Realized P&L
-$1.85K
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
7,149
Trades
12,599
lifetime
Volume
$39.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$97
25 positions
First seen
2026-09-25
last 11-08 07:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Crypto
51% 69% -$828
Other
45% 69% -$981
Politics
3% 70% -$8
Sports
1% 75% -$18
Tech
1% 33% -$16
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 1770 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 7? No +16 $16 86¢ $14 -$2 11-07 15:22
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? Yes +20 $13 61¢ $12 -$1 11-08 05:09
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ +8 $7 100¢ $8 +$0 11-08 09:02
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? No +8 $3 69¢ $5 +$2 11-08 05:09
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-07 05:37
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-07 08:53
Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-07 05:01
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-07 09:00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 11-07 21:09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 11-07 16:35
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 11-07 10:01
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-04 00:02
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 11-04 11:33
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $0 10-28 16:11
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? No +5 $5 80¢ $4 -$1 11-05 05:02
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Yes +8 $5 31¢ $2 -$2 11-08 05:08
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%? Yes +1 $0 42¢ $0 $0 10-19 02:59
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? No +3 $1 12¢ $0 $0 11-01 01:08
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027? No +1 $5 32¢ $0 -$5 10-21 22:06
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? No +0 $0 28¢ $0 $0 11-02 23:17
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election? Yes +0 $4 43¢ $0 -$4 10-19 11:23
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher? Yes +0 $0 14¢ $0 $0 10-25 17:31
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +1 $4 6¢ $0 -$4 10-24 06:18
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-20 16:23
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-19 10:09