% +$128

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No		+2,200	$1,760	82¢	$1.8K	+$33	06-03 08:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	9	$14.2K	18,692	0	+18,692	open	—	04-10 17:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	33	$8.9K	6,206	8,115	-1,909	open	—	04-08 00:13
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	33	$6.0K	6,405	6,405	+0	open	—	04-09 01:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$5.7K	3,250	3,250	+0	open	—	04-08 00:12
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-03 20:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$3.3K	3,425	0	+3,425	open	—	05-08 03:00
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	2	$3.2K	1,581	1,581	+0	open	—	04-04 00:09
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$3.1K	3,393	0	+3,393	open	—	05-14 13:12
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	7	$2.8K	2,938	0	+2,938	open	—	04-05 10:23
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	1	$2.7K	2,812	0	+2,812	open	—	05-16 11:17
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$2.5K	2,981	0	+2,981	open	—	05-24 12:23
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	12	$2.5K	1,410	1,315	+95	open	—	04-20 21:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.4K	2,599	0	+2,599	open	—	05-04 16:18
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	8	$2.2K	2,286	0	+2,286	open	—	05-24 01:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,088	0	+2,088	No	+$81	05-09 11:48
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$2.0K	2,006	0	+2,006	No	+$6	05-02 15:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	1	$1.8K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	06-03 08:11
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?	6	$1.7K	1,753	0	+1,753	open	—	04-04 23:52
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	3	$1.5K	1,521	0	+1,521	open	—	04-30 05:10
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	9	$1.4K	1,211	1,211	+0	open	—	04-30 05:09
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	4	$1.4K	1,973	1,973	+0	open	—	04-30 05:08
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	13	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	04-04 05:07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$1.2K	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	04-08 00:14
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	3	$1.1K	1,131	0	+1,131	open	—	04-18 01:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,481	0	+1,481	open	—	04-25 13:32
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$1.0K	1,006	0	+1,006	No	+$5	05-12 16:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$900	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-03 21:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	5	$890	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-18 01:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$834	1,055	0	+1,055	open	—	05-18 15:55
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	7	$716	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	04-30 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 08:11:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	2,200	80¢	$1,760	0x0f7cc6…
05-24 12:23:21	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x40707c…
05-24 01:28:49	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,627	96¢	$1,556	0x53c0b0…
05-22 12:32:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x2a7902…
05-22 12:30:26	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8d57c4…
05-22 12:28:17	Will James Garner be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7e9989…
05-19 18:10:51	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe828ab…
05-18 15:55:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,055	79¢	$834	0x685d8a…
05-16 11:17:20	U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,812	97¢	$2,713	0x54c82e…
05-16 10:55:27	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xa3bb43…
05-16 10:51:15	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x97227c…
05-16 10:09:00	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x104a9c…
05-16 09:47:21	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x35ecff…
05-16 09:15:44	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	156	93¢	$145	0x549c3c…
05-16 09:03:17	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	286	93¢	$266	0xc89e03…
05-16 08:47:37	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0xcd854e…
05-14 13:12:41	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfcf5a8…
05-14 13:12:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	530	95¢	$505	0xaae879…
05-13 20:37:41	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	359	96¢	$344	0x3253ab…
05-13 20:30:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xa57b9a…
05-13 20:29:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	117	96¢	$112	0xfe072e…
05-12 16:20:52	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1,006	100¢	$1,001	0xd6f5fa…
05-12 10:39:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,335	89¢	$2,079	0x426fbb…
05-09 11:48:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2,075	96¢	$1,994	0x2a9d64…
05-09 11:47:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x2cb4f8…
05-08 03:00:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	267	97¢	$258	0x7e43f0…
05-04 16:18:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	425	92¢	$391	0x33c61c…
05-02 15:03:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,174	92¢	$2,000	0xa5050e…
05-02 15:03:12	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	2,976	84¢	$2,500	0xf547ce…
05-02 15:02:40	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	2,006	100¢	$2,000	0xa5b340…
05-02 15:01:46	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	100¢	$257	0x92d6c4…
05-02 15:00:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	3,158	95¢	$3,000	0x79b86d…
04-30 05:10:26	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	348	99¢	$346	0x31f9ea…
04-30 05:09:56	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	1,211	30¢	$365	0x789ec6…
04-30 05:09:20	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x3df2d2…
04-30 05:08:58	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	SELL	1,973	5¢	$99	0x99f582…
04-30 05:08:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,400	2¢	$32	0x5474b1…
04-30 05:08:24	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	1,049	99¢	$1,042	0xbbe211…
04-25 13:32:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	528	95¢	$501	0x1635b2…
04-20 21:41:44	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x7f41a8…
04-20 21:40:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,100	8¢	$93	0x833b5b…
04-19 13:49:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	953	63¢	$600	0x9da4d3…
04-19 13:49:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	265,565	0¢	$531	0x39e94e…
04-18 01:53:34	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	471	99¢	$469	0x6b06c4…
04-18 01:52:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,000	9¢	$90	0x521c22…
04-18 01:52:42	Will Solana dip to $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,000	6¢	$60	0xa96847…
04-14 17:41:34	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	286	97¢	$277	0x32fa07…
04-14 17:41:30	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	373	97¢	$362	0xd0b1bb…
04-14 16:18:35	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0xd7f8c4…
04-11 20:05:55	ere her aja 2026 04 11 aja	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc8419d…
04-11 20:05:19	will zhu jiner win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	Yes	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0x20f8d9…
04-11 19:56:39	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	734	61¢	$448	0x9374fd…
04-10 17:14:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	3,825	46¢	$1,753	0xd5bd24…
04-09 01:30:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	379	55¢	$209	0x507319…
04-09 01:30:33	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	SELL	6,405	3¢	$209	0x816030…
04-08 00:16:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,598	76¢	$1,208	0x5141de…
04-08 00:15:55	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,315	92¢	$1,208	0xca32d8…
04-08 00:15:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,040	74¢	$772	0x9dd09b…
04-08 00:14:41	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	1,013	37¢	$377	0x60d5be…
04-08 00:14:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	3,965	76¢	$3,024	0x33c44a…
04-08 00:13:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	8,115	37¢	$3,024	0xaed44d…
04-08 00:13:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2,186	74¢	$1,620	0x6899dd…
04-08 00:12:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,625	100¢	$1,620	0xe57b18…
04-07 13:00:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	3,019	99¢	$2,983	0xaf44ac…
04-05 23:36:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	832	90¢	$749	0xd7afad…
04-05 21:18:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcfc592…
04-05 20:34:27	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x7ac2b3…
04-05 20:25:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	213	90¢	$192	0x24fa88…
04-05 16:54:09	will zhu jiner win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x28cdc4…
04-05 16:52:23	will zhu jiner win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xba1c46…
04-05 16:29:47	will zhu jiner win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xc668e2…
04-05 16:29:11	will zhu jiner win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xd02e41…
04-05 14:28:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x6ec3cb…
04-05 13:45:27	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x2205dd…
04-05 12:57:15	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xd716f8…
04-05 12:57:15	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1b066c…
04-05 12:57:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	644	90¢	$580	0xbe67c8…
04-05 12:33:27	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	No	BUY	250	85¢	$212	0xb8e35f…
04-05 12:27:57	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	388	25¢	$97	0x63c4f0…
04-05 11:28:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x96eb84…
04-05 11:07:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	600	96¢	$576	0x2374ab…
04-05 10:58:51	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xb0b459…
04-05 10:23:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xcdb4cd…
04-05 09:09:03	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	112	25¢	$28	0x85cf4e…
04-05 07:14:27	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	485	90¢	$436	0x07f04e…
04-05 05:24:11	chess pr fcarua 2026 04 05 r7 black	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xb405d7…
04-05 05:23:15	chess pr fcarua 2026 04 05 r7 black	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc8a918…
04-05 03:34:05	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x65b852…
04-05 03:27:03	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xe58e3b…
04-05 03:24:31	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	90¢	$85	0x4f450f…
04-05 03:20:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x4957e5…
04-05 03:15:09	USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,218	50¢	$609	0x6b3004…
04-05 03:14:17	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb56b02…
04-05 01:39:43	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	172	90¢	$155	0xcd57d3…
04-05 01:39:25	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	98	90¢	$88	0x8d95e8…
04-04 23:57:51	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	126	91¢	$115	0x92ae20…
04-04 23:52:37	Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x721753…
04-04 23:50:37	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x899e9b…
04-04 23:50:05	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	178	91¢	$162	0xb02771…
04-04 23:06:05	Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xf9780c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	41	$400.7K	7,425	06-09 22:48
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	40	$49.4K	458	05-29 21:27
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	39	$25.5K	2,537	05-29 16:39
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	38	$12.2M	15,709	06-09 19:18
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	36	$304.3K	20,899	06-03 01:11
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	36	$2.15K	1,662	05-30 01:13
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	35	$1.62K	801	05-29 14:53
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	33	$343.2K	3,528	05-31 15:18