Marvelous-Serial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$278

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-09 04:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 0% $-10

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 27?	1	$2.1K	2,074	0	+2,074	open	—	04-28 02:01
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?	1	$2.1K	2,070	0	+2,070	open	—	04-27 09:52
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?	1	$2.1K	2,067	0	+2,067	open	—	04-27 02:00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	1	$2.1K	2,063	0	+2,063	open	—	04-26 08:44
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 25?	1	$2.1K	2,059	0	+2,059	open	—	04-26 01:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 23	1	$2.1K	2,055	0	+2,055	open	—	04-23 11:24
bill clinton in jail by december 31	3	$23	12	11	+1	open	—	01-27 09:03
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	06-09 04:13
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	15	$12	6,375	0	+6,375	open	—	01-13 12:58
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	02-06 06:32
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-21 12:34
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-26 04:28
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-12 01:39
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-07 12:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?	1	$6	2,078	0	+2,078	open	—	04-30 13:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	1	$6	2,069	0	+2,069	Yes	$-6	05-11 09:45
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 06:43
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-16 02:57
will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-24 03:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	1	$4	2,085	0	+2,085	open	—	05-04 01:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?	1	$4	2,083	0	+2,083	No	$-4	05-07 01:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	1	$4	2,067	0	+2,067	open	—	05-14 12:06
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$3	1,090	0	+1,090	open	—	01-24 03:31
trump out as president by march 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-11 02:51
ethereum above 2700 on january 28	1	$1	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	01-28 02:43
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-31 07:31
will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-02 11:49
will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-30 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 04:13:19	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x50f75b…
05-20 06:43:58	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x83e887…
05-14 12:06:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2,067	0¢	$4	0xb7cc4e…
05-11 09:45:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	No	BUY	2,069	0¢	$6	0xb65f1f…
05-07 01:27:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2,083	0¢	$4	0x2755ce…
05-04 01:20:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	2,085	0¢	$4	0xdd9222…
04-30 13:15:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,078	0¢	$6	0xf44b12…
04-28 02:01:52	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	2,074	100¢	$2,070	0x96a245…
04-27 09:52:50	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?	No	BUY	2,070	100¢	$2,066	0x0b2a1e…
04-27 02:00:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?	No	BUY	2,067	100¢	$2,063	0xd0d047…
04-26 08:44:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	No	BUY	2,063	100¢	$2,059	0xfcf131…
04-26 01:29:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 25?	No	BUY	2,059	100¢	$2,055	0xc74406…
04-23 11:24:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 23	No	BUY	2,055	100¢	$2,051	0x1a7b54…
04-16 02:57:52	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef53b4…
03-26 04:28:05	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd504c9…
03-12 01:39:05	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1cdab0…
03-07 12:43:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xde5ae7…
02-24 03:06:18	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f6864…
02-11 02:51:21	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xeb8d60…
02-06 06:32:29	bitcoin above 76k on february 7	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x95e870…
02-02 11:49:04	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d9774…
01-31 07:31:26	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd40d5e…
01-30 05:34:16	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc502a2…
01-28 02:43:07	ethereum above 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,080	0¢	$1	0x0149df…
01-27 09:03:07	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb809c5…
01-26 10:09:01	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6eb823…
01-26 09:59:23	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x28938e…
01-24 03:31:34	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	Yes	BUY	1,090	0¢	$3	0x3e3418…
01-21 12:34:30	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x16d1db…
01-18 03:46:34	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xeda0cd…
01-13 12:58:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x3cbadc…
01-13 12:58:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0x8edc81…
01-13 12:58:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0xb30c58…
01-13 12:57:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	88	0¢	$0	0xd2fb9e…
01-13 12:52:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xf2a9a1…
01-13 12:50:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0xda5779…
01-13 12:46:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x48cb5f…
01-13 12:45:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0xbc422d…
01-13 12:42:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x154979…
01-13 12:33:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0x2261ab…
01-13 03:19:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$2	0xf5d8f5…
01-13 03:18:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$2	0x8eba48…
01-13 03:16:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$2	0xf26ccc…
01-13 03:15:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	1,058	0¢	$2	0xb5fa99…
01-13 03:12:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	1,069	0¢	$2	0x4c98da…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Sniveling-Liner 0x669c…91d6	28	$12.5K	36	06-09 04:13
Kooky-Chimpanzee 0x9143…5b16	27	$12.6K	30	06-09 04:13
Profuse-Therapist 0x399c…e071	27	$12.5K	34	06-09 04:13
Unrealistic-Contribution 0x3618…f32a	26	$12.5K	33	06-09 04:13
These-Service 0xc11b…ec36	24	$10.5K	26	06-09 04:13
Minor-Earthworm 0x1bd0…b729	23	$12.5K	25	06-09 04:13
Flashy-Excellence 0xc1e3…6b98	23	$12.5K	38	06-09 04:13
Leafy-Woodwind 0xc6de…5004	22	$12.5K	25	06-09 04:13