Tepid-History — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$851

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

699

Trades

1,320

lifetime

Volume

$39.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 09-08 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% -$851

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$678	358	358	+0	Up	+$30	05-15 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$650	339	339	+0	Down	+$22	05-15 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$629	328	328	+0	Down	+$19	05-15 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 11:25 UTC	3	$521	438	256	+182	Up	+$50	04-24 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$432	228	228	+0	Up	+$21	05-16 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 11:45 UTC	1	$416	425	0	+425	Down	+$8	04-24 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$412	234	231	+3	Up	+$32	04-25 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$406	212	212	+0	Down	+$14	05-16 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$399	388	388	+0	Up	-$277	05-16 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 11:35 UTC	1	$392	396	0	+396	Down	+$4	04-24 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:05 UTC	1	$372	389	0	+389	Up	+$17	04-22 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:50 UTC	3	$370	325	133	+192	Down	+$23	04-24 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	11	$347	328	179	+148	Down	-$95	04-25 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:35 UTC	2	$341	244	239	+5	Down	+$8	04-24 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$337	343	0	+343	Up	+$7	04-25 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:55 UTC	2	$290	170	167	+3	Up	+$44	04-20 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	14	$290	213	107	+106	Down	+$9	04-27 18:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 12:05 UTC	2	$281	262	258	+4	Down	-$143	04-24 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$267	152	152	+0	Down	+$21	04-30 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$267	201	103	+97	Up	+$16	04-27 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:00 UTC	1	$266	268	0	+268	Up	+$3	04-22 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$259	170	170	+0	Down	-$7	04-30 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	8	$256	176	176	+0	Down	+$26	05-01 09:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 07:35 UTC	1	$252	285	0	+285	Up	-$252	04-24 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 07:30 UTC	1	$252	276	0	+276	Down	+$24	04-24 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 11:30 UTC	2	$250	243	95	+149	Up	+$51	04-24 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:30 UTC	2	$247	146	144	+2	Up	+$4	04-20 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$239	244	0	+244	Up	-$239	04-25 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 19:50 UTC	1	$237	269	0	+269	Down	+$32	04-23 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$235	240	0	+240	Up	+$5	04-25 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 15:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1a3116…
09-08 15:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	42	62¢	$26	0x0de800…
09-08 15:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x5f2e22…
06-17 15:44:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xff80c8…
06-15 21:23:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x46df21…
06-15 21:17:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd4e1a4…
06-15 21:12:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf4c484…
06-14 22:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xda84fe…
06-14 22:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xcd4e44…
06-12 11:48:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xf99828…
06-12 11:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$3	0x9246d7…
06-05 15:26:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x55963b…
06-05 15:24:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xa9c50b…
06-05 14:29:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xf4cdf3…
06-05 14:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x317e12…
06-05 14:26:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x61d4da…
06-05 14:26:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Up	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0x41e985…
06-05 14:26:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x823fdb…
06-04 12:16:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9996c0…
06-04 08:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd77fff…
06-04 08:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4cd046…
06-04 08:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3e250c…
06-04 08:27:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x9f27ef…
06-04 07:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x23f386…
06-04 07:36:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x413739…
06-04 07:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7ed753…
06-03 10:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5cde7d…
06-03 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x61da9f…
06-03 10:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x19e2f4…
06-03 10:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5cd2d6…
06-02 10:48:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xccd408…
06-02 10:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xfd33e7…
06-02 10:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x842bb1…
06-02 10:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x2113eb…
06-02 10:03:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x4ad621…
06-02 10:02:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe9146b…
06-02 09:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfb249c…
06-02 09:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x868b47…
06-02 08:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9f71ae…
06-02 08:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb65313…
06-02 08:34:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6141cf…
06-02 08:34:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2699cf…
06-02 08:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc9c5f2…
06-02 08:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0xb1f5f6…
06-02 08:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x473580…
06-02 07:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x07dd76…
06-02 07:48:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdcc3b8…
06-02 07:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8dde79…
06-02 07:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xff84ce…
06-02 07:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3849e6…
06-02 07:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb104f3…
06-02 07:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa5d9eb…
06-02 07:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbeab77…
06-02 07:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc833db…
06-02 07:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x87d5ca…
06-02 07:02:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x566f76…
06-02 07:02:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x01029d…
06-02 06:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x45b4ac…
06-02 06:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x386bc3…
06-02 06:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4a42b1…
06-02 06:12:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1b3c63…
06-01 15:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x34df5a…
06-01 15:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x194ef0…
06-01 15:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x076488…
06-01 15:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xee4e8a…
06-01 14:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x986be0…
06-01 14:23:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6b4232…
06-01 14:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x443252…
06-01 14:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0aaf95…
06-01 13:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdb0820…
06-01 13:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3f269c…
06-01 13:28:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x69f07b…
06-01 13:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcbf1b8…
06-01 12:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x74c25b…
06-01 12:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3f88a7…
06-01 10:58:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x948a00…
06-01 10:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x10253b…
06-01 10:13:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xbd4836…
06-01 10:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x056a30…
06-01 09:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf39375…
06-01 09:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8ca175…
06-01 09:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x242bfd…
06-01 09:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xbe04d3…
06-01 09:43:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x6780ef…
06-01 09:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xd10ffb…
06-01 09:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa5b53b…
06-01 08:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb75f0e…
06-01 08:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9ecac0…
06-01 08:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x20eb1a…
06-01 08:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf80f9f…
06-01 08:34:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5f461c…
06-01 08:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x115db4…
06-01 08:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd2a142…
06-01 08:18:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xad1b9e…
06-01 08:18:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x53543d…
06-01 08:18:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0214cd…
06-01 07:58:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6169eb…
06-01 07:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb858cc…
06-01 07:32:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5047d3…
06-01 07:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xecc543…