Live-Bust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$155

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

32.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$161

Open exposure

$974

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-13 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 67% $-155

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No		-948	$-914	98¢	$-934	$-20	05-13 09:26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No		-60	$-54	67¢	$-40	+$14	05-09 02:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	2	$1.3K	181	1,129	-948	open	—	05-13 09:26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	8	$781	615	510	+105	open	—	05-13 03:28
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$106	0	264	-264	No	$-158	05-05 13:02
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$54	0	60	-60	open	—	05-09 02:55
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$48	50	0	+50	No	+$2	05-06 16:31
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$2	0	2	-2	Yes	+$2	05-11 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:26:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	1,129	96¢	$1,086	0x63b5f7…
05-13 04:12:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	181	95¢	$172	0xa93e16…
05-13 03:28:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	8¢	$11	0xf37d2f…
05-13 03:28:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	9¢	$10	0xc38c6f…
05-13 01:58:22	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x9852d6…
05-13 01:56:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0x99fc26…
05-13 01:02:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x0acfc1…
05-13 01:02:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x26c13c…
05-13 01:02:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	349	87¢	$303	0x72c8a1…
05-13 01:02:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	66	85¢	$56	0x669846…
05-11 11:23:10	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x4dd9dd…
05-09 02:55:26	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0x604ea2…
05-06 16:31:50	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x48d009…
05-05 13:02:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	264	40¢	$106	0x4cf85e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	6	$16.9K	362	05-13 09:15
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	5	$1.56K	64	05-13 09:15
Ondra 0x849c…4009	5	$1.19K	45	05-13 08:51
Cool-Impostor 0x04a2…e16c	5	$979	18	05-12 21:11
Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b	5	$951	56	05-13 09:58
Fussy-Dad 0xa59c…bb62	5	$949	8	05-13 04:16
Delicious-Peacoat 0xd897…9b49	5	$895	6	05-13 07:31
Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905	5	$634	39	05-13 09:24