Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$467

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-11 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

70% 36% -$16

Politics

26% 82% $0

Crypto

3% 33% -$2

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?	Yes	+16	$4	44¢	$7	+$3	11-11 03:47
Will Claude Fable 5.2 debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 80% or higher?	No	+5	$5	90¢	$5	$0	11-11 00:57
Will Claude Fable 5.2 debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	+5	$5	89¢	$4	$0	11-10 23:18
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	+22	$2	18¢	$4	+$2	11-08 06:59
Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	Yes	+5	$2	51¢	$3	+$0	11-10 15:13
Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%?	No	+3	$2	74¢	$2	+$0	11-10 19:43
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	No	+5	$2	44¢	$2	+$0	11-09 22:38
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	No	+2	$2	88¢	$2	+$0	11-06 15:55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+168	$4	1¢	$2	-$2	11-09 14:18
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	+5	$2	36¢	$2	$0	11-08 17:23
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	+12	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	11-05 23:58
Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	No	+5	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	11-06 01:28
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	+42	$6	0¢	$0	-$6	11-10 22:47
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	+3	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-07 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 03:47:15	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xabfdb1…
11-11 03:45:52	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0xdb6b8d…
11-11 03:31:01	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x9d012a…
11-11 02:59:19	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xfd8980…
11-11 02:56:55	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7a4c07…
11-11 02:50:42	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x2cbbcf…
11-11 00:57:42	Will Claude Fable 5.2 debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 80% or higher?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa37c64…
11-11 00:48:45	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x21d280…
11-11 00:46:22	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xdfd00c…
11-11 00:29:21	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x177809…
11-11 00:25:51	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x71f5a1…
11-10 23:23:09	will kai cenat finish his gta marathon by november 11 159 am et	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf014b0…
11-10 23:18:21	Will Claude Fable 5.2 debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x548488…
11-10 22:47:55	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0x09b342…
11-10 22:34:21	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xbea8b3…
11-10 22:34:06	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xad8c0b…
11-10 22:27:54	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0xef9c14…
11-10 22:26:13	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x47dccd…
11-10 22:19:55	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd1c698…
11-10 22:18:27	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x25b154…
11-10 22:09:51	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x3e63c8…
11-10 22:09:48	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xc20251…
11-10 22:00:06	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xac7c6a…
11-10 20:58:54	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x38c9c7…
11-10 20:29:09	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xd4cb00…
11-10 19:43:22	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x6a2eee…
11-10 19:18:16	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1e7498…
11-10 19:18:07	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x84f9ac…
11-10 15:13:04	Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf0a49e…
11-10 13:32:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xfd149d…
11-10 13:29:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x44364e…
11-10 13:06:37	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xa69100…
11-10 12:57:51	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xdf3985…
11-10 08:09:46	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0xbc4879…
11-10 05:34:45	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x912628…
11-10 05:06:37	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	61	5¢	$3	0x3ae183…
11-10 04:08:58	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0x386ae5…
11-10 03:25:55	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x4e2b25…
11-10 02:29:04	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x823b4b…
11-10 01:14:27	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xfd7297…
11-10 01:05:18	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x2239cb…
11-10 00:42:22	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2393ce…
11-10 00:16:57	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x51b859…
11-09 23:28:12	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xaa2f1b…
11-09 23:10:25	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x30ed68…
11-09 22:38:10	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x371152…
11-09 21:16:43	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xe07a7e…
11-09 17:06:04	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb205bc…
11-09 16:40:42	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x0db758…
11-09 15:26:55	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x78cbc2…
11-09 15:26:46	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xc05ae0…
11-09 15:26:27	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xd7668f…
11-09 15:26:18	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xdd192b…
11-09 15:23:16	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x833d0b…
11-09 15:22:34	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x672185…
11-09 15:22:18	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xced03d…
11-09 14:18:15	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xfc42bd…
11-09 05:19:54	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0xe2e5a2…
11-09 05:17:07	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xca66a7…
11-09 04:49:37	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xb8f986…
11-09 04:44:34	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x297c39…
11-08 22:54:49	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x6d74e3…
11-08 22:22:24	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on November 10?	No	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x6163b6…
11-08 17:23:45	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3cd857…
11-08 16:55:27	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1c1613…
11-08 06:59:34	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x29f77b…
11-08 06:14:28	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0xd3b2e0…
11-07 21:37:18	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x9de4a3…
11-07 20:34:42	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x127cbc…
11-07 09:16:24	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdf50e8…
11-07 08:05:09	Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x375c4d…
11-07 08:05:07	Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xab8a74…
11-07 07:31:54	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x46a1c5…
11-07 05:53:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdc0024…
11-07 03:16:58	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7ac665…
11-07 02:40:40	Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x57422e…
11-07 01:40:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6ef21f…
11-07 00:35:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x135cfb…
11-07 00:25:31	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x6f8218…
11-07 00:20:34	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc2974d…
11-06 22:56:30	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe3e0f4…
11-06 22:39:34	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xd5ea7b…
11-06 22:28:37	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xdd23b6…
11-06 22:15:34	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x4ccb16…
11-06 18:33:21	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3f1376…
11-06 15:55:01	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe2105d…
11-06 07:42:27	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x9aa47b…
11-06 07:42:25	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb96114…
11-06 03:56:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xd0adad…
11-06 01:52:12	Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xd5888b…
11-06 01:28:31	Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xd90bc8…
11-06 01:28:25	Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9800dd…
11-06 00:47:04	Will Trump say "China" at Cape Canaveral?	Yes	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x96dc87…
11-05 23:58:03	Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xb5d873…
11-05 23:44:37	Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa921fa…
11-05 21:24:39	Will Trump say "China" at Cape Canaveral?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb5ddde…
11-05 21:24:39	Will Trump say "China" at Cape Canaveral?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x13039d…
11-05 20:57:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb23959…
11-05 18:24:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2e8004…
11-05 16:54:18	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x4028dc…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	28	$190	461	419	+42	open	—	11-10 22:47
will nsc be part of the next government of the netherlands	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	$0	01-10 02:37
will yoweri kaguta museveni win the 2026 ugandan presidential election	3	$18	12	6	+6	Yes	+$0	01-15 15:30
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	10	$18	17	17	-0	open	—	11-11 00:48
us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	01-27 20:24
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	2	$14	18	18	+0	No	-$13	01-30 20:40
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$0	01-26 11:44
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	9	$13	17	16	+0	open	—	11-10 20:29
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	01-25 23:14
jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 13 2026 4pt94	3	$12	23	12	+11	No	$0	01-13 12:12
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-12 13:31
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-14 00:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 08:00 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	01-09 08:14
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	5	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	11-10 12:57
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?	7	$7	24	8	+16	open	—	11-11 03:47
Will Trump say "China" at Cape Canaveral?	3	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	-$1	11-06 00:47
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	5	$6	12	8	+4	No	-$2	11-07 05:53
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 16 2026 412	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-16 13:36
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-15 15:53
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	2	$5	3	3	+0	T1	+$1	11-06 22:39
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	11-07 09:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$5	15	15	+0	open	—	11-10 13:32
Will Claude Fable 5.2 debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	11-10 23:18
Will Claude Fable 5.2 debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 80% or higher?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	11-11 00:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$4	168	0	+168	open	—	11-09 14:18
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	11-07 00:25
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	11-06 07:42
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	4	$3	7	4	+3	open	—	11-07 08:05
Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	11-10 15:13
Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%?	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	11-10 19:43