Orderly-Pumpkin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$718

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-11 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	3	$77	48	48	+0	Up	+$17	05-08 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	7	$43	55	29	+25	Down	$-7	05-11 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$32	39	39	+0	Up	$-18	05-11 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$32	36	36	+0	Up	+$22	05-08 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$30	46	0	+46	Up	+$16	05-11 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$30	43	0	+43	Down	+$13	05-08 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$30	48	0	+48	Down	+$4	05-11 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$29	44	43	+1	Down	$-21	05-11 10:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	3	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-08 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	Down	$-25	05-11 09:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$25	78	0	+78	Up	$-25	05-08 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	Up	+$15	05-11 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$25	32	0	+32	Down	+$7	05-08 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	Up	+$15	05-11 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	Down	$-25	05-11 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Down	+$3	05-11 10:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	4	$25	482	482	+0	Yes	$-3	05-08 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$24	41	0	+41	Up	+$16	05-11 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$13	19	19	+0	Down	$-7	05-11 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	2	$12	22	22	+0	Down	$-6	05-11 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$10	19	10	+9	Up	$-1	05-11 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	05-11 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	Down	$-4	05-11 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-11 10:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-08 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-11 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-08 11:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 14:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x4de3ab…
05-11 12:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x1af151…
05-11 12:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x8b4637…
05-11 12:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xec0bf0…
05-11 12:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeaf4fa…
05-11 12:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x76a346…
05-11 12:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7a18ff…
05-11 12:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x4a94ee…
05-11 12:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf794d4…
05-11 11:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9337c2…
05-11 11:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x844a01…
05-11 11:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x430a8a…
05-11 11:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x52b97f…
05-11 11:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdb2782…
05-11 11:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xcfdb74…
05-11 11:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe49c45…
05-11 11:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaed6fc…
05-11 11:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xebf06a…
05-11 11:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2e91db…
05-11 10:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5a6f73…
05-11 10:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5fe7a5…
05-11 10:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	43	10¢	$4	0x3e7d91…
05-11 10:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x9a2ee4…
05-11 10:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x62b9d8…
05-11 10:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0xd8bfc9…
05-11 10:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8f24ea…
05-11 10:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8a096e…
05-11 10:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xa97125…
05-11 10:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x82690d…
05-11 10:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7b6d39…
05-11 10:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x3c8e0d…
05-11 10:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xa71135…
05-11 10:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x620a65…
05-11 10:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x3c121f…
05-11 09:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	60¢	$24	0x71b29e…
05-11 09:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9aa81a…
05-11 09:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0xb5d123…
05-11 09:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xc79931…
05-11 09:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xef5b5c…
05-11 09:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x13702d…
05-11 09:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x111e6c…
05-11 09:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x55386e…
05-11 09:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc91a7d…
05-08 19:02:45	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x15b021…
05-08 19:02:31	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xd36946…
05-08 15:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	48	100¢	$47	0xb7cc6d…
05-08 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x9f3518…
05-08 14:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8a48e0…
05-08 13:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x43c8a7…
05-08 13:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xe4d7a9…
05-08 13:27:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x01bcaf…
05-08 13:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xc7a3be…
05-08 13:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe559b0…
05-08 12:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36	75¢	$27	0xb9243a…
05-08 12:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x47960b…
05-08 11:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xdff7f3…
05-08 11:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd2aff7…
05-08 11:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc8f87d…
05-08 11:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed1311…
05-08 11:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb96636…
05-08 11:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc32f35…
05-08 11:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc9a67a…
05-08 11:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x247728…
05-08 10:31:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd5444d…
05-08 10:06:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1e6854…
05-08 09:37:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	482	2¢	$11	0x46e092…
05-08 09:30:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0xbedbd3…
05-08 09:15:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	96	3¢	$3	0x6b4b16…
05-08 09:11:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	354	3¢	$10	0x8d5790…
05-08 09:10:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x03b4ef…
05-08 09:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x504485…
05-08 09:03:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x528b52…
05-08 09:03:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1b4767…
05-08 09:02:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6a1ab8…
05-08 09:02:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x342962…
05-08 09:02:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x19f4c9…