Automatic-Incompetence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,140

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-10 20:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2463 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	263	$236	598	0	+598	open	—	04-28 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	234	$219	613	0	+613	open	—	04-28 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	225	$210	650	0	+650	open	—	04-28 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	201	$145	884	0	+884	open	—	04-28 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	149	$121	306	0	+306	open	—	04-28 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	152	$114	426	0	+426	open	—	04-28 09:58
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	96	$91	219	0	+219	open	—	04-28 08:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	93	$87	235	0	+235	open	—	04-28 09:15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	89	$84	209	0	+209	open	—	04-28 08:59
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	85	$79	228	0	+228	open	—	04-28 08:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	93	$75	218	0	+218	open	—	04-28 10:15
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	84	$68	202	0	+202	open	—	04-28 10:15
btc updown 5m 1777017600	51	$62	68	35	+32	open	—	04-24 08:04
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	67	$60	162	0	+162	open	—	04-28 10:29
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	71	$58	147	0	+147	open	—	04-28 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	77	$57	225	0	+225	open	—	04-28 09:41
btc updown 5m 1777017000	38	$47	45	25	+20	open	—	04-24 07:55
btc updown 5m 1777017300	38	$47	175	54	+121	open	—	04-24 08:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	53	$46	148	0	+148	open	—	04-28 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	45	$43	77	0	+77	open	—	04-28 08:32
btc updown 5m 1777014000	38	$43	742	11	+731	open	—	04-24 07:05
btc updown 5m 1777012800	29	$37	51	32	+19	open	—	04-24 06:45
btc updown 5m 1777012200	22	$37	130	27	+103	open	—	04-24 06:35
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	36	$35	78	0	+78	open	—	04-28 09:14
btc updown 5m 1777012500	27	$34	91	55	+36	open	—	04-24 06:40
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	36	$33	81	0	+81	open	—	04-28 10:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	38	$31	155	0	+155	open	—	04-28 10:45
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	36	$30	68	0	+68	open	—	04-28 10:14
btc updown 5m 1777015500	30	$30	55	0	+55	open	—	04-24 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	4	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 09:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 20:18:27	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbb6ead…
05-10 20:15:23	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	76ers	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xe0198c…
05-10 19:22:39	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	76ers	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x162d75…
05-04 15:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0x15996c…
05-04 15:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xf5008c…
05-04 15:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x86cb62…
05-04 15:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x4bdcfe…
05-04 15:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x22e53b…
05-04 15:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x0e3755…
05-04 15:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xb5228e…
05-04 15:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x58da38…
05-04 15:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x51f19e…
05-04 15:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x1a8585…
05-04 15:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x312b38…
05-04 15:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x7c0c55…
05-04 15:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x310f5f…
05-04 15:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x2a9dc4…
05-04 15:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x3619ae…
05-04 15:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x32815c…
05-04 15:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x53759b…
05-04 15:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xea81d4…
05-04 15:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x68a9c3…
05-04 15:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x31835e…
05-04 15:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x87e107…
05-04 15:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x4b3d95…
05-04 15:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc52f63…
05-04 15:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9f9046…
05-04 15:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x477456…
05-04 15:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xe4c007…
05-04 15:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x503b6e…
05-04 15:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x10b2e0…
05-04 15:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x6acbeb…
05-04 15:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7b9b43…
05-04 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xf8bc08…
05-04 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xf0ff6f…
05-04 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x85e16c…
05-04 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x7feaff…
05-04 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x10d8c7…
05-04 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x020498…
05-04 15:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x7bb07c…
05-04 14:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x59c427…
05-04 14:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x778e24…
05-04 14:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xa30303…
05-04 14:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x968434…
05-04 14:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x590f74…
05-04 14:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x9c3c36…
05-04 14:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x98f637…
05-04 14:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x5cfc57…
05-04 14:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$1	0xd9412c…
05-04 14:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa12543…
05-04 14:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x62e045…
05-04 14:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x4e6b10…
05-04 14:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xbb9e9e…
05-04 14:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x459e7c…
05-04 14:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd5ae20…
05-04 14:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0dc62e…
05-01 20:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x85e960…
05-01 20:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xa6ee52…
05-01 20:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x79737a…
05-01 20:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x22f7c3…
05-01 20:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd9502e…
05-01 17:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x02b6a4…
05-01 17:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xe60310…
05-01 17:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x8d2268…
05-01 17:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x6f2a43…
05-01 17:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x9cfba0…
05-01 17:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x7429da…
05-01 17:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xf83ba6…
05-01 17:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xdce99f…
05-01 17:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xcd4dd7…
05-01 17:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x778495…
05-01 17:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x3223ea…
05-01 17:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x75d31c…
05-01 17:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x19bf25…
05-01 17:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0x43be45…
05-01 17:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xf85f23…
05-01 17:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x46a771…
05-01 17:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x0e79ac…
05-01 17:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xafde33…
05-01 17:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xb3e6d2…
05-01 17:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x79928b…
05-01 17:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x673b14…
05-01 17:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4ced03…
05-01 17:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdb71a1…
05-01 17:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xd4962f…
05-01 17:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xa4f793…
05-01 17:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3c11c0…
05-01 14:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x14cbd0…
05-01 14:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1f750c…
05-01 13:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xb27d4b…
05-01 13:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x54f8ac…
05-01 13:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xfcfb99…
05-01 13:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb5e309…
05-01 12:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc31b45…
05-01 12:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xa99f88…
05-01 12:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd67ff6…
05-01 09:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xa4555a…
05-01 09:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb60785…
05-01 08:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x6dc401…
05-01 08:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x41e055…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	163	$10.8K	1,702	05-04 15:27
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	153	$128.4K	16,141	05-04 15:28
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	152	$85.5K	4,882	05-04 15:28
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	151	$3.86K	384	05-04 15:20
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	148	$24.1K	1,968	05-04 15:28
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	145	$2.65K	333	05-04 15:21
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	144	$53.7K	14,173	05-04 15:28
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	143	$56.6K	7,869	05-10 19:43