Unsteady-Battle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$272

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved

Trades

568

lifetime

Volume

$33.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-07 04:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 50% $-58

Other

42% 53% +$392

Sports

4% 25% $-607

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-600	$-35	4¢	$-24	+$11	06-07 04:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	7	$3.7K	2,465	2,465	+0	open	—	05-01 17:45
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	12	$1.9K	1,577	1,229	+348	Lucknow Super Giants	+$91	05-07 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$1.6K	912	912	+0	Down	+$192	05-09 13:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	5	$1.2K	1,928	1,928	+0	open	—	05-16 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$1.1K	1,021	1,021	+0	Up	+$59	05-09 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	71	$893	725	725	+0	Up	+$193	05-09 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$779	591	591	+0	open	—	05-16 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	29	$759	612	612	+0	Down	+$159	05-09 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$701	527	527	+0	Down	+$101	05-11 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	21	$602	615	492	+123	open	—	05-03 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$545	508	508	+0	Up	+$145	05-11 12:16
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	6	$496	2,689	401	+2,288	Royal Challengers Bangalore	$-24	05-10 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$494	1,490	0	+1,490	Down	$-494	05-11 17:06
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$463	400	394	+6	open	—	04-27 19:14
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	2	$406	600	600	+0	open	—	05-11 13:59
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	2	$394	1,034	0	+1,034	open	—	05-17 12:00
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	3	$377	319	319	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$147	05-04 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$375	992	992	+0	Down	$-25	05-10 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$375	304	304	+0	Down	+$35	05-09 23:24
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Hyderabad Kingsmen	6	$370	691	600	+91	open	—	05-01 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$356	317	317	+0	open	—	05-01 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	40	$352	404	404	+0	Up	+$92	05-10 16:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	4	$351	646	646	+0	open	—	05-16 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$346	288	288	+0	Up	+$46	05-10 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	14	$322	267	267	+0	Down	+$62	05-09 22:47
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	3	$317	355	250	+105	open	—	05-03 12:06
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	3	$301	231	231	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$161	05-12 17:48
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$294	372	372	+0	open	—	05-17 01:24
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?	2	$292	250	246	+4	open	—	04-27 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$277	301	301	+0	Up	+$77	05-10 23:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 04:22:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	6¢	$35	0xa02c3d…
05-17 12:00:22	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Punjab Kings	BUY	514	28¢	$144	0xc84d76…
05-17 01:24:50	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	SELL	372	40¢	$149	0x789c90…
05-16 22:53:04	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	372	39¢	$145	0x698259…
05-16 22:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	91	36¢	$33	0x707cf6…
05-16 22:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x37d0ef…
05-16 21:32:08	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Punjab Kings	BUY	521	48¢	$250	0x0422b2…
05-16 21:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x5bc7e8…
05-16 21:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	467	68¢	$318	0x3abe95…
05-16 21:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	124	74¢	$92	0xa2b194…
05-16 21:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	591	62¢	$369	0x86d073…
05-16 21:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0xe3fdf6…
05-16 21:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	67	28¢	$19	0xf93525…
05-16 21:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x6316ba…
05-16 21:00:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	376	21¢	$79	0x49bb5b…
05-16 21:00:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	953	36¢	$343	0xb40f24…
05-13 18:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x33a9f2…
05-13 18:10:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	270	19¢	$52	0x014b28…
05-13 18:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	370	26¢	$96	0x2f07d7…
05-13 17:25:17	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	113	31¢	$35	0x90168e…
05-13 16:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	75¢	$22	0x6e72ba…
05-13 16:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	54	75¢	$41	0x07c1d5…
05-13 16:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xc64270…
05-13 15:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0xc9f515…
05-13 12:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x8fd41f…
05-13 12:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x6812ad…
05-13 12:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x184dd1…
05-13 12:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x0ccfc0…
05-13 12:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0xeef94c…
05-13 12:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xeb9cde…
05-13 12:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xe0c4f3…
05-13 12:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xc36382…
05-13 12:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x740b94…
05-13 12:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	134	55¢	$74	0x32c6d1…
05-13 12:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xdb5f33…
05-13 12:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	182	58¢	$106	0xa0cbef…
05-13 12:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0x5d1e1d…
05-12 20:00:17	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x4f0d67…
05-12 17:48:11	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Gujarat Titans	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0xefd3c8…
05-12 14:55:54	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Gujarat Titans	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xd52005…
05-12 14:13:10	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Gujarat Titans	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x7cfbd0…
05-12 12:40:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	SELL	360	25¢	$90	0xf7cae5…
05-12 04:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	764	7¢	$50	0x3a7545…
05-11 21:50:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	360	28¢	$100	0x21b713…
05-11 21:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	243	66¢	$160	0x3459cb…
05-11 21:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	243	27¢	$65	0x5ad5e2…
05-11 21:38:40	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x261b4d…
05-11 21:38:00	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x6fe244…
05-11 21:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x1763be…
05-11 21:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	391	33¢	$129	0x9f5756…
05-11 21:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	527	76¢	$401	0x6bcea0…
05-11 21:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	527	57¢	$300	0x1b11b2…
05-11 21:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	214	9¢	$20	0x0abec9…
05-11 21:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	172	78¢	$134	0x274f16…
05-11 21:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	172	54¢	$93	0x22ef1f…
05-11 21:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	404	25¢	$100	0xd91601…
05-11 17:40:56	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	SELL	160	40¢	$63	0x5165bb…
05-11 17:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	762	12¢	$94	0xa17333…
05-11 17:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	727	55¢	$400	0xc0c050…
05-11 17:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xb1019f…
05-11 17:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xf6dd4e…
05-11 17:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x7b6da0…
05-11 17:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x175189…
05-11 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xfd8d67…
05-11 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xefdfee…
05-11 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	64	25¢	$16	0xda2313…
05-11 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xd3e9d9…
05-11 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x9963de…
05-11 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7e7e0a…
05-11 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x6776e9…
05-11 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x5e6ba8…
05-11 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x16e8e6…
05-11 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xdd5574…
05-11 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xbbb668…
05-11 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0xb87a26…
05-11 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xac6c8e…
05-11 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9d996f…
05-11 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x949d7e…
05-11 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x6d740c…
05-11 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x673e61…
05-11 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x6377b3…
05-11 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x12185d…
05-11 16:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	250	47¢	$116	0xe953cb…
05-11 16:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x3ec5f0…
05-11 16:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	188	79¢	$149	0x593d17…
05-11 16:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x869d96…
05-11 16:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0xda41bb…
05-11 16:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	235	13¢	$30	0x5f4f76…
05-11 14:18:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xa9b494…
05-11 14:16:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	953	31¢	$300	0x3720b8…
05-11 14:09:46	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x8fc83a…
05-11 13:59:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	Yes	SELL	600	48¢	$286	0xae8eb6…
05-11 13:21:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	SELL	167	32¢	$53	0x26b590…
05-11 13:11:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	976	30¢	$296	0x688f1c…
05-11 12:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	508	68¢	$345	0xf9267f…
05-11 12:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	508	39¢	$200	0x83e5b0…
05-11 12:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	352	27¢	$96	0x91e055…
05-11 12:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x4cb3d6…
05-11 00:24:30	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	194	57¢	$111	0x8129a4…
05-11 00:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	199	14¢	$28	0x1ceeb6…